Disguised-Output — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

39.8%

Resolved

Trades

335

lifetime

Volume

$60.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$181

Open exposure

$845

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 07-20 21:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 50% $-259

Politics

22% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Tech

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes		+3,484	$896	24¢	$836	$-59	07-18 01:28
Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes		+139	$17	6¢	$9	$-8	07-14 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	7	$5.4K	3,612	2,724	+888	open	—	04-25 13:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	16	$4.1K	3,172	3,134	+39	open	—	04-29 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	13	$3.9K	2,040	2,040	+0	open	—	05-01 01:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$3.8K	2,062	2,062	+0	open	—	04-21 20:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	22	$3.5K	2,524	2,492	+31	open	—	04-29 13:57
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	12	$3.4K	1,861	1,861	+0	open	—	04-21 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	17	$3.4K	2,093	2,310	-217	open	—	05-30 11:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	7	$3.3K	1,887	2,116	-229	open	—	04-28 10:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	9	$2.5K	1,355	1,355	+0	open	—	05-01 01:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	9	$2.4K	1,502	1,502	+0	open	—	05-28 12:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$1.9K	1,710	1,056	+654	open	—	04-28 10:22
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$1.6K	847	847	+0	open	—	06-24 05:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$1.3K	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	04-30 05:57
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	04-30 02:44
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	3	$1.2K	471	786	-316	open	—	06-21 03:48
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	7	$1.0K	1,601	551	+1,050	open	—	06-10 02:03
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	5	$1.0K	749	629	+120	open	—	06-30 02:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	5	$957	564	557	+7	open	—	04-23 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$901	663	663	+0	open	—	05-18 11:50
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	9	$896	3,484	0	+3,484	open	—	07-18 01:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$844	653	653	+0	open	—	06-06 13:52
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	11	$837	1,052	1,052	+0	open	—	05-19 12:31
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	9	$796	658	658	+0	open	—	05-19 12:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$767	447	447	+0	open	—	04-16 03:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	13	$761	1,185	182	+1,003	open	—	05-25 11:15
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	3	$603	327	327	+0	open	—	06-06 13:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	5	$556	647	647	+0	open	—	06-06 13:48
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	3	$511	619	0	+619	open	—	06-14 00:06
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$492	330	330	+0	open	—	04-13 00:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	6	$453	612	612	+0	open	—	06-06 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 21:16:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	162	36¢	$58	0xc3c283…
07-19 21:15:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x375ab3…
07-18 01:28:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x6e4c6e…
07-18 01:28:10	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x2e81ea…
07-18 01:27:16	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	23¢	$100	0x1ebd82…
07-14 22:21:53	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x73eb11…
07-14 20:26:28	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869	Yes	SELL	251	94¢	$236	0x506612…
07-14 08:19:43	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6ef796…
07-14 08:19:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xe18615…
07-14 07:10:05	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x7c049e…
07-14 07:08:23	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe2f03d…
07-14 07:06:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x126fbc…
07-14 07:06:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x00154d…
07-14 07:06:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x945bb2…
07-14 06:42:59	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	12¢	$17	0x41bb09…
07-14 06:42:31	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,484	20¢	$300	0x092748…
07-14 06:41:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0xc8743d…
07-14 06:30:52	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xf5a212…
07-06 12:08:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	328	91¢	$300	0x809ce8…
07-06 06:15:32	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x251fc8…
07-02 12:24:20	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x4b5607…
07-01 11:05:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x585328…
06-30 02:43:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$1	0x105beb…
06-24 05:43:41	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	847	99¢	$835	0x8d4159…
06-21 03:48:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	422	90¢	$378	0xd734ab…
06-21 03:48:38	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	393	97¢	$380	0x05857b…
06-21 03:47:08	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	425	89¢	$377	0xebf4a6…
06-21 03:46:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	393	97¢	$380	0xf3150e…
06-14 00:06:12	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1928ae…
06-14 00:05:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	605	83¢	$500	0xf9f2aa…
06-14 00:05:30	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x16da4d…
06-12 21:07:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xf13298…
06-12 21:06:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	240	3¢	$8	0x38a111…
06-11 10:05:24	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	86¢	$209	0x83848e…
06-10 02:05:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf2bd9c…
06-10 02:03:36	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0xb63e86…
06-09 07:29:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	87¢	$218	0x39ef07…
06-07 04:47:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	382	55¢	$209	0x057605…
06-06 13:56:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	61¢	$163	0xfd031a…
06-06 13:56:00	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x82f0c0…
06-06 13:55:48	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x87a8e1…
06-06 13:55:21	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	304	51¢	$155	0xe08904…
06-06 13:55:16	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	371	59¢	$219	0xc554e1…
06-06 13:54:06	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x339ead…
06-06 13:53:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	551	12¢	$68	0xc97c21…
06-06 13:53:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	551	14¢	$79	0x0678d3…
06-06 13:53:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x9aeedf…
06-06 13:52:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	653	68¢	$444	0x998c07…
06-06 13:52:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	447	34¢	$152	0x3476b0…
06-06 13:49:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	233	88¢	$205	0x3f62ad…
06-06 13:48:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	466	45¢	$210	0x37e1d7…
06-06 13:48:33	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	262	88¢	$230	0xadac5e…
06-06 13:47:25	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	242	93¢	$225	0x3da2e8…
06-05 07:09:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	SELL	439	2¢	$7	0xae137c…
06-05 07:09:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	662	0¢	$1	0x79eecf…
06-04 08:44:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x2f712d…
06-04 08:43:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x750658…
06-04 08:43:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x17d65e…
06-04 08:42:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3bcd97…
06-04 08:41:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	477	4¢	$19	0x63586b…
06-04 08:41:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	279	5¢	$14	0x4585fc…
06-04 08:40:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	165	46¢	$76	0x2ce9be…
06-04 08:40:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	181	45¢	$82	0x61ac2f…
06-03 10:26:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x0094a1…
06-03 10:25:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x65de8d…
06-03 10:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	85	92¢	$78	0xe21cbd…
06-03 10:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0xb5b6b0…
06-03 06:26:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x6b5f13…
06-03 04:45:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x1a5afe…
06-03 04:42:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x72609d…
06-02 08:53:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x72825a…
06-02 08:53:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x619c92…
06-02 08:53:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0xe83400…
06-02 08:46:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x04666b…
06-02 08:46:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	356	36¢	$128	0x970ced…
06-02 08:45:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	653	61¢	$400	0x16cabe…
05-30 11:46:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1,536	100¢	$1,535	0x2a8cac…
05-28 12:35:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	246	82¢	$202	0x7c2d68…
05-28 12:26:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	215	95¢	$204	0x98c6a9…
05-25 11:16:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7f2a63…
05-25 11:15:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x78e100…
05-25 11:11:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	215	84¢	$181	0x89ce8c…
05-25 11:10:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	387	63¢	$245	0x8d1fe0…
05-22 13:37:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	93	73¢	$68	0x3c5053…
05-21 12:46:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	57	74¢	$42	0x11d2c2…
05-21 12:44:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	182	80¢	$145	0x700ce5…
05-21 12:24:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	242	80¢	$194	0xf2d56c…
05-21 12:22:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	56	81¢	$46	0x593ed4…
05-19 12:38:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	15	74¢	$11	0x9df489…
05-19 12:38:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	SELL	43	26¢	$11	0x5ef3fa…
05-19 12:38:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0x4b361e…
05-19 12:32:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0xe0706a…
05-19 12:31:14	Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	225	98¢	$220	0xa05132…
05-19 12:31:09	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	331	97¢	$322	0x542973…
05-18 13:38:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xec146c…
05-18 13:38:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0xebceef…
05-18 13:38:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	BUY	262	38¢	$100	0x494314…
05-18 12:54:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x7a718a…
05-18 12:54:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	147	64¢	$94	0x0ee548…
05-18 11:50:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	663	56¢	$371	0x01f762…