Scientific-Trading — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$188

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

183

lifetime

Volume

$806

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 09-15 04:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 53% -$50

Sports

32% 44% +$187

Politics

18% 33% +$54

Other

1% 0% -$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$183	152	152	+0	Sean Strickland	+$120	05-10 04:57
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	3	$129	117	109	+8	Yes	+$67	05-14 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	8	$47	33	33	+0	Up	+$1	05-18 17:30
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	4	$35	75	31	+44	Max Holloway	-$15	07-07 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	4	$33	18	18	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$29	21	19	+2	Down	+$5	05-14 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$25	17	13	+4	Up	+$1	05-14 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	5	$23	47	2	+45	Up	-$19	05-20 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$22	19	19	+0	Up	+$0	05-14 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$22	17	11	+6	Down	$0	06-02 21:45
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$20	105	0	+105	Justin Gaethje	+$85	06-08 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$14	1,126	0	+1,126	Down	-$14	05-14 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	3	$13	21	2	+18	Down	-$9	05-14 18:00
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?	3	$12	112	0	+112	No	-$12	05-14 02:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$12	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	05-18 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	3	$11	8	6	+2	Up	-$1	05-14 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$10	21	3	+18	Up	-$6	05-10 06:34
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	3	$9	14	4	+10	Ciryl Gane	+$5	06-11 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	6	$9	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	06-02 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	3	$8	9	6	+3	Down	+$4	05-10 06:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	4	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	07-07 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$6	160	0	+160	Up	-$6	05-10 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	5	$6	12	12	+0	Up	$0	05-14 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	4	$6	8	3	+5	Down	$0	05-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	5	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$0	06-02 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 06:28
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	3	$5	16	10	+7	England	-$2	07-11 23:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	-$5	05-10 06:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	3	$4	6	2	+4	Up	+$0	05-30 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-10 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-15 04:19:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe747fa…
09-15 03:20:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xea231b…
07-19 21:47:54	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xd7fbe4…
07-11 23:21:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf8b31b…
07-11 23:20:52	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0xcd84f7…
07-11 21:50:22	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	10	26¢	$2	0x0d8ed4…
07-07 19:44:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa08d11…
07-07 19:43:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0116d7…
07-07 19:42:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb525f4…
07-07 19:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe5e7b5…
07-07 19:39:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x322c4e…
07-07 19:38:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x828f03…
07-07 19:36:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x327c08…
07-07 19:35:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcab1d1…
07-07 19:33:04	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x05fd4f…
07-07 19:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xddddd3…
07-07 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x66e657…
07-07 19:29:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:25 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x16239f…
07-05 14:33:49	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x15450f…
07-05 14:33:32	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0xc09a22…
06-15 10:27:54	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	31	33¢	$10	0x27b20d…
06-15 01:33:21	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14	Sean O'Malley	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa8b57d…
06-15 01:31:37	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc23a53…
06-15 01:30:21	UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Sean O'Malley	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x9b53bb…
06-13 21:47:34	boxing tommy fury vs eddie hall	Hall	BUY	11	32¢	$4	0xa2a18f…
06-11 22:48:12	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7aecdf…
06-11 22:46:54	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x4a1ecf…
06-11 22:41:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9ed28e…
06-11 22:41:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x703493…
06-11 22:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x94df5d…
06-11 22:35:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x47be30…
06-11 22:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 22:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xc1347f…
06-09 02:47:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3d0d52…
06-09 02:45:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa30646…
06-09 02:41:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xcda685…
06-09 02:01:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5d8fc9…
06-09 01:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7a2001…
06-09 01:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa38a0a…
06-09 01:46:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x17bcd8…
06-09 01:45:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc345a5…
06-09 01:45:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xb25b23…
06-09 01:40:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:40 UTC	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5660c9…
06-09 01:37:10	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x013831…
06-09 01:35:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1e5783…
06-08 16:41:07	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7242d7…
06-08 16:37:43	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x9a21d7…
06-07 20:50:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x9b04c9…
06-07 20:49:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1120bf…
06-07 20:45:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x00ac13…
06-07 20:42:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa6349c…
06-07 20:32:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-07 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xacfa46…
06-02 21:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x9560e1…
06-02 21:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xeef875…
06-02 21:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x60e500…
06-02 21:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x42c7f4…
06-02 21:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	14¢	$1	0x9f657d…
06-02 21:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc14d6c…
06-02 21:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33003c…
06-02 21:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xea80d1…
06-02 21:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x485861…
06-02 21:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x36e230…
06-02 21:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7041cb…
06-02 21:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x7a624b…
06-02 21:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x80f670…
06-02 21:05:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x8a8441…
06-02 21:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x7a98a5…
06-02 21:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeecb21…
06-02 21:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1bb431…
06-02 21:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x9db0ac…
06-02 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa22d5c…
05-30 23:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf6c3d8…
05-30 23:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x250249…
05-30 23:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x5f80b9…
05-21 00:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xe95eed…
05-21 00:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfeaaf7…
05-21 00:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x99e959…
05-21 00:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xe25b5a…
05-21 00:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac8bcc…
05-20 23:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$2	0x5a6f71…
05-20 23:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3d7bc6…
05-20 23:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x127957…
05-20 23:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x3143dc…
05-20 23:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd0e0b4…
05-18 17:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xe97881…
05-18 17:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xff96f5…
05-18 17:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb43473…
05-18 17:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8db03e…
05-18 17:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xef6285…
05-18 17:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	25	78¢	$20	0xa96d0e…
05-18 17:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xf3a4c8…
05-18 17:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x06ba8b…
05-18 17:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf01fa4…
05-18 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4ed53a…
05-18 17:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc7d4fa…
05-18 17:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x981f61…
05-18 17:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x646f34…
05-18 17:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xabf1d5…
05-14 23:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x948069…
05-14 23:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa38ddd…
05-14 23:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x341616…