Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9.35K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

735

Trades

14,376

lifetime

Volume

$281.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 03-01 08:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 49 days

Categories

Politics

65% 42% -$7,331

Other

17% 44% -$807

Crypto

9% 35% -$1,169

Tech

8% 62% +$69

Sports

1% 33% -$107

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-01).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	171	$46.2K	44,223	44,223	+0	Yes	-$1,499	02-28 23:27
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	179	$28.9K	19,535	14,888	+4,648	No	-$81	02-28 06:15
will pete hegseth ban claude by march 31	103	$22.9K	12,244	11,880	+364	Yes	+$34	02-28 00:18
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	299	$19.6K	23,898	20,854	+3,044	Yes	-$308	02-28 06:12
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	113	$11.2K	6,179	6,100	+79	No	+$248	02-22 17:46
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by feb 20	76	$9.9K	7,838	4,487	+3,351	No	+$32	02-21 02:45
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	98	$9.6K	8,304	8,304	+0	Yes	-$1,790	03-01 08:50
will axiom be accused of insider trading	73	$5.9K	5,034	3,961	+1,073	Yes	-$599	02-26 10:27
will gta 6 cost 100	89	$5.5K	2,771	2,799	-28	No	+$0	02-28 23:15
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	49	$5.5K	4,495	4,175	+320	Yes	+$195	02-28 07:42
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	49	$3.8K	2,021	2,021	+0	No	+$61	02-28 23:48
Will the US strike Iran next?	42	$3.7K	2,781	959	+1,822	No	+$13	02-19 22:01
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	64	$3.5K	2,342	1,292	+1,050	No	+$19	02-25 02:08
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	42	$3.5K	2,180	2,180	+0	Yes	-$561	02-28 23:46
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	83	$3.4K	5,474	4,760	+714	No	-$71	02-21 03:23
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$3.4K	1,841	1,841	+0	Yes	-$29	02-28 23:16
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	51	$3.4K	1,798	1,798	+0	Yes	+$15	02-28 23:17
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	60	$3.0K	4,080	1,799	+2,281	Yes	+$229	02-28 07:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	27	$2.8K	2,170	2,170	+0	No	-$197	02-28 23:16
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	23	$2.8K	1,669	1,297	+372	No	+$18	02-18 20:59
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	26	$2.6K	1,964	1,964	+0	Yes	-$425	02-28 23:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	76	$2.6K	7,001	7,001	+0	Yes	-$160	02-28 23:33
judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 10 by feb 20	21	$2.6K	1,767	874	+892	No	+$13	02-21 01:45
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	67	$2.5K	1,305	1,305	+0	No	+$0	02-28 23:19
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?	33	$2.5K	1,826	824	+1,002	Yes	+$72	02-27 21:16
Will the US strike Iran next?	40	$2.2K	1,172	1,171	+0	No	+$63	03-01 08:50
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	95	$1.8K	20,143	20,143	+0	No	-$357	02-28 23:28
will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	16	$1.8K	2,148	2,147	+0	No	-$19	02-28 23:43
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	36	$1.6K	799	799	+0	No	-$6	02-28 23:19
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 15 million 268	32	$1.4K	1,270	576	+694	Yes	+$71	02-16 04:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-01 08:50:53	odds trump acquires greenland before 2027 hit 30 by march 31 645	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x6289a1…
03-01 08:50:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	2,745	0¢	$3	0x9a53b8…
03-01 08:50:17	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	124	95¢	$118	0x9241a1…
03-01 08:50:01	Will the US strike Iran next?	No	SELL	780	97¢	$757	0xdba30a…
02-28 23:49:27	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x859166…
02-28 23:49:19	will alexandria ocasio cortez be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	SELL	39	0¢	$0	0x57a5e3…
02-28 23:49:09	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x93d489…
02-28 23:49:01	will trump talk to kevin hassett in february	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0xe1b38b…
02-28 23:48:45	will the individual taxation referendum be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0xbe322b…
02-28 23:48:35	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	Yes	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x27f13e…
02-28 23:48:27	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	SELL	42	3¢	$1	0x0f8786…
02-28 23:47:37	will the bank of brazil increase the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8a52e5…
02-28 23:47:27	bank of japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xeedede…
02-28 23:47:17	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x559e66…
02-28 23:47:07	gpt 5pt3 released by february 28 394 385	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x442b76…
02-28 23:46:59	Gemini 3.5 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0xfc6cfb…
02-28 23:46:51	will leavitt say ai or artificial intelligence during the next white house press briefing 969	No	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x85ecdc…
02-28 23:46:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xcdb024…
02-28 23:46:35	will iran strike turkey in march	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x079c5c…
02-28 23:46:25	will iran strike a gulf state on march 1	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x0b6fc8…
02-28 23:46:17	Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6b189d…
02-28 23:46:09	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	No	SELL	2	98¢	$1	0x89d299…
02-28 23:46:01	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0x597450…
02-28 23:45:33	will dude be said 10 times on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0x887197…
02-28 23:44:51	venezuela coup attempt by january 31 428	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x926a41…
02-28 23:44:17	will the sp 500 index gain at least 2 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xb30b2c…
02-28 23:44:07	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	470	1¢	$7	0x038ebd…
02-28 23:43:49	will leavitt say state of the union during the next white house press briefing	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x40aa2d…
02-28 23:43:25	will the us next strike iran on february 27 2026 et	Yes	SELL	1,082	0¢	$3	0xc283ad…
02-28 23:43:07	prince andrew charged by march 31	Yes	SELL	41	10¢	$4	0x1cebad…
02-28 23:42:51	will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	43	10¢	$4	0x388fbb…
02-28 23:42:35	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0xfd7b6f…
02-28 23:42:17	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0f767a…
02-28 23:42:09	will the ecb announce no change at the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x142d35…
02-28 23:40:57	will the sp 500 index lose at least 4 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0xc49da5…
02-28 23:40:49	Will Opinion launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,007	1¢	$6	0xf49b29…
02-28 23:40:39	Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	Yes	SELL	233	3¢	$7	0x7dc336…
02-28 23:40:03	nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	Yes	SELL	90	0¢	$0	0xdbcdb2…
02-28 23:39:55	israel strike on damascus by march 31 2026	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x1f919f…
02-28 23:39:17	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	907	2¢	$19	0x2e1701…
02-28 23:39:07	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	29	42¢	$12	0x701daa…
02-28 23:38:59	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	Yes	SELL	104	13¢	$13	0x900175…
02-28 23:38:51	prince andrew charged by march 31	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xd54ce3…
02-28 23:38:43	Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x79fa9b…
02-28 23:38:25	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	15	77¢	$12	0xff2cc2…
02-28 23:38:17	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	15	84¢	$13	0x61fab1…
02-28 23:38:07	will state of the union be said on the first joe rogan experience episode of the week march 8	No	SELL	17	74¢	$13	0x3e6627…
02-28 23:37:59	another critical cloudflare incident by april 30 2026	Yes	SELL	21	62¢	$13	0x87b45d…
02-28 23:37:41	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	108	12¢	$13	0x7db390…
02-28 23:37:25	will the us invade venezuela by march 31 2026 255	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0xfb8d6e…
02-28 23:37:15	will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	15	93¢	$14	0x3f9c26…
02-28 23:36:59	will trump talk to kevin hassett in february	No	SELL	15	97¢	$15	0xefd7b7…
02-28 23:36:51	will trump talk to vladimir putin in february	No	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0xb98220…
02-28 23:36:33	will the sp 500 index gain at least 5 on any day in q1	No	SELL	17	97¢	$17	0xb5b026…
02-28 23:36:15	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$60k	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x04f938…
02-28 23:35:57	khamenei seen in public by march 14 884 469 913	No	SELL	19	91¢	$17	0xd9aa72…
02-28 23:35:49	Will the US strike Somalia next?	Yes	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x7b7e97…
02-28 23:35:27	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	No	SELL	21	93¢	$19	0x2884c7…
02-28 23:35:17	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x5ea8e8…
02-28 23:35:01	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	Yes	SELL	758	3¢	$22	0xfb62a2…
02-28 23:34:35	will jean michel aulas win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	Yes	SELL	28	87¢	$24	0xb6c684…
02-28 23:34:27	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	SELL	114	18¢	$21	0x7f7350…
02-28 23:34:09	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	17¢	$25	0xa514a3…
02-28 23:34:01	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	27	99¢	$26	0x5f3042…
02-28 23:33:35	will artemis ii launch by february 28	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xaf687c…
02-28 23:33:09	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	20¢	$28	0xb5e97c…
02-28 23:33:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	36	79¢	$29	0x2dc61b…
02-28 23:32:53	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x3ff744…
02-28 23:32:45	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	Yes	SELL	33	82¢	$27	0x6fc011…
02-28 23:32:21	will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x83eeb6…
02-28 23:32:03	will iran strike a gulf state on march 1	Yes	SELL	39	71¢	$28	0xa3e178…
02-28 23:31:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	811	4¢	$32	0x43051f…
02-28 23:31:37	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	40	83¢	$33	0xd0f162…
02-28 23:31:29	will strategy microstrategy mstr be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x560283…
02-28 23:31:21	nothing ever happens jerome powell edition 394	Yes	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x5fdb4d…
02-28 23:31:13	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	Yes	SELL	602	6¢	$35	0x94ef10…
02-28 23:30:57	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by march 31	Yes	SELL	757	4¢	$31	0x3072e3…
02-28 23:30:47	nikita bier out as head of product at x by march 31	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xa61e2c…
02-28 23:30:37	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x54162b…
02-28 23:30:29	pter magyar sextape released by march 31	No	SELL	84	51¢	$43	0xb54eb0…
02-28 23:29:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	SELL	127	38¢	$48	0x04fbe9…
02-28 23:29:05	Will Khamenei visit Russia by June 30?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x95388b…
02-28 23:28:49	Insurrection Act invoked by March 31?	No	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0x52a0f1…
02-28 23:28:33	march fed derivative 25bps cut flips pause by feb 28	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x20dec3…
02-28 23:28:25	us evacuates guadalajara consulate by feb 28	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0xdff86f…
02-28 23:28:13	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	70	96¢	$67	0x1464b3…
02-28 23:27:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	2,937	3¢	$99	0x0f4da3…
02-28 23:27:29	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	96	93¢	$89	0xd9b253…
02-28 23:27:21	will zootopia 2 be the 2025 film with the highest domestic gross on march 15	Yes	SELL	91	99¢	$90	0xb904d9…
02-28 23:27:05	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	Yes	SELL	140	66¢	$93	0xea205d…
02-28 23:26:57	will iran close its airspace by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	101	98¢	$99	0x00221b…
02-28 23:26:31	taylor swift pregnant by march 31	No	SELL	104	96¢	$100	0x6c0288…
02-28 23:26:21	will there be between 18 and 21 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	No	SELL	102	100¢	$101	0xbbe579…
02-28 23:26:03	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x8d0760…
02-28 23:25:15	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	123	96¢	$118	0x062a25…
02-28 23:24:37	Will Donald Trump visit China in 2026?	Yes	SELL	131	94¢	$124	0x49b2da…
02-28 23:24:21	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	164	77¢	$127	0xbafab3…
02-28 23:24:09	russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x6c36e5…
02-28 23:23:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	165	84¢	$138	0xf9676e…
02-28 23:23:13	us forcibly removes khamenei from power by march 31	No	SELL	182	87¢	$158	0x3b5d01…