New-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$389

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

10,828

Trades

16,119

lifetime

Volume

$46.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 301 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 79% -$389

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:45 UTC	5	$467	495	216	+279	Down	+$5	01-12 16:59
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:00 UTC	4	$352	390	112	+278	Up	-$246	01-12 17:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:00 UTC	3	$284	266	118	+148	Down	-$8	01-12 17:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$280	368	0	+368	Down	+$88	05-14 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 13:00 UTC	6	$254	138	138	+0	Down	+$6	02-08 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	3	$250	307	0	+307	Up	-$250	05-14 16:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 02:15 UTC	4	$227	227	117	+110	Down	-$150	01-13 02:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 14:30 UTC	1	$200	216	0	+216	Up	+$16	01-11 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 06:00 UTC	1	$200	208	0	+208	Up	-$200	01-13 06:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 18:15 UTC	1	$200	213	0	+213	Up	+$13	01-12 18:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 15:15 UTC	1	$200	211	0	+211	Up	+$11	01-11 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3PM ET	12	$199	330	100	+230	Down	+$116	05-30 19:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 11:00 UTC	2	$197	109	109	+0	Up	-$3	02-08 11:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:00 UTC	4	$178	195	192	+3	Up	-$72	01-11 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12PM ET	7	$163	102	102	+0	Up	+$37	06-01 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$150	229	0	+229	Down	+$79	05-14 16:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	2	$150	202	0	+202	Down	+$52	01-11 13:24
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 03:15 UTC	3	$150	214	0	+214	Up	+$64	01-13 03:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 06:30 UTC	3	$149	175	0	+175	Down	+$26	01-12 06:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	3	$140	263	0	+263	Up	-$140	05-23 14:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 16:45 UTC	2	$136	107	106	+1	Down	-$23	01-12 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	7	$135	207	0	+207	Down	+$72	05-23 15:21
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-11 13:15 UTC	2	$132	75	75	+0	Down	+$13	01-11 13:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	4	$131	170	0	+170	Up	-$131	05-23 14:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 06:45 UTC	2	$130	142	0	+142	Down	+$12	01-12 06:54
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 05:00 UTC	4	$125	114	113	+0	Up	-$75	01-13 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11AM ET	2	$120	203	0	+203	Down	-$120	06-01 15:01
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-12 17:15 UTC	1	$120	141	0	+141	Down	+$21	01-12 17:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	5	$120	169	0	+169	Down	+$49	05-23 15:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-08 14:00 UTC	5	$118	60	60	+0	Down	+$2	02-08 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfeb3ec…
10-30 19:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xce014f…
10-30 18:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x84f082…
10-30 18:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xe091ce…
10-30 18:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xf08b28…
10-30 17:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb700b0…
10-30 15:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55bbde…
10-30 14:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5c2a3b…
10-30 14:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2fb1f5…
10-30 14:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x10307a…
10-30 14:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xa3e277…
10-30 12:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xac940a…
10-30 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x56b3e3…
10-30 10:25:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4faeaf…
10-30 08:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdde137…
10-30 08:54:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x470484…
10-30 08:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa91552…
10-30 08:08:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc5a84…
10-29 19:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc711d8…
10-29 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x413955…
10-29 17:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6641de…
10-29 17:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb32c71…
10-29 16:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8c7940…
10-29 16:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x68444a…
10-29 14:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x075ce9…
10-29 14:27:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa50f53…
10-29 13:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x821c8e…
10-29 13:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	93¢	$11	0x12966f…
10-29 13:38:16	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1ef8c3…
10-29 13:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x2a8787…
10-29 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa89317…
10-29 13:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa44adb…
10-29 13:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb4ea21…
10-29 10:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe65a34…
10-29 10:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x793bf5…
10-29 10:10:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xf489a6…
10-29 09:56:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xafa42b…
10-29 09:25:43	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xbea30e…
10-29 06:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfaaba1…
10-29 06:21:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x552ee9…
10-28 20:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x80b2b7…
10-28 19:27:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc8a572…
10-28 19:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x94e8eb…
10-28 18:53:07	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf53a17…
10-28 18:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb9f061…
10-28 18:16:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x091a00…
10-28 18:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdf50b4…
10-28 18:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc1c2e6…
10-28 18:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xafd52e…
10-28 17:53:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4cffd1…
10-28 17:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1a1a7f…
10-28 17:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e9388…
10-28 15:37:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x87f303…
10-28 15:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0beb55…
10-28 14:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x71f937…
10-28 13:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4e9af…
10-28 13:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6923be…
10-28 13:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1803e5…
10-28 13:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xb05006…
10-28 12:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84cbca…
10-28 12:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7e8977…
10-28 11:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x911433…
10-28 08:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x518899…
10-28 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1ce33b…
10-28 08:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfbb03e…
10-28 07:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35a798…
10-27 19:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xee2923…
10-27 16:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x918410…
10-27 16:11:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x033d35…
10-27 16:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb9a272…
10-27 15:58:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd4ae71…
10-27 15:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa3df8e…
10-27 13:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x71ad3e…
10-27 13:52:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x0dc474…
10-27 13:52:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb6d747…
10-27 13:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x96f2b7…
10-27 13:06:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xe93ecf…
10-27 13:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1b50a9…
10-27 13:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x2909cb…
10-27 13:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x82f1d9…
10-27 11:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb1ecad…
10-27 11:26:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x20100d…
10-27 07:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xaea8bc…
10-27 07:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xafe6e0…
10-27 07:22:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc8ad09…
10-27 05:55:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x471249…
10-27 05:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xeba7ab…
10-27 04:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3424b…
10-26 15:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa04673…
10-26 15:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x604f57…
10-26 15:52:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc87958…
10-26 15:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x06e05e…
10-26 14:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x994d71…
10-26 14:09:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8eb263…
10-26 14:09:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x70a7ec…
10-26 14:09:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x79150b…
10-26 14:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x1749fe…
10-26 13:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2e3ee6…
10-26 13:10:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0b577d…
10-26 12:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8f5213…