Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$259

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

905

Trades

2,176

lifetime

Volume

$17.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

2 positions

First seen

2026-10-21

last 10-31 17:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 65% -$242

Other

8% 80% -$16

Tech

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 464 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No		+20	$13	51¢	$10	-$3	10-30 14:02
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	49¢	$2	+$0	10-31 09:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	12	$244	292	+292	Down	+$29	10-29 07:39
Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	9	$177	337	+337	open	—	10-31 11:50
Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	6	$172	300	+300	open	—	10-30 12:19
Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	18	$162	302	+302	open	—	10-30 20:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	7	$136	195	+195	Up	+$28	10-29 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3PM ET	12	$119	150	+150	Down	-$9	10-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	3	$103	122	+122	Down	-$42	10-29 11:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	5	$101	109	+109	Up	-$4	10-30 01:39
Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	15	$100	208	+208	open	—	10-30 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	5	$98	104	+104	Down	+$6	10-29 19:49
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	8	$98	172	+172	open	—	10-30 16:16
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	5	$97	110	+110	Up	+$14	10-28 03:39
Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$94	150	+150	open	—	10-31 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	44	$93	161	+161	Down	-$11	10-22 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	7	$90	144	+144	Up	-$8	10-27 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	8	$90	163	+163	Down	-$38	10-27 03:59
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	10	$88	110	+110	Down	+$16	10-28 10:15
Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$87	144	+144	open	—	10-31 16:46
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$87	150	+150	open	—	10-30 08:27
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	8	$85	147	+147	Down	+$4	10-27 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	3	$79	127	+127	Up	-$17	10-29 14:19
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	6	$75	137	+137	Up	+$8	10-28 06:34
Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	4	$74	93	+93	Down	-$25	10-29 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$69	168	+168	Down	+$99	10-27 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$68	153	+153	Up	+$2	10-26 22:39
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1PM ET	22	$67	106	+106	Down	-$12	10-22 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	3	$66	72	+72	Down	-$23	10-26 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	4	$66	81	+81	Down	-$26	10-26 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$66	116	+116	Up	-$11	10-26 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$66	119	+119	Down	+$1	10-26 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 18:23:10	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x45a245…
10-31 17:39:24	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc57344…
10-31 17:24:24	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xfd59fa…
10-31 16:55:45	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xb1b352…
10-31 16:46:24	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	95	71¢	$68	0xc1af2e…
10-31 16:46:22	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xd495e8…
10-31 15:51:45	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x192607…
10-31 15:21:25	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x98418e…
10-31 15:18:24	Will Sysco (SYY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	44	37¢	$16	0x247907…
10-31 15:13:22	Will Cigna (CI) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd11b01…
10-31 14:45:54	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x00461b…
10-31 12:09:30	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x62e07d…
10-31 11:50:34	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0xd92563…
10-31 11:49:55	Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	38	28¢	$11	0xdfb78e…
10-31 11:19:54	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x30add4…
10-31 11:19:40	Will Aflac (AFL) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x384ac3…
10-31 11:19:37	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0x3b6cfa…
10-31 11:19:36	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x93a249…
10-31 11:19:36	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x5503f4…
10-31 11:19:36	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x139c86…
10-31 10:48:49	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x871e47…
10-31 10:38:40	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x179095…
10-31 10:38:31	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xba4003…
10-31 10:28:31	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x939f29…
10-31 09:21:31	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3480c2…
10-31 08:19:13	Will Uber (UBER) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0xa93d6d…
10-31 07:54:54	Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x944c4d…
10-31 07:07:54	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xaac31e…
10-31 07:04:46	Will the US add between 50k and 75k jobs in October?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf9873a…
10-31 03:14:03	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xe1fffd…
10-31 02:52:21	Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 10, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x311ae4…
10-31 00:25:31	Will Fidelity National Financial (FNF) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xc68cd6…
10-30 23:30:37	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7a9f25…
10-30 21:47:57	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x00f038…
10-30 21:37:43	Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x07d643…
10-30 20:57:52	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x2789fe…
10-30 20:46:04	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x24e63d…
10-30 20:45:37	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xfaf949…
10-30 19:38:52	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x526746…
10-30 19:22:07	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb3fb90…
10-30 18:49:27	Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xa10cfc…
10-30 18:10:24	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	51	78¢	$39	0xb5f140…
10-30 17:26:10	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x7b15d4…
10-30 17:24:07	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	14	61¢	$9	0xf7373c…
10-30 16:16:37	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x3ff973…
10-30 16:09:27	Will Tower Semiconductor (TSEM) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	50	43¢	$22	0x65a0c8…
10-30 16:05:22	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	Yes	BUY	35	76¢	$26	0x83a861…
10-30 15:52:37	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7bc036…
10-30 15:52:16	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x94f16b…
10-30 15:52:10	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xb0727d…
10-30 15:52:10	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x9d917a…
10-30 15:49:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xdc0376…
10-30 15:49:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x3005c4…
10-30 15:27:31	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x5c4eb9…
10-30 15:16:21	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x9c586f…
10-30 15:14:06	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in October?	No	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0x210c11…
10-30 15:13:07	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	No	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x58c3c2…
10-30 15:13:07	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.6% in October?	No	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x2d802e…
10-30 15:05:42	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x82bed8…
10-30 15:00:25	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	No	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xf3ea90…
10-30 15:00:25	Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x1668e5…
10-30 14:53:40	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x3871fb…
10-30 14:43:36	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xed0ddc…
10-30 14:43:34	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xb5ce22…
10-30 14:33:37	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xa779bd…
10-30 14:23:12	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xb9ae4f…
10-30 14:19:15	Will The Black Ball win Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x1c1add…
10-30 14:12:52	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x6bdf0f…
10-30 14:06:34	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6fab2d…
10-30 14:05:30	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x4adcec…
10-30 14:02:22	Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x307e72…
10-30 14:02:00	Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x75bf4a…
10-30 14:01:30	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xcd5ea7…
10-30 14:01:28	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x5752e9…
10-30 13:49:52	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x18f814…
10-30 13:48:49	Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x35221b…
10-30 13:48:48	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1fdfec…
10-30 13:48:37	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x06a495…
10-30 13:42:13	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe2f961…
10-30 12:59:33	Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0xb2d58b…
10-30 12:33:52	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4a520b…
10-30 12:19:57	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0xaff2d5…
10-30 12:13:13	Will PPI YoY be 6.8% or more in October?	No	BUY	20	53¢	$10	0xbd9bc4…
10-30 12:11:24	Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x7f0d4b…
10-30 12:11:24	Will the median home value in Miami be between $830,000 and $851,000 on December 31?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x522724…
10-30 12:10:24	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xb2e120…
10-30 12:09:15	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?	No	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0x6bb43d…
10-30 12:09:06	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	Yes	BUY	21	56¢	$12	0xedd631…
10-30 12:09:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x44cc20…
10-30 11:54:22	Will Anthropic raise between $85B and $95B in its IPO?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x223e88…
10-30 11:54:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	15	39¢	$6	0xc33124…
10-30 11:54:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8825f1…
10-30 11:54:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 0% and 1.0%?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x283860…
10-30 11:54:04	Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?	No	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x196fd3…
10-30 11:50:04	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Michigan gubernatorial election by 18% or more?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x997eac…
10-30 11:49:37	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?	No	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x055854…
10-30 11:47:13	Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x49aea4…
10-30 11:44:55	Will ISM Services PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xe712e3…
10-30 11:44:55	Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1506d2…
10-30 11:37:40	Will Dog Alone win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8d4cb4…