Sympathetic-Gaffe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.3%

Resolved

Trades

796

lifetime

Volume

$7.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 07-01 12:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 33% +$1

Politics

5% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$342	197	197	+0	open	—	04-21 23:56
btc updown 5m 1777016400	4	$185	233	0	+233	open	—	04-24 07:44
btc updown 5m 1777017900	4	$185	202	22	+179	open	—	04-24 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	2	$167	183	0	+183	open	—	04-26 01:34
btc updown 5m 1777014300	5	$148	195	0	+195	open	—	04-24 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	15	$140	173	160	+13	open	—	04-27 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	11	$126	194	184	+10	open	—	04-27 08:25
btc updown 5m 1776821400	3	$115	136	0	+136	open	—	04-22 01:34
btc updown 5m 1777015200	2	$110	130	0	+130	open	—	04-24 07:24
btc updown 5m 1777014600	3	$107	151	0	+151	open	—	04-24 07:14
btc updown 5m 1777017600	6	$107	184	103	+80	open	—	04-24 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	10	$105	100	92	+8	open	—	04-28 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	8	$77	94	73	+21	open	—	04-27 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$76	79	75	+4	open	—	04-28 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	6	$75	76	72	+3	open	—	04-27 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$74	64	61	+2	open	—	04-25 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$69	96	26	+70	open	—	04-27 06:24
btc updown 5m 1776818400	5	$68	90	70	+20	open	—	04-22 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	6	$68	91	87	+5	open	—	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	6	$67	76	38	+38	open	—	04-27 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	7	$65	89	72	+18	open	—	04-27 06:44
btc updown 5m 1777016100	5	$63	117	0	+117	open	—	04-24 07:39
btc updown 5m 1776822000	5	$61	45	36	+10	open	—	04-22 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	7	$60	271	33	+238	open	—	04-25 11:23
btc updown 5m 1777017000	8	$60	140	0	+140	open	—	04-24 07:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	6	$58	53	53	+0	open	—	04-29 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$58	78	78	+0	open	—	04-29 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	5	$57	63	50	+13	open	—	04-25 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$56	62	60	+2	open	—	04-27 15:54
btc updown 5m 1777013700	2	$55	69	0	+69	open	—	04-24 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 12:24:28	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xe2d6db…
06-30 18:04:32	fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 spread home 1pt5	France	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x0b4f29…
06-14 22:43:03	btc updown 5m 1781476800	Down	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xd8b8ec…
06-14 22:42:15	btc updown 5m 1781476800	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xaced66…
06-14 22:41:30	btc updown 5m 1781476800	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x48a942…
06-14 22:40:48	btc updown 5m 1781476800	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc1965e…
06-14 22:37:49	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x2d805a…
06-14 22:37:16	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27819c…
06-14 22:36:36	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x034429…
06-14 22:36:16	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xd3abc1…
06-14 22:35:34	btc updown 5m 1781476500	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x48ee14…
06-14 22:27:22	btc updown 5m 1781475900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x91f525…
06-14 22:27:07	btc updown 5m 1781475900	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe40273…
06-14 22:25:27	btc updown 5m 1781475900	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x144709…
06-14 22:22:15	btc updown 5m 1781475600	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x00414a…
06-14 22:21:48	btc updown 5m 1781475600	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xccfa6c…
06-14 22:20:48	btc updown 5m 1781475600	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x6278fa…
06-14 22:16:24	btc updown 5m 1781475300	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2ba4c3…
06-14 22:12:06	btc updown 5m 1781475000	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0x34a587…
06-14 22:11:04	btc updown 5m 1781475000	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x75b937…
06-14 22:05:42	btc updown 5m 1781474700	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xa2add0…
06-14 22:02:03	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x633743…
06-14 22:00:55	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x95ba44…
06-14 22:00:40	btc updown 5m 1781474400	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5c4ffe…
06-14 21:57:45	btc updown 5m 1781474100	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x15bc46…
05-13 05:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x431038…
05-13 05:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xdfb870…
05-13 05:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x14a37b…
05-11 04:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x42827d…
05-11 04:32:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	16	86¢	$14	0x74c4de…
05-11 04:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdce8d3…
05-11 04:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb08333…
05-11 04:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0x08f89b…
05-11 04:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xd04ba6…
05-11 04:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x01f0aa…
05-11 04:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x41be36…
05-11 04:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0bd219…
05-11 04:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb4c39c…
05-11 04:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xbb6cc7…
05-11 03:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x0e3d24…
05-11 03:45:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x4831f6…
05-06 06:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x8f76f7…
05-06 06:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd654af…
05-06 06:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xe12b17…
05-06 06:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x7e15d2…
05-06 06:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xc7df5d…
05-06 06:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x32ad86…
05-06 06:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd8ef0f…
05-03 04:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xba51f8…
05-02 15:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xc3f31c…
05-02 15:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x97dfcb…
05-02 15:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3e6560…
05-02 14:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0a8217…
05-02 02:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x721309…
05-02 02:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb160cd…
05-02 01:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	23	43¢	$10	0x497126…
05-02 01:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x41b40c…
05-02 01:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x070baf…
05-02 01:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x99972e…
05-02 01:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfafbe0…
05-02 01:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe12e18…
05-02 01:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe5553a…
05-02 01:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x07ba6a…
05-02 01:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x9f55f4…
05-02 01:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2ae336…
05-02 01:38:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x213d91…
05-02 01:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe0171e…
05-02 01:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x276b3e…
05-02 01:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x0a2443…
05-02 01:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x42cceb…
05-02 01:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xceda73…
05-02 01:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0x4437cf…
05-02 01:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x7f8646…
05-01 14:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x83dc8a…
05-01 14:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x780095…
05-01 14:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x715761…
05-01 13:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0x4e1699…
05-01 13:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x84f063…
05-01 13:54:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x3aba1c…
05-01 13:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x33cae4…
05-01 13:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x1fee97…
05-01 13:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa8644d…
05-01 13:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6e0dc3…
05-01 13:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	34¢	$4	0x71177d…
05-01 13:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	68¢	$0	0x9d87c4…
05-01 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	68¢	$9	0x2d3ef1…
05-01 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x82b584…
05-01 13:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x57d0eb…
05-01 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb90df7…
05-01 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x104851…
05-01 13:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x05907a…
05-01 13:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	38	34¢	$13	0x1326dd…
05-01 13:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xbb3e3f…
05-01 13:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc9f772…
05-01 13:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x31840a…
05-01 13:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	57¢	$8	0x77f2ae…
05-01 13:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x3caf20…
05-01 13:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x1aa2d3…
05-01 13:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa69786…
05-01 13:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xcc7fec…