Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-01

last 10-31 01:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

86% 50% -$2

Politics

14% 62% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	2	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-17 19:37
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-19 07:10
will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-23 02:31
will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-30 04:13
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-24 15:36
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-20 19:57
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	10-31 01:21
aapl up or down on september 14 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	09-14 13:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-16 04:36
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-14 05:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-30 00:02
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-09 22:13
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-09 13:22
will open reach 2 50 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-30 13:01
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-20 21:25
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-20 11:51
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-21 04:05
will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-26 01:16
Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 09:24
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-25 12:00
will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-30 23:38
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-25 02:07
trump renames ai by september 30	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-28 22:28
Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	10-15 20:26
will hood dip to 110 by september 28 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-29 08:02
spy up or down on september 11 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	09-11 01:42
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-03 02:02
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 00:58
will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-15 17:28
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	1	$1	4	+4	Down	-$1	09-08 11:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 01:21:51	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc24ff0…
10-30 00:02:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x444529…
10-25 12:00:47	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa92a40…
10-25 02:07:29	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 28?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x79acc3…
10-21 04:05:20	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x3086a7…
10-20 19:57:23	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $174 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc4c202…
10-20 11:51:06	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf40521…
10-20 03:51:02	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x279f28…
10-17 19:37:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9052b6…
10-17 16:05:08	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x4b34e9…
10-16 13:01:09	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x375e5b…
10-16 04:36:42	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4d8257…
10-15 20:26:14	Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x03c7e5…
10-15 11:51:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $765 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7ae849…
10-15 03:37:13	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8abe75…
10-14 07:34:22	spy up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x62d72c…
10-13 23:17:24	will meta dip to 730 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfa1438…
10-13 22:18:09	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $162 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6bf8f…
10-13 21:35:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x771493…
10-09 23:08:26	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x62dd7c…
10-06 08:59:45	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3fd018…
10-06 00:58:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x43fabe…
10-05 16:37:53	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7da627…
10-05 00:52:56	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x29ce83…
10-03 02:02:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9b6d3e…
10-01 08:55:35	spx opens up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8d4d34…
09-30 23:38:48	will xagusd reach 61 by september 28 2026 from september 30	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xeacf16…
09-30 13:01:08	will open reach 2 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb2e8ab…
09-30 04:13:56	will tsla reach 367 50 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd16b77…
09-29 08:02:51	will hood dip to 110 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x097782…
09-28 22:28:02	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x933a54…
09-26 01:16:14	will pltr dip to 186 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xb95e7f…
09-24 15:36:35	Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd00092…
09-24 07:05:35	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5be433…
09-23 22:40:40	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa93171…
09-23 02:31:43	will xauusd dip to 4300 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb8c54f…
09-21 05:27:27	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $189 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x754549…
09-20 21:25:58	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x898834…
09-19 07:10:06	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6b54c8…
09-18 22:28:06	Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8cda3e…
09-16 02:26:52	will warsh say inflation 20 times during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xee1d7c…
09-15 17:28:04	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc22218…
09-15 09:24:03	Will FedEx (FDX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0e6ff7…
09-14 22:29:04	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3d7fe2…
09-14 13:58:12	aapl up or down on september 14 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x12f019…
09-14 05:53:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $340 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfdb48b…
09-13 21:52:58	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7ca613…
09-11 01:42:16	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x57f867…
09-10 17:39:57	Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb959b2…
09-10 09:02:43	wti closes above 98 on september 10 2026	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x36f1fa…
09-09 22:13:45	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x45777a…
09-09 13:22:57	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc179db…
09-08 11:00:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 8?	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9cb8ee…
09-08 00:54:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x402ce8…
09-03 11:56:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc81b35…
09-02 21:42:40	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x24b080…
09-02 09:04:00	Will Andy Burnham say "Immigrant" or "Immigration" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb82de8…
09-01 11:43:03	Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x02172d…