Sneaky-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$489

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,125

lifetime

Volume

$86.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$77

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-25

last 06-30 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

35% 25% $-435

Politics

26% 0% $-18

Crypto

22% 39% $-36

Tech

10% — —

Sports

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No		+2	$1	50¢	$1	$-0	05-30 09:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$9.6K	8,154	8,154	+0	open	—	05-26 10:35
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	5	$3.5K	2,026	2,026	+0	open	—	06-11 05:14
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-28 14:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz	16	$2.9K	1,661	1,661	+0	open	—	05-25 16:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	4	$2.9K	1,719	1,719	+0	open	—	06-09 07:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	4	$2.6K	2,547	2,547	+0	open	—	06-09 14:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-24 17:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-23 05:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	Down	$-64	05-06 05:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$2.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-09 15:33
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	04-06 13:45
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	10	$2.0K	2,025	2,025	+0	open	—	04-07 11:05
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,010	+0	open	—	04-12 06:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$2.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-15 02:59
mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	06-07 01:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	14	$2.0K	990	990	+0	open	—	04-23 12:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	4	$1.8K	906	906	+0	open	—	03-27 06:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-14 02:52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$1.4K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-29 17:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$1.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	Down	$-30	05-04 03:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	$-365	05-08 04:02
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 15:54
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	2	$1.1K	546	545	+0	open	—	04-02 10:08
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$-18	04-28 04:47
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	2	$998	503	503	+0	open	—	04-01 13:22
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$940	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-04 15:52
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	14	$940	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 13:00
wti up or down on april 17 2026	2	$928	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-17 04:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$876	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-09 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 08:52:10	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xef7e7f…
06-30 08:51:59	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x58de68…
06-30 08:51:20	btc updown 5m 1782809400	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xb9d502…
06-30 08:49:59	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9b9eb6…
06-30 08:49:10	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x1c9c6e…
06-30 08:47:47	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x9d1605…
06-30 08:46:11	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x3a03b5…
06-30 08:45:46	btc updown 5m 1782809100	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x042b27…
06-30 08:44:16	btc updown 5m 1782808800	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x15cbce…
06-30 05:14:53	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	SELL	6	12¢	$1	0xe713cc…
06-30 05:14:40	will the announcers say messi during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343720	No	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x03953a…
06-30 04:39:59	will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	Yes	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xc492bf…
06-30 04:39:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x881458…
06-30 04:39:44	will the announcers say offside or offsides during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526254	Yes	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6eab22…
06-30 04:31:26	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x1d7be3…
06-30 04:31:22	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	SELL	7	81¢	$5	0x0d277d…
06-30 04:30:44	will the announcers say shot 10 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526247	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x99a291…
06-30 04:30:19	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	SELL	38	82¢	$31	0x11ca84…
06-30 04:29:53	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0xfe9290…
06-30 04:29:49	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	28	82¢	$23	0x33c0c1…
06-30 04:29:47	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0x32262c…
06-30 04:29:07	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	Yes	BUY	12	75¢	$9	0xe25d08…
06-30 04:24:47	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	SELL	14	24¢	$3	0x5f9cd6…
06-30 04:24:35	will the announcers say pressure 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526250	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0xb9220d…
06-30 04:24:17	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	14	24¢	$3	0xbbd4e6…
06-30 04:24:08	will the announcers say pressure 5 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526250	No	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa4f8fb…
06-30 04:24:05	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	SELL	36	24¢	$9	0x589b08…
06-30 04:23:49	will the announcers say goal 50 times during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526246	No	BUY	36	24¢	$9	0x254165…
06-30 04:19:08	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	SELL	25	13¢	$3	0x858752…
06-30 04:18:52	will the announcers say assist during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526260	No	BUY	25	36¢	$9	0xfe2825…
06-30 04:12:56	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	SELL	21	83¢	$17	0xe03c3c…
06-30 04:12:22	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x781aca…
06-30 04:09:49	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526266	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x7eaff5…
06-30 04:05:20	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	SELL	6	88¢	$6	0xb8dcd2…
06-30 04:04:58	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0xfd1c87…
06-30 04:04:13	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	SELL	26	89¢	$24	0xf84c05…
06-30 04:03:50	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the mexico vs ecuador fifa world cup match 20260629195526259	Yes	BUY	26	88¢	$23	0x13449c…
06-30 03:53:28	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x1f10df…
06-30 03:52:53	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the france vs sweden fifa world cup match 20260629195343712	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xdc5436…
06-30 03:18:41	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x3b1fa5…
06-30 00:41:08	fifwc nld mar 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	300	56¢	$168	0x463c05…
06-29 18:29:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x645e1b…
06-29 17:39:40	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	313	75¢	$235	0x196248…
06-29 17:39:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	SELL	27	75¢	$20	0x4dc79d…
06-29 17:01:37	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	495	48¢	$238	0xa6e181…
06-29 17:01:28	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x23edee…
06-29 17:01:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 btts	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbb9bd5…
06-29 15:52:44	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	No	SELL	21	79¢	$17	0xd0e06e…
06-29 15:52:25	will the announcers say what a save during netherlands vs morocco 20260628222742649	No	BUY	21	79¢	$17	0x5cbd3c…
06-26 05:41:49	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0xaa1f1d…
06-26 05:41:35	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xad72f2…
06-26 05:20:32	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	SELL	70	97¢	$68	0x9136bb…
06-26 05:20:22	will viggo bjorck be drafted in the top 3 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213346479	No	BUY	70	98¢	$69	0x0da146…
06-26 05:14:01	will malte gustafsson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347240	Yes	SELL	70	2¢	$1	0xe265eb…
06-26 05:12:35	will malte gustafsson be drafted in the top 5 of the 2026 nhl draft 20260624213347240	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0x6c34ec…
06-26 05:09:58	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914439	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x2179b0…
06-26 05:09:14	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914439	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x776879…
06-26 04:32:56	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	SELL	50	63¢	$31	0xc9fd0f…
06-26 04:31:31	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xe2ab63…
06-26 04:15:49	will the announcers say qatar during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523349	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0x8b0ebc…
06-26 04:14:47	will the announcers say qatar during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523349	No	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xaf72a0…
06-26 04:02:02	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0xd9acaf…
06-26 04:01:43	will the announcers say champion during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259138	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x0ba676…
06-26 04:01:19	will the announcers say history during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259135	Yes	SELL	50	82¢	$41	0x5f71c3…
06-26 04:00:38	will the announcers say history during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259135	Yes	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xb48ae5…
06-26 03:58:38	will the announcers say qatar during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259131	Yes	SELL	40	46¢	$18	0x1a5f5d…
06-26 03:57:53	will the announcers say qatar during the croatia vs ghana fifa world cup match 20260625200259131	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xee05b5…
06-26 03:49:52	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0xc9dc5a…
06-26 03:49:17	will the announcers say hydration break 5 times during the colombia vs portugal fifa world cup match 20260625200716810	No	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xeadae7…
06-26 03:27:04	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	No	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0xbf6f4e…
06-26 03:26:11	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x7a199c…
06-26 03:11:35	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	SELL	23	46¢	$11	0xd6c6c5…
06-26 03:10:07	will the announcers say handball during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511670	No	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x3597ee…
06-26 03:04:13	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	No	SELL	50	33¢	$17	0xfc2e5d…
06-26 03:03:44	will the announcers say foul 7 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523343	No	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x9ed0d5…
06-26 02:53:01	will the announcers say champion during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914434	Yes	SELL	80	93¢	$74	0x810b24…
06-26 02:52:02	will the announcers say champion during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914434	Yes	BUY	80	93¢	$74	0x24867a…
06-26 02:22:41	will the announcers say what a save during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914436	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xef82e3…
06-26 02:15:10	will the announcers say what a save during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914436	Yes	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xae0a05…
06-26 02:12:22	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914421	No	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x3fba39…
06-26 02:11:28	will the announcers say foul 10 times during the jordan vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260625200914421	No	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xfeb7d8…
06-26 02:00:43	will the announcers say messi during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511681	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x220827…
06-26 02:00:16	will the announcers say messi during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511681	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x4f81b8…
06-26 01:37:26	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523341	No	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0xced8dc…
06-26 01:37:25	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523342	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xaef284…
06-26 01:36:53	will the announcers say goal 40 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523341	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x700d7f…
06-26 01:36:35	will the announcers say corner 10 times during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523342	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xe296b5…
06-26 01:31:10	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	No	SELL	30	26¢	$8	0x26f60b…
06-26 01:29:44	will the announcers say captain during the panama vs england fifa world cup match 20260625200511672	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0xa22c69…
06-26 01:19:02	will the announcers say what a save during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523358	Yes	SELL	30	31¢	$9	0x363ff2…
06-26 01:18:37	will the announcers say what a save during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523358	Yes	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4fbd2f…
06-26 01:18:26	will the announcers say golden boot during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523359	Yes	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0x1d6531…
06-26 01:17:46	will the announcers say golden boot during the uruguay vs spain fifa world cup match 20260625155523359	Yes	BUY	22	43¢	$9	0xb8ee9f…
06-25 04:26:55	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Down	SELL	45	1¢	$1	0xdd8217…
06-25 04:26:26	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Up	SELL	31	98¢	$31	0x152c42…
06-25 04:22:43	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xad376e…
06-25 04:20:37	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe0b79d…
06-25 04:19:13	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xe0b85d…
06-25 04:18:37	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa3513d…
06-25 04:17:31	btc updown 15m 1782360900	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xec8195…