Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$200

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

149

Trades

1,155

lifetime

Volume

$371.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$322

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-21 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Politics

74% 92% -$21

Other

24% 87% -$205

Sports

2% 88% +$14

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Crypto

0% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+12	$11	97¢	$12	+$0	08-21 08:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	93	$39.2K	20,303	21,516	-1,213	No	+$44	02-28 04:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	77	$32.8K	14,674	20,762	-6,088	No	-$433	03-11 14:59
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	68	$25.5K	12,674	13,099	-424	No	+$15	02-06 22:21
netanyahu out by march 31 854	22	$22.2K	11,430	11,430	+0	No	+$46	03-19 19:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$15.0K	7,550	7,550	+0	No	+$15	03-31 23:36
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	17	$13.0K	8,800	4,400	+4,400	No	+$87	02-24 20:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	52	$11.1K	5,588	5,668	-80	No	+$16	02-01 03:05
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	10	$10.8K	7,000	4,000	+3,000	No	+$54	02-26 18:11
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	14	$10.8K	7,992	3,000	+4,992	No	+$87	02-23 19:29
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	35	$10.2K	5,152	5,152	+0	No	+$17	02-05 03:39
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	18	$8.7K	3,600	5,100	-1,500	Yes	+$5	02-28 08:04
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	2	$7.5K	8,200	8,200	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$0	03-26 13:01
cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	2	$7.5K	6,630	6,630	+0	Illinois Fighting Illini	-$66	03-26 19:52
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	2	$7.4K	10,600	10,600	+0	Connecticut Huskies	+$0	03-22 22:21
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$7.3K	7,200	7,200	+0	Michigan Wolverines	-$144	04-04 21:05
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	49	$6.9K	3,599	3,599	+0	No	+$18	01-30 23:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	9	$6.7K	3,500	3,500	+0	No	+$7	03-04 00:42
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	6	$6.5K	2,500	4,000	-1,500	No	+$4	02-04 00:15
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	10	$6.0K	4,000	2,000	+2,000	No	+$14	02-16 22:50
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	8	$5.5K	3,000	2,500	+500	No	+$8	02-02 17:34
Will the US strike Iran next?	21	$5.3K	2,800	2,500	+300	No	+$8	02-04 22:35
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	13	$5.0K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$6	02-01 22:44
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	19	$4.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$3	02-07 20:04
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	13	$4.6K	3,400	1,300	+2,100	No	+$30	02-20 03:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$4	03-08 21:54
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	6	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$2	02-08 23:52
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	10	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	England	+$24	07-18 22:54
lol c9 ly 2026 03 01	3	$3.6K	3,610	0	+3,610	LYON	+$5	03-02 01:22
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	9	$3.5K	2,500	1,000	+1,500	No	+$9	02-14 02:04
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	8	$3.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$2	02-03 15:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 08:37:19	Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0x0de5ca…
07-18 22:54:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	2,000	99¢	$1,976	0xd414d1…
07-18 21:50:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	184	98¢	$179	0xd015e3…
07-18 21:50:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	167	98¢	$163	0x78932a…
07-18 21:50:39	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x2983ef…
07-18 21:50:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	139	98¢	$136	0x4f4755…
07-18 21:50:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	417	98¢	$407	0x33f1e8…
07-18 21:50:36	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	747	98¢	$729	0xb3b213…
07-18 21:50:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd766e4…
07-18 21:50:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	208	98¢	$203	0xacb3c3…
07-18 21:50:34	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	92	98¢	$90	0x70affe…
07-01 04:53:47	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	1,008	96¢	$971	0x7b906b…
06-30 18:59:05	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0x97bfc1…
06-12 15:29:07	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x8275e7…
06-12 14:30:22	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?	No	BUY	26	81¢	$21	0x834a7c…
06-11 19:03:31	Will North America (CONCACAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,030	98¢	$1,006	0x63a86e…
06-09 12:35:31	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	5,289	9¢	$460	0x4fbdfa…
06-09 12:35:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	105	9¢	$9	0xc7ddf8…
06-09 12:35:28	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	6,225	9¢	$542	0x885780…
06-08 15:38:42	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,620	9¢	$999	0xed160a…
05-23 15:38:21	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa72bb6…
05-23 15:38:19	LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner	G2 Esports	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0ec6f5…
04-07 21:35:45	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	307	91¢	$278	0xf12ea6…
04-07 21:28:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	693	91¢	$628	0xfeec97…
04-07 19:23:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	995	98¢	$977	0x945618…
04-07 19:04:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0x93564e…
04-04 21:05:05	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	SELL	7,200	50¢	$3,600	0x40a196…
04-04 18:31:29	cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	7,200	52¢	$3,744	0x5ef42b…
03-31 23:36:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,760	100¢	$3,752	0x05e1a9…
03-31 21:44:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,760	100¢	$3,745	0xd665cb…
03-30 20:40:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	3,760	99¢	$3,711	0xa0d6aa…
03-30 20:38:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x36f29c…
03-30 20:16:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	3,790	98¢	$3,733	0x7656e6…
03-26 19:52:51	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	SELL	6,630	56¢	$3,713	0x52ee26…
03-26 18:58:49	cbb ill hou 2026 03 26	Houston Cougars	BUY	6,630	57¢	$3,779	0xfc6d88…
03-26 13:01:15	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	SELL	8,200	46¢	$3,772	0xae7bf2…
03-26 12:08:01	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	8,200	46¢	$3,772	0x3bdc4d…
03-25 20:24:31	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	SELL	1,832	53¢	$971	0x344708…
03-25 20:23:03	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6d16da…
03-25 20:22:35	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x3ab682…
03-25 20:22:19	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x742838…
03-25 20:22:05	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x6bc0a6…
03-25 20:20:49	cbb nebr iowa 2026 03 26	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	1,777	53¢	$942	0xc99a3b…
03-22 22:21:13	cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	UCLA Bruins	SELL	10,600	35¢	$3,710	0x640ea6…
03-22 22:20:09	cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	UCLA Bruins	BUY	10,600	35¢	$3,710	0x6732b0…
03-22 18:59:13	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	Iowa State Cyclones	SELL	233	54¢	$126	0x278a37…
03-22 18:58:49	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	Iowa State Cyclones	SELL	106	54¢	$57	0x834d97…
03-22 18:58:41	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	Iowa State Cyclones	SELL	757	54¢	$409	0xa932a1…
03-22 18:56:39	cbb uk iowast 2026 03 22	Iowa State Cyclones	BUY	1,100	54¢	$594	0x651a2e…
03-19 19:42:27	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	520	98¢	$510	0xcf3015…
03-19 19:42:17	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1,829	98¢	$1,795	0x258d76…
03-19 19:41:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	625	98¢	$613	0xbea176…
03-19 19:40:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	427	98¢	$419	0x0f8dc4…
03-19 19:39:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	409	98¢	$401	0xcfffdb…
03-19 18:59:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,589	97¢	$1,543	0x503ef3…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	12	97¢	$11	0xcbbe90…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbddb08…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x71982e…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,179	97¢	$1,145	0x665008…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	252	97¢	$244	0x253be1…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x178e99…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x15d51c…
03-19 18:58:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x0b5340…
03-19 18:30:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	690	97¢	$670	0x3bc96b…
03-19 15:44:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	3,820	97¢	$3,694	0xb6c6c2…
03-19 15:31:45	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1,209	97¢	$1,168	0xc6e3f3…
03-19 15:31:01	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xd36703…
03-19 15:30:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	328	97¢	$317	0x67424d…
03-19 15:29:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	2,249	97¢	$2,173	0xc456db…
03-18 23:23:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	3,800	97¢	$3,694	0xeb6974…
03-18 16:19:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	3,800	97¢	$3,690	0xb4b5ba…
03-11 14:59:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	217	96¢	$208	0x3a9988…
03-11 14:59:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaf2bc7…
03-11 14:59:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xf8a5c4…
03-11 14:59:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xc705e9…
03-11 14:59:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x0b96f7…
03-11 14:58:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x570b90…
03-11 14:58:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x9565d3…
03-11 14:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x64a868…
03-11 14:58:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	200	96¢	$192	0x2359a3…
03-11 14:58:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x9a1e37…
03-11 14:58:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x025c32…
03-11 14:56:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x5d39bf…
03-11 14:56:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x5df775…
03-11 14:51:03	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xfe83c6…
03-11 14:50:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	415	96¢	$397	0xd77edc…
03-09 20:42:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	452	86¢	$389	0x33b005…
03-09 20:38:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xcfbb47…
03-09 20:38:15	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x6516de…
03-09 20:38:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	341	86¢	$293	0xa06972…
03-09 20:35:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	356	86¢	$306	0x538078…
03-09 20:34:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x77f60a…
03-09 20:34:01	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1fe18b…
03-09 20:33:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xfeb47d…
03-09 20:33:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xc6d599…
03-09 20:33:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0xc86100…
03-09 20:33:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	110	86¢	$95	0x856bfc…
03-09 20:32:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	563	86¢	$484	0x3bd767…
03-09 19:05:17	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xdb8f0d…
03-09 18:48:45	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	1,741	93¢	$1,619	0x560ba0…