Live-Adrenaline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.6%

Resolved

236

Trades

770

lifetime

Volume

$6.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 11:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 57% -$210

Other

23% 32% +$130

Politics

10% 100% +$31

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	5	$593	423	250	+173	No	+$32	02-08 21:35
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	2	$420	220	220	+0	Yes	+$20	02-03 05:27
will the us next strike iran on january 25 2026 et 395	2	$188	200	0	+200	No	+$12	01-24 09:09
bitcoin up or down february 18 4am et	2	$115	80	80	+0	Up	+$45	02-18 10:23
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	2	$106	60	60	+0	No	+$14	02-06 17:34
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 380 399	3	$106	60	60	+0	No	+$3	02-13 17:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:30 UTC	4	$97	100	50	+50	Up	+$3	02-19 05:35
ethereum above 3300 on january 16	4	$78	100	50	+50	No	-$16	01-16 12:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 09:40 UTC	9	$74	160	0	+160	Up	+$6	02-19 09:40
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	4	$73	110	110	+0	Yes	+$69	02-10 15:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:50 UTC	9	$66	140	0	+140	Down	+$4	02-18 19:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:45 UTC	5	$57	130	0	+130	Up	+$23	02-19 04:48
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	10	$53	200	100	+100	Yes	+$141	06-25 08:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 08:20 UTC	6	$50	200	0	+200	Down	-$50	02-19 08:23
will ethereum reach 3800 in december	1	$48	0	100	-100	No	+$48	01-01 00:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:15 UTC	4	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 04:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:45 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-18 20:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 19:40 UTC	2	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-18 19:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 06:35 UTC	2	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-19 06:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:05 UTC	5	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 07:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:00 UTC	2	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 07:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 06:40 UTC	4	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:35 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-19 04:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:40 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 05:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:10 UTC	2	$47	100	0	+100	Up	-$47	02-19 05:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-18 20:00 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-18 20:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:20 UTC	4	$47	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	02-19 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 05:00 UTC	5	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 05:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 07:30 UTC	3	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-19 04:05 UTC	6	$47	100	0	+100	Down	+$3	02-19 04:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 11:44:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0x0ac9bf…
07-14 20:06:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	4¢	$0	0x3c1829…
07-14 19:24:22	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x6fb5b9…
07-14 14:07:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	4¢	$2	0x893df1…
07-14 13:18:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x3390c9…
07-14 12:12:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	4¢	$1	0xf1585a…
07-10 13:13:28	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x090eb3…
07-09 08:38:53	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x786d6f…
07-07 18:57:29	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xa356fd…
07-05 18:49:41	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$7	0x968cd5…
06-29 19:09:10	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x4b5228…
06-28 19:03:46	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xac11ac…
06-28 18:44:43	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xe0a8d2…
06-28 17:31:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	1¢	$1	0x707085…
06-27 19:42:34	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$7	0xb70224…
06-25 08:32:17	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	52¢	$10	0x6935f5…
06-25 08:04:43	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0xd7cdc8…
06-25 08:02:29	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	52¢	$5	0x4478d6…
06-25 07:59:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x0ab780…
06-24 06:18:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xc7e7b1…
06-22 05:15:47	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0xc854e6…
06-22 05:03:38	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x1d34fb…
06-20 16:46:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	89	4¢	$3	0x27e54a…
06-20 15:56:23	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x846261…
06-20 15:53:55	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xb8e2c9…
06-01 11:43:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0xfc938d…
06-01 11:36:13	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7f86ff…
06-01 11:32:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$1	0x1f384e…
05-30 14:06:39	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x501111…
05-18 09:03:31	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	54¢	$14	0xc5e774…
05-13 05:16:28	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa8dfd1…
05-07 07:10:46	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc34233…
05-07 07:09:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x8cbf21…
05-07 01:14:05	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x1ced53…
05-06 15:58:19	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x90cb15…
05-06 11:13:52	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x529956…
05-06 10:20:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xc28dfe…
05-06 10:03:54	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	65	3¢	$2	0xfee0d1…
04-22 12:34:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	15¢	$0	0x5de2d4…
04-22 12:33:56	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$4	0x7ad2be…
04-22 12:33:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	15¢	$2	0x7e857c…
04-22 12:33:38	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	15¢	$1	0x93c788…
04-16 06:35:28	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	Yes	SELL	80	3¢	$3	0xb47552…
04-14 18:36:20	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xdd6d9e…
04-13 20:36:41	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	SELL	38	12¢	$5	0xf508fa…
04-12 17:39:47	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 360 379	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x8fd0d6…
04-10 15:13:47	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	4	14¢	$0	0x5e9c81…
04-10 15:04:49	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf93cc1…
04-10 14:37:17	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x28391f…
04-10 08:40:37	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x0e8d2f…
04-04 08:45:47	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 280 299	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5310ca…
02-22 10:06:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x06e206…
02-22 09:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xb18d66…
02-22 09:51:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x4d4421…
02-22 09:47:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x056369…
02-22 09:29:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x17bb1b…
02-22 09:04:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x9963d8…
02-22 09:04:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x327785…
02-22 09:04:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x2c5124…
02-22 08:57:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xd3d59f…
02-22 08:55:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x02ab96…
02-22 07:56:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x578540…
02-22 07:54:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x7cb56b…
02-22 07:29:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd46bcc…
02-22 07:28:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	30	13¢	$4	0x086e0f…
02-22 07:21:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x41bdf3…
02-22 07:09:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x8d2fb4…
02-22 07:09:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	14	26¢	$4	0xd6b230…
02-22 07:09:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0xdcbf13…
02-22 07:07:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0xeed27d…
02-22 07:07:32	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0xa926a6…
02-22 07:06:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x0f4988…
02-22 06:57:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	43¢	$7	0x1127db…
02-22 06:55:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-22 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x916618…
02-21 18:36:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 18:35 UTC	Down	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x92ef9c…
02-21 07:48:02	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 360 379	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xbd0356…
02-21 07:41:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x5357d6…
02-21 07:10:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:10 UTC	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5261b3…
02-21 07:01:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8bf16d…
02-21 06:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xada111…
02-21 06:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0x97a82e…
02-21 06:55:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x1ade75…
02-21 06:53:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x26be32…
02-21 06:50:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x801cf9…
02-20 21:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x8aef40…
02-20 21:00:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x6fe1bc…
02-20 20:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xdbb4e2…
02-20 20:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0x5bf56f…
02-20 20:52:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x0d0bbc…
02-20 20:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x997456…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xcc3aaa…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xb40481…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa91f07…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x655894…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5c034b…
02-20 20:50:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:50 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5922ef…
02-20 20:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0xa2399d…
02-20 20:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x6ed867…
02-20 20:40:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xac730c…
02-20 20:40:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-20 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xbfbd28…