Disguised-North — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$362

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

1,598

Trades

2,387

lifetime

Volume

$69.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 09-30 20:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 72% -$362

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 12:00 UTC	3	$524	542	+542	Up	+$18	04-17 12:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 19:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-17 19:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 18:45 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-18 18:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 01:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-21 01:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 09:45 UTC	1	$500	512	+512	Down	+$12	04-20 09:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 17:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-20 17:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 04:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-17 04:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 20:30 UTC	1	$500	513	+513	Down	+$13	04-20 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 18:30 UTC	1	$500	514	+514	Up	+$14	04-20 18:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 19:00 UTC	1	$500	510	+510	Down	+$10	04-20 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 11:15 UTC	1	$500	517	+517	Down	+$17	04-19 11:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 20:30 UTC	1	$500	514	+514	Down	+$14	04-19 20:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 15:00 UTC	1	$500	512	+512	Down	+$12	04-18 15:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 09:30 UTC	1	$500	511	+511	Up	+$11	04-21 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 13:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	-$500	04-21 13:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 11:45 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-19 11:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-21 05:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	-$500	04-21 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 21:00 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-16 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 18:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-16 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-18 14:45 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-18 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 20:45 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-17 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 01:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-17 01:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 12:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-20 12:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-17 13:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 17:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-20 17:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 06:00 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-19 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 04:30 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-20 04:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 20:15 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-19 20:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-20 14:00 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Down	+$15	04-20 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-16 22:00 UTC	1	$500	515	+515	Up	+$15	04-16 22:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-30 20:04:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x717c32…
09-30 20:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee379e…
09-11 12:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x666906…
09-11 12:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe30bec…
09-11 07:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	48¢	$15	0x5b12d2…
09-11 06:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	80¢	$15	0xdb4d46…
09-11 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0xc88a7d…
09-11 04:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x74d2f3…
09-11 02:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x75547c…
09-11 01:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x6b1dd5…
09-10 23:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x963afe…
09-10 23:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0x6d326d…
09-10 21:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xcf8949…
09-10 19:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1bcad1…
09-10 19:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	22	68¢	$15	0x586c4b…
09-10 18:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xe27b9a…
09-10 16:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x53fc16…
09-10 15:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8606e6…
09-10 12:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xb6e131…
09-10 12:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xcf096d…
09-10 12:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd84360…
09-10 11:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xdf208b…
09-10 10:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x47a6b2…
09-10 09:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0344a5…
09-10 08:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x11322e…
09-10 08:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x83f6de…
09-10 08:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xdee6d8…
09-10 07:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe9b9c6…
09-10 06:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x50fdea…
09-10 05:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5a97fc…
09-10 05:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xdff92e…
09-10 03:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xd74584…
09-10 02:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xb975de…
09-10 02:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6c744e…
09-10 00:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x36fa5d…
09-10 00:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x480f21…
09-09 20:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7d262a…
09-09 17:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8b1dd0…
09-09 17:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x98146d…
09-09 17:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x318d32…
09-09 13:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x78e3d6…
09-09 13:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe47255…
09-09 13:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xb8fcae…
09-09 12:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2684f1…
09-09 12:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x485aa9…
09-09 11:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd637ad…
09-09 11:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x80623b…
09-09 11:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x7bd2c8…
09-09 11:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x64a7d0…
09-09 11:21:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x1a91d1…
09-09 10:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x75536d…
09-09 10:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x9dc3fe…
09-09 10:32:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd5911b…
09-09 10:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x6353ef…
09-09 10:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x383ac4…
09-09 10:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x05eff7…
09-09 10:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xfda214…
09-09 10:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xdbc865…
09-09 09:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5f5868…
09-09 09:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x0613b0…
09-09 09:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x309646…
09-09 09:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6642de…
09-09 08:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xed8334…
09-09 08:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x830b11…
09-09 08:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc12526…
09-09 08:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xea6375…
09-09 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x2466d7…
09-09 07:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x04a9e4…
09-09 07:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x24f4a4…
09-09 07:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcf2bdb…
09-09 07:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x9d0448…
09-09 07:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc968bd…
09-09 07:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x84068e…
09-09 07:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x62677a…
09-09 07:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7921b7…
09-09 07:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	43¢	$4	0x732905…
09-09 07:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xf29779…
09-09 06:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf7a28c…
09-09 06:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7f849c…
09-09 06:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x59125f…
09-09 06:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe94c18…
09-09 06:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x69e829…
09-09 06:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8ca697…
09-09 06:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x8019fe…
09-09 06:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xe8fc23…
09-09 06:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xbc3f7e…
09-09 06:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2496db…
09-09 05:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0x798208…
09-09 05:38:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x3267ba…
09-09 05:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2cca23…
09-09 05:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x521793…
09-09 05:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe2cbd6…
09-09 05:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x94fb2e…
09-09 05:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x45286a…
09-09 05:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xa135a3…
09-09 05:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x97d954…
09-09 05:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x59f435…
09-09 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa0cfe0…
09-09 04:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x677ce6…
09-09 04:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xb083f1…