Disguised-Output — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.93K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.7%

Resolved

Trades

407

lifetime

Volume

$74.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$182

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 08-18 05:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

74% 67% +$767

Politics

18% 100% +$791

Tech

4% 50% +$293

Crypto

4% 83% +$80

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	7	$5.4K	3,612	2,724	+888	No	+$362	04-25 13:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	16	$4.1K	3,172	3,134	+39	No	-$33	04-29 12:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	13	$3.9K	2,040	2,040	+0	No	+$124	05-01 01:03
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	7	$3.8K	2,062	2,062	+0	No	+$295	04-21 20:49
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	17	$3.5K	2,662	2,662	+0	No	+$381	06-14 00:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	22	$3.5K	2,524	2,492	+31	Yes	+$402	04-29 13:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	18	$3.5K	2,310	2,310	+0	No	+$759	05-30 11:46
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	12	$3.4K	1,861	1,861	+0	No	+$67	04-21 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	7	$3.3K	1,887	2,116	-229	No	+$246	04-28 10:22
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	20	$3.2K	5,766	5,766	+0	open	—	08-18 05:17
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	9	$2.5K	1,355	1,355	+0	No	+$160	05-01 01:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	9	$2.4K	1,502	1,502	+0	No	+$286	05-28 12:26
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026?	10	$2.3K	1,570	1,570	+0	Yes	+$248	05-12 14:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	11	$1.9K	1,710	1,056	+654	Yes	+$145	04-28 10:22
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	15	$1.9K	4,355	4,355	+0	open	—	07-28 14:25
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	3	$1.6K	847	847	+0	No	+$80	06-24 05:43
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	4	$1.4K	786	786	+0	No	+$94	06-21 03:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$1.3K	1,029	1,029	+0	Yes	-$274	04-30 05:57
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$1.3K	700	700	+0	No	+$81	04-30 02:44
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	6	$1.1K	749	749	+0	No	-$61	06-30 02:43
will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	2	$986	539	539	+0	No	+$16	07-24 00:46
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	3	$961	994	994	+0	No	-$742	08-18 05:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	5	$957	564	557	+7	Yes	+$163	04-23 00:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	3	$901	663	663	+0	No	-$159	05-18 11:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	2	$844	653	653	+0	Yes	+$44	06-06 13:52
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	11	$837	1,052	1,052	+0	Yes	-$70	05-19 12:31
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	9	$796	658	658	+0	Yes	+$294	05-19 12:31
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$767	447	447	+0	No	+$19	04-16 03:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	13	$761	1,185	182	+1,003	Yes	-$654	05-25 11:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	3	$603	327	327	+0	Yes	+$3	06-06 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 05:17:06	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,287	15¢	$780	0xa543a3…
08-18 05:16:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026 339	Yes	SELL	994	11¢	$109	0x1ae49d…
07-28 14:26:26	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	633	86¢	$547	0x2609ce…
07-28 14:26:02	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	563	4¢	$20	0x183b72…
07-28 14:25:56	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,355	13¢	$555	0xfcc9a9…
07-28 14:25:34	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	361	84¢	$305	0x3c59b6…
07-25 01:37:24	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x7933de…
07-25 01:37:21	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x5957f9…
07-24 12:19:58	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	233	45¢	$106	0x4b9384…
07-24 07:10:39	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	379	58¢	$220	0x0389b7…
07-24 00:49:03	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	244	82¢	$200	0x9a2d27…
07-24 00:46:21	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	398	25¢	$100	0x0be912…
07-24 00:46:00	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	SELL	539	93¢	$501	0x7f34a7…
07-23 09:30:09	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	92	80¢	$74	0x41f436…
07-23 09:18:19	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	379	53¢	$200	0x89ef63…
07-23 09:17:58	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	278	100¢	$278	0x2fff70…
07-23 08:57:39	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	No	BUY	539	90¢	$485	0x57e6e7…
07-23 08:29:57	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xdd29d3…
07-23 08:29:46	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x39c6bb…
07-23 08:29:43	will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	233	43¢	$100	0x9437db…
07-20 21:16:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	162	36¢	$58	0xc3c283…
07-19 21:15:04	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x375ab3…
07-18 01:28:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x6e4c6e…
07-18 01:28:10	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0x2e81ea…
07-18 01:27:16	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	434	23¢	$100	0x1ebd82…
07-14 22:21:53	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	SELL	235	100¢	$235	0x73eb11…
07-14 20:26:28	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233 223 869	Yes	SELL	251	94¢	$236	0x506612…
07-14 08:19:43	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6ef796…
07-14 08:19:28	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0xe18615…
07-14 07:10:05	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x7c049e…
07-14 07:08:23	wti up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xe2f03d…
07-14 07:06:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x126fbc…
07-14 07:06:11	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0x00154d…
07-14 07:06:04	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	174	58¢	$100	0x945bb2…
07-14 06:42:59	Will inflation reach more than 6% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	12¢	$17	0x41bb09…
07-14 06:42:31	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,484	20¢	$300	0x092748…
07-14 06:41:46	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	143	91¢	$130	0xc8743d…
07-14 06:30:52	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	20¢	$18	0xf5a212…
07-06 12:08:25	gpt 5pt6 released by july 15 2026 272	Yes	BUY	328	91¢	$300	0x809ce8…
07-06 06:15:32	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x251fc8…
07-02 12:24:20	will the next claude opus model be released by august 31 2026 20260701204710233	Yes	BUY	251	80¢	$200	0x4b5607…
07-01 11:05:07	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	Yes	BUY	144	70¢	$100	0x585328…
06-30 02:43:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$1	0x105beb…
06-24 05:43:41	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	SELL	847	99¢	$835	0x8d4159…
06-21 03:48:55	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	422	90¢	$378	0xd734ab…
06-21 03:48:38	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	393	97¢	$380	0x05857b…
06-21 03:47:08	will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	425	89¢	$377	0xebf4a6…
06-21 03:46:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	SELL	393	97¢	$380	0xf3150e…
06-14 00:06:12	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1928ae…
06-14 00:05:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	605	83¢	$500	0xf9f2aa…
06-14 00:05:30	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	No	BUY	471	85¢	$400	0x16da4d…
06-14 00:05:10	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30?	No	BUY	316	84¢	$265	0x490b01…
06-14 00:04:24	Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?	No	SELL	1,268	93¢	$1,179	0x736c72…
06-12 21:07:37	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xf13298…
06-12 21:06:12	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	240	3¢	$8	0x38a111…
06-11 10:05:24	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	243	86¢	$209	0x83848e…
06-10 05:21:22	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	93¢	$111	0x73161b…
06-10 02:05:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf2bd9c…
06-10 02:03:36	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	366	82¢	$300	0xb63e86…
06-09 07:29:43	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	87¢	$218	0x39ef07…
06-07 04:47:45	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	382	55¢	$209	0x057605…
06-06 13:56:34	Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	61¢	$163	0xfd031a…
06-06 13:56:00	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x82f0c0…
06-06 13:55:48	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x87a8e1…
06-06 13:55:21	will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	Yes	SELL	304	51¢	$155	0xe08904…
06-06 13:55:16	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	SELL	371	59¢	$219	0xc554e1…
06-06 13:54:06	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	75	88¢	$66	0x339ead…
06-06 13:53:46	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	SELL	551	12¢	$68	0xc97c21…
06-06 13:53:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	Yes	BUY	551	14¢	$79	0x0678d3…
06-06 13:53:03	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	625	80¢	$500	0x9aeedf…
06-06 13:52:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	SELL	653	68¢	$444	0x998c07…
06-06 13:52:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	447	34¢	$152	0x3476b0…
06-06 13:49:25	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	233	88¢	$205	0x3f62ad…
06-06 13:48:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	466	45¢	$210	0x37e1d7…
06-06 13:48:33	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt35t by june 30	No	BUY	262	88¢	$230	0xadac5e…
06-06 13:47:25	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	242	93¢	$225	0x3da2e8…
06-05 07:09:45	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	SELL	439	2¢	$7	0xae137c…
06-05 07:09:42	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	662	0¢	$1	0x79eecf…
06-04 08:44:34	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	58	4¢	$2	0x2f712d…
06-04 08:43:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	159	6¢	$10	0x750658…
06-04 08:43:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	127	4¢	$5	0x17d65e…
06-04 08:42:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x3bcd97…
06-04 08:41:55	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	477	4¢	$19	0x63586b…
06-04 08:41:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 8 2026 884	Yes	BUY	279	5¢	$14	0x4585fc…
06-04 08:40:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	165	46¢	$76	0x2ce9be…
06-04 08:40:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	SELL	181	45¢	$82	0x61ac2f…
06-03 10:26:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	74	49¢	$36	0x0094a1…
06-03 10:25:54	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x65de8d…
06-03 10:25:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	SELL	85	92¢	$78	0xe21cbd…
06-03 10:24:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	125	78¢	$98	0xb5b6b0…
06-03 06:26:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x6b5f13…
06-03 04:45:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x1a5afe…
06-03 04:42:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x72609d…
06-02 08:53:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	327	92¢	$300	0x72825a…
06-02 08:53:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x619c92…
06-02 08:53:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0xe83400…
06-02 08:46:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	321	31¢	$100	0x04666b…
06-02 08:46:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	No	BUY	356	36¢	$128	0x970ced…
06-02 08:45:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	No	BUY	653	61¢	$400	0x16cabe…
05-30 11:46:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1,536	100¢	$1,535	0x2a8cac…