Wretched-Mouse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

64.6%

Resolved

711

Trades

892

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-11 14:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Other

85% 73% -$71

Politics

11% 49% -$114

Crypto

2% 57% -$7

Sports

1% 68% -$2

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?	Yes		-9	-$1	8¢	$-1	+$0	05-30 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$168	700	700	+0	No	+$14	03-14 04:04
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$140	200	200	+0	No	-$20	03-16 02:46
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$116	200	200	+0	No	-$64	03-22 10:24
will clavicular be the top ranked chad by march 31	4	$99	100	98	+2	Yes	-$1	03-12 10:04
will polymarket mindshare hit 75 627 998	1	$85	0	85	-85	Yes	$0	01-05 11:59
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$69	68	68	+0	No	-$32	02-07 02:48
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 90 114	3	$33	32	18	+14	No	-$23	02-09 03:42
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 140 164	1	$32	34	0	+34	No	+$2	02-14 08:27
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 90 114	6	$21	19	14	+5	Yes	-$8	03-07 10:00
elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 165 189	1	$21	22	0	+22	No	+$2	03-11 02:09
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 420 439	1	$21	21	0	+21	No	+$0	02-13 08:17
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	1	$20	26	0	+26	No	+$6	02-08 01:59
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 115 139	3	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	03-05 00:24
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 90 114	2	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	02-28 09:30
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 0 39	3	$18	14	5	+8	No	+$0	03-08 02:55
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 140 164	3	$17	12	5	+7	No	+$0	03-08 02:56
elon musk of tweets march 7 march 9 115 139	4	$16	12	5	+7	No	+$1	03-09 02:34
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 360 379	3	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$1	03-10 08:26
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 5 be between 60 and 70	2	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	02-08 02:30
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	2	$14	16	0	+16	No	+$2	02-24 02:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 24 2026 29c	1	$14	15	0	+15	No	+$1	03-24 01:08
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 340 359	5	$14	15	12	+3	Yes	-$1	03-10 08:27
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 200 219	4	$14	12	8	+4	Yes	-$2	03-06 02:32
bitcoin up or down january 7 3pm et	5	$12	18	12	+6	Down	-$2	01-07 20:55
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$12	12	12	+0	No	-$6	02-13 08:16
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 140 164	2	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$1	02-24 02:50
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 90 114	5	$11	12	9	+2	Yes	-$1	03-17 19:24
elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 90 114	3	$11	13	3	+10	No	$0	03-15 21:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 21:30 UTC	2	$10	14	0	+14	Down	-$1	01-07 21:44
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	3	$10	9	6	+3	Yes	$0	03-19 20:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 14:31:33	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on September 11?	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0a45e3…
09-11 14:30:54	Micron (MU) Up or Down on September 11?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdd62e8…
09-11 14:29:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaa8846…
09-11 14:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfe5677…
09-11 14:28:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x93b0c8…
09-11 14:28:13	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x864439…
09-11 14:28:00	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3e5bd8…
09-11 14:27:42	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8a273f…
07-14 10:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 16?	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf0895f…
07-14 10:43:58	aapl up or down on july 14 2026	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xd8665d…
07-14 10:43:47	rklb up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc791cd…
07-14 10:43:34	xagusd up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1729c5…
07-14 10:43:25	xauusd up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x06cc80…
07-14 10:43:11	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x5ffcc7…
07-14 10:42:44	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4a6a2b…
07-14 10:42:31	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf82318…
07-14 10:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x4b658a…
07-14 10:42:02	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x25c894…
07-14 10:41:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xdb9709…
07-13 15:46:34	Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x352d0d…
07-13 15:43:13	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xddb453…
07-13 15:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7db416…
07-13 15:38:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6defb1…
07-13 15:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xd64469…
07-13 15:37:35	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xdcba71…
07-13 15:37:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x210113…
07-10 09:40:49	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3bd297…
07-10 09:40:17	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x4db85a…
07-10 09:40:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x4dbdba…
07-10 09:39:55	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x1672c0…
07-10 09:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x54d2f6…
07-10 09:39:23	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6dd429…
07-10 09:38:55	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd0ac81…
07-10 09:38:47	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x410fe2…
07-10 09:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x38b5c7…
07-10 09:38:05	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x73cfea…
07-09 22:37:04	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3fa4e8…
07-09 22:35:43	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf59f8b…
07-09 22:35:22	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x697db7…
07-09 22:35:14	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x92fe48…
07-09 22:34:49	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x19e7e6…
07-09 22:34:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x45a4c1…
07-09 22:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on July 11?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x6a346f…
07-09 22:34:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 11?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc66038…
07-09 22:33:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd4c290…
07-09 22:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x85dba5…
07-09 22:32:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x015b70…
07-09 22:32:49	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xbbdd30…
07-09 22:32:31	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb92733…
07-09 22:32:19	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xedae46…
07-09 22:32:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5ceac2…
07-09 22:32:05	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xd09709…
07-09 22:31:29	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x4a970a…
07-09 22:30:19	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x631831…
07-03 10:49:11	Will Canada be the worst-placed host nation in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xb3db8d…
07-03 10:47:49	Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xde149e…
07-03 10:47:07	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x7d2b84…
07-03 10:46:22	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xe15f3e…
07-03 10:45:49	Will Egypt be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xe0b9d0…
07-03 10:45:20	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x67df78…
07-03 10:44:49	will cape verde reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120766	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x151536…
07-03 10:44:07	Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x47ba04…
07-03 10:43:53	Will Spain win the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xd0c3cc…
07-03 10:43:44	Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xa01b94…
07-03 10:43:07	will morocco reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149718	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff46f8…
07-03 10:42:59	will colombia reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149750	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x817699…
07-03 10:42:44	will england reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149753	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x06f2db…
07-03 10:42:29	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x96d15c…
07-03 10:42:19	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x44036b…
07-03 10:41:56	will belgium reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149733	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xc894ba…
07-03 10:41:25	will usa reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149721	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xcf4947…
07-03 10:40:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xa9d6d6…
07-03 10:40:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x8e5f60…
07-03 10:40:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 2 to July 4, 2026?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xcb2361…
07-03 10:39:31	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x3b64e8…
07-03 10:39:23	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x6d5b92…
07-03 10:39:16	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfb35a…
07-03 10:39:01	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xb32911…
07-03 10:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa7d5e1…
07-03 10:38:41	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe571c8…
07-03 10:38:17	xauusd up or down on july 6 2026	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6e4c59…
06-27 02:41:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x4a234a…
06-27 02:41:31	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x51f0d7…
06-27 02:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xd03a6f…
06-27 02:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcbacc0…
06-27 02:38:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x262b38…
06-27 02:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 28?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe8e65a…
06-27 02:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 27?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe28291…
06-27 02:35:47	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xbba517…
06-27 02:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x3be814…
06-26 10:22:14	Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe1cf91…
06-26 10:22:04	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x934ec8…
06-26 10:21:53	Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x792ec8…
06-26 10:21:43	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe1b9cf…
06-26 10:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xf3c734…
06-26 10:20:26	xauusd up or down on june 26 2026	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x6af52e…
06-26 10:19:49	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xf912ee…
06-26 10:19:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x70e616…
06-26 10:19:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5428aa…
06-26 10:19:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xcf8fda…