Yearly-Premeditation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-18 09:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

73% 90% -$4

Crypto

16% 60% -$5

Politics

11% 50% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	1	$136	136	+136	No	+$0	01-07 02:25
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 300 319	1	$133	133	+133	No	+$0	01-09 08:49
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	02-02 07:33
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	01-30 02:57
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 0 39	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	01-25 11:09
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	1	$132	132	+132	No	+$0	01-21 08:26
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	1	$131	131	+131	No	+$0	02-13 11:12
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	1	$131	131	+131	No	+$0	02-10 07:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$130	130	+130	Yes	+$0	03-11 10:49
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	03-24 07:47
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	03-19 06:41
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	1	$130	130	+130	No	+$0	04-09 08:26
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	04-15 11:04
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	1	$129	129	+129	No	+$0	04-21 02:49
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$127	127	+127	No	+$0	05-05 13:36
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	1	$100	100	+100	No	+$0	03-06 07:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	1	$95	95	+95	No	+$0	04-26 08:26
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	1	$70	70	+70	Yes	+$0	05-31 09:30
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$56	56	+56	No	+$0	05-31 09:44
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$32	32	+32	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:31
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	03-06 07:14
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	1	$18	18	+18	No	+$0	07-23 08:04
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?	1	$16	16	+16	No	+$0	08-04 08:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$13	13	+13	No	+$0	09-10 08:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	+10	No	+$0	10-18 09:44
Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	1	$6	19	+19	No	-$6	09-10 08:09
bitcoin above 94k on january 9	1	$3	84	+84	No	-$3	01-09 03:41
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	1	$3	4	+4	No	+$1	10-18 09:38
bitcoin above 96k on january 17	1	$2	51	+51	No	-$2	01-17 11:30
will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	1	$2	148	+148	No	-$2	02-10 07:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 09:44:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfc59e…
10-18 09:38:41	Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October?	No	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc8b60a…
09-10 08:16:12	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbc5412…
09-10 08:09:40	Will annual inflation be 3.3% in August?	Yes	BUY	19	32¢	$6	0x58df59…
08-04 08:29:08	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x6207fe…
08-04 08:25:21	atp gomez squire 2026 08 03	Henri Squire	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xf39dc8…
07-23 08:04:03	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9db91c…
05-31 09:44:10	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x9ce6ff…
05-31 09:34:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xb96788…
05-31 09:30:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x0c6f2c…
05-05 13:36:32	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x7b8650…
04-26 08:31:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5a2a48…
04-26 08:27:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x9100cc…
04-26 08:26:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	95	100¢	$95	0xf03114…
04-21 02:49:24	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 300 319	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x8caf54…
04-15 11:04:42	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 15	No	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x7af0a0…
04-15 10:47:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$2	0x40e55d…
04-09 08:26:51	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 140 159	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x66e665…
03-24 07:47:59	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 200 219	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xa9f869…
03-19 06:41:59	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 120 139	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x98b8c9…
03-11 10:49:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xf288d2…
03-11 10:49:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	357	0¢	$1	0xc38116…
03-06 07:14:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 60 79	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc4b3e3…
03-06 07:14:49	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1686d3…
02-13 11:12:01	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 140 159	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0xeb6374…
02-10 07:26:47	will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	No	BUY	131	100¢	$131	0x5d2f69…
02-10 07:25:59	will the us next strike iran on february 10 2026 et	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$2	0x6c6931…
02-02 07:33:22	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 300 319	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xe282c6…
01-30 02:57:00	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 220 239	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x37e692…
01-25 11:09:06	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 0 39	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xabd83c…
01-21 08:26:38	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 120 139	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0x27d4db…
01-17 11:30:50	bitcoin above 96k on january 17	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0xb57eaa…
01-09 08:49:10	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 300 319	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0x9f164f…
01-09 03:41:32	bitcoin above 94k on january 9	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$3	0x34c893…
01-07 02:25:25	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0x6fde1d…