Coarse-Geometry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.70K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.8%

Resolved

19,244

Trades

41,878

lifetime

Volume

$179.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 09-27 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 176 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 70% -$2,117

Other

7% 77% -$580

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 521 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:20 UTC	9	$396	801	0	+801	Up	+$13	06-05 15:22
val var pr1 2026 08 29	4	$363	289	289	+0	VARREL	+$213	08-29 11:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-29 10:55 UTC	35	$353	444	200	+244	Up	+$7	06-29 10:57
val nrg loud 2026 09 05	6	$316	225	225	+0	LOUD	+$134	09-05 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	48	$304	605	0	+605	Down	-$11	05-29 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	157	$300	618	0	+618	Up	+$7	05-19 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	132	$300	569	0	+569	Up	-$11	05-19 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	56	$297	554	0	+554	Up	-$43	05-23 14:50
val g21 loud 2026 09 04	6	$285	201	201	+0	LOUD	+$116	09-04 21:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	84	$284	536	0	+536	Down	-$24	05-25 12:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	56	$284	576	0	+576	Up	+$22	05-29 14:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	132	$284	584	0	+584	Up	+$0	05-19 13:55
val 100t1 lev1 2026 08 28	6	$283	209	209	+0	100 Thieves	+$134	08-29 01:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	161	$282	628	0	+628	Down	+$20	05-19 21:14
val loud mibr 2026 08 30	4	$276	201	201	+0	LOUD	+$127	08-31 02:13
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Synapse - Game 1 Winner	8	$255	160	160	+0	Power Rangers	+$13	09-04 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	97	$246	396	0	+396	Down	-$63	05-19 13:06
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs	4	$231	172	172	+0	Unsettled Resentment	+$110	09-09 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	91	$226	374	26	+348	Down	-$125	05-19 10:44
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	11	$215	368	0	+368	Legacy	+$153	08-27 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 19:00 UTC	6	$210	360	0	+360	Up	-$30	06-05 19:01
val var ge1 2026 08 27	91	$205	1,131	0	+1,131	Global Esports	-$205	08-27 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	97	$202	400	0	+400	Up	-$2	05-19 10:20
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Synapse - Game 2 Winner	17	$196	203	201	+2	Power Rangers	-$5	09-04 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	54	$173	335	0	+335	Up	-$19	05-25 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	39	$171	378	0	+378	Up	-$11	05-23 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	68	$167	280	20	+260	Down	-$1	05-19 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	30	$163	226	150	+76	Up	+$32	05-24 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	62	$160	279	0	+279	Down	-$10	05-22 14:09
dota2 spirit1 ks 2026 09 04 game2	4	$159	87	87	+0	Klim Sani4	-$1	09-04 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-27 21:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xebb561…
09-27 21:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc2bfa1…
09-27 21:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9438ab…
09-27 18:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x5dd08e…
09-27 17:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 27?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x41ff7d…
09-27 17:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a47f4…
09-27 17:15:32	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea2b0f…
09-27 17:04:35	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x23a1ac…
09-27 17:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe4660e…
09-27 16:54:53	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x8728b2…
09-27 16:51:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xec04e3…
09-27 16:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x316d9f…
09-27 16:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9a0a79…
09-27 15:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbe57c4…
09-27 15:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x23464d…
09-27 14:17:35	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x52352d…
09-27 14:04:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x0178da…
09-27 13:16:23	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 27?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf2937c…
09-27 12:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x3d9c07…
09-27 12:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x26deea…
09-27 11:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9e4202…
09-27 11:06:05	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x18b006…
09-27 10:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x80035b…
09-27 10:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xecc63f…
09-27 10:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 27?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x108e56…
09-27 10:19:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x215848…
09-27 10:04:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9db05e…
09-27 10:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb250c6…
09-27 10:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe7e93d…
09-27 10:00:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 27?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x334f97…
09-27 09:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5816b9…
09-27 09:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfc7813…
09-27 09:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x935e03…
09-27 09:29:57	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe4791b…
09-27 08:58:12	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4e3538…
09-27 08:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xb4996d…
09-27 08:26:36	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3c986c…
09-27 08:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x20eb10…
09-27 08:06:11	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xb3d9e4…
09-27 07:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc9dcf…
09-27 07:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xa75e8f…
09-27 06:57:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xd2220a…
09-27 06:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x88c7ec…
09-27 06:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4ac0cd…
09-27 06:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x61549c…
09-27 06:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xeb51cf…
09-27 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xba9b2a…
09-27 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa9fd09…
09-27 06:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x672c6f…
09-27 06:01:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x76a8e6…
09-27 06:01:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2308bd…
09-27 05:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfe0483…
09-27 05:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd92d69…
09-27 05:50:32	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8a7b05…
09-27 05:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7c908e…
09-27 05:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x546b88…
09-27 05:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x19164a…
09-27 05:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfcd125…
09-27 04:59:23	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x5f13cc…
09-27 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x95e377…
09-27 04:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x24b14a…
09-27 04:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x631f99…
09-27 04:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9a5bec…
09-27 04:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb00556…
09-27 04:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 27?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$7	0x8ef284…
09-27 04:29:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd2f1ef…
09-27 04:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x460064…
09-27 04:10:05	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 27?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc12ee5…
09-27 03:28:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x173c97…
09-27 03:24:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xa6e397…
09-27 03:22:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x83f39a…
09-27 03:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xc526f7…
09-27 03:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9f5748…
09-27 02:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 27?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0xa5aea9…
09-27 02:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x51b129…
09-27 02:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 27?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6d6734…
09-27 02:07:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1dca7a…
09-27 01:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6d6d24…
09-27 01:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x611e4c…
09-27 00:49:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 27?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x09256e…
09-26 23:55:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x4de235…
09-26 23:44:53	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 27?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x76a510…
09-26 23:35:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0x03fba5…
09-26 23:33:11	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9b1f82…
09-26 23:18:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 11°C on September 27?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x31f8c8…
09-26 22:52:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x98891b…
09-26 22:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xefe029…
09-26 22:20:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xca4d11…
09-26 22:05:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xb875c8…
09-26 22:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8c8675…
09-26 22:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe2f8b9…
09-26 22:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x9f9afb…
09-26 22:02:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 27?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x2ec95c…
09-26 21:37:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x47dbd0…
09-26 21:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfd2271…
09-26 21:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x333a29…
09-26 21:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xc2d407…
09-26 21:03:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 27?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x07d52e…
09-26 21:02:02	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 27?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x0f249b…
09-26 21:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C or higher on September 27?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd6727c…