Sneaky-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$489

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,340

lifetime

Volume

$93.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 08-11 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

38% 25% $-435

Politics

24% 0% $-18

Crypto

20% 39% $-36

Sports

9% — —

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$9.6K	8,154	8,154	+0	open	—	05-26 10:35
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	5	$3.5K	2,026	2,026	+0	open	—	06-11 05:14
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	04-28 14:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz	16	$2.9K	1,661	1,661	+0	open	—	05-25 16:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	4	$2.9K	1,719	1,719	+0	open	—	06-09 07:21
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	4	$2.6K	2,547	2,547	+0	open	—	06-09 14:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	05-24 17:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	05-23 05:13
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	Down	$-64	05-06 05:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$2.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	04-09 15:33
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	open	—	04-06 13:45
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	10	$2.0K	2,025	2,025	+0	open	—	04-07 11:05
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,010	+0	open	—	04-12 06:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$2.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	open	—	05-15 02:59
mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	open	—	06-07 01:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	14	$2.0K	990	990	+0	open	—	04-23 12:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	4	$1.8K	906	906	+0	open	—	03-27 06:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-28 13:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	05-14 02:52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$1.4K	1,900	0	+1,900	open	—	05-29 17:24
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$1.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	Down	$-30	05-04 03:46
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	$-365	05-08 04:02
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-13 15:54
bitcoin above 60k on april 3	2	$1.1K	546	545	+0	open	—	04-02 10:08
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	$-18	04-28 04:47
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	2	$998	503	503	+0	open	—	04-01 13:22
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$940	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-04 15:52
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	14	$940	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-08 13:00
wti up or down on april 17 2026	2	$928	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-17 04:43
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	4	$876	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	06-09 09:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 19:00:03	col csk1 pao 2026 08 11 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	96	39¢	$38	0x6d6803…
08-11 18:52:46	btc updown 5m 1786474200	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xec2fab…
08-08 11:07:24	chi ygb tie 2026 08 08 btts	Yes	BUY	19	59¢	$11	0x0a26c8…
08-08 11:07:12	chi ygb tie 2026 08 08 btts	Yes	BUY	119	59¢	$70	0x7f80a8…
07-29 08:56:26	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Up	SELL	22	18¢	$4	0xe425f0…
07-29 08:56:21	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0x8db76d…
07-29 08:53:48	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Down	SELL	25	65¢	$16	0xa1d5a0…
07-29 08:51:09	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xea771a…
07-29 08:49:12	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Up	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x9e6ae2…
07-29 08:47:27	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xcbfe2d…
07-29 08:47:24	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x65cb2c…
07-29 08:47:23	btc updown 15m 1785314700	Down	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x224aab…
07-26 12:33:25	kor any gwo 2026 07 26 btts	No	BUY	200	15¢	$30	0xcd8eaf…
07-25 13:05:27	chi tie qin 2026 07 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	103	44¢	$45	0xd9251e…
07-25 13:05:09	chi tie qin 2026 07 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x23c8c2…
07-25 13:04:31	chi tie qin 2026 07 25 total 0pt5	Under	BUY	14	40¢	$6	0x9d357c…
07-19 21:44:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0x5a0c30…
07-18 09:32:40	btc updown 15m 1784367000	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9f4979…
07-17 14:24:55	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	No	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0x96ea02…
07-17 14:22:36	will the announcers say goat or greatest of all time during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956892	No	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x095b7d…
07-17 14:12:40	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x4f6dc7…
07-17 14:12:01	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x17969b…
07-17 11:06:55	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xe5df89…
07-17 11:01:06	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	Yes	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x9f9120…
07-17 10:54:27	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xad818f…
07-17 10:53:00	will the announcers say comeback or come back during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403313	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x79993d…
07-17 09:44:34	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0xe30de5…
07-17 09:44:18	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xca934e…
07-17 09:42:52	will the announcers say ticket during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403330	Yes	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xfd7f0e…
07-17 09:13:57	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	SELL	40	4¢	$2	0x35fdb9…
07-17 09:13:19	will the announcers say history during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716154956898	No	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0xdd4117…
07-15 20:49:07	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xafa4da…
07-15 20:19:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xe53fdd…
07-15 18:18:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 btts	Yes	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x54de63…
07-15 07:50:43	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xc7364e…
07-15 07:50:34	will the announcers say var during the england vs argentina fifa world cup match 20260713142905973	Yes	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x682370…
07-14 06:50:01	btc updown 15m 1784011500	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0fb538…
07-12 17:58:34	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x78f6fb…
07-12 17:57:10	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x82714d…
07-12 01:38:01	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x4a5a4a…
07-11 23:51:04	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	500	51¢	$255	0x2902cd…
07-11 21:59:20	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	250	30¢	$75	0x74613b…
07-11 17:24:13	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	500	48¢	$240	0x1c9697…
07-11 17:23:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	Norway	BUY	500	36¢	$178	0xff3f7e…
07-10 20:56:01	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	250	100¢	$250	0xf3f4fb…
07-10 20:23:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	16	20¢	$3	0x996547…
07-10 20:20:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals romelu lukaku gte1	Yes	BUY	104	20¢	$21	0x9c6540…
07-10 19:28:46	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x37ed4a…
07-10 19:26:13	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals lamine yamal gte1	Yes	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x39468e…
07-10 19:04:29	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	250	59¢	$148	0xdbb49e…
07-10 07:24:49	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	No	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0x829409…
07-10 07:22:02	will the announcers say what a save during the norway vs england fifa world cup match 20260710011543761	No	BUY	64	53¢	$34	0xf1fd13…
07-10 05:38:22	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x107dc7…
07-10 05:37:59	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xf165d7…
07-10 05:36:43	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x3130e6…
07-10 05:36:08	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xecb4f7…
07-10 05:33:53	will the announcers say box 7 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819066	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x26d977…
07-10 05:33:05	will the announcers say box 7 times during the argentina vs switzerland fifa world cup match 20260710010819066	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x1659f5…
07-09 21:56:46	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3fc36c…
07-09 21:36:38	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	153	100¢	$152	0x87bd30…
07-09 21:29:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x2b478c…
07-09 20:47:01	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	62	47¢	$29	0x9127e3…
07-09 20:42:58	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	SELL	16	47¢	$7	0xf462e7…
07-09 20:18:56	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xf7775c…
07-09 20:15:10	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	230	56¢	$129	0xa107f8…
07-09 17:47:55	will the announcers say golden boot during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420747	Yes	SELL	30	87¢	$26	0x579871…
07-09 17:45:29	will the announcers say golden boot during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420747	Yes	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xf9445a…
07-09 17:35:49	will the announcers say golden goal during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420741	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xd168eb…
07-09 17:35:44	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x514846…
07-09 17:35:41	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	No	SELL	20	27¢	$5	0x0a67e0…
07-09 17:35:37	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	Yes	SELL	8	78¢	$6	0x58d239…
07-09 17:35:35	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	Yes	SELL	20	71¢	$14	0xca75c4…
07-09 17:29:59	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x739b8f…
07-09 17:24:01	will the announcers say golden goal during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420741	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x1849ed…
07-09 17:23:55	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x19a85b…
07-09 17:23:41	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xed5b8e…
07-09 17:23:14	will the announcers say nutmeg or meg during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420749	Yes	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x2d9571…
07-09 17:20:29	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	Yes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc45db7…
07-09 17:14:58	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420748	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xd4b68f…
07-09 17:14:38	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420748	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x83d2d0…
07-09 17:08:47	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	No	SELL	9	20¢	$2	0x358a08…
07-09 17:08:11	will the announcers say var during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420740	No	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x743790…
07-09 17:05:04	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420754	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xd5e416…
07-09 17:04:08	will the announcers say ronaldo during the france vs morocco fifa world cup match 20260708172420754	Yes	BUY	13	35¢	$4	0xfc82f4…
07-09 16:44:04	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	0	3¢	$0	0x610f72…
07-09 16:43:43	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xcad559…
07-09 16:43:20	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x955754…
07-09 16:42:55	will the announcers say trump during the spain vs belgium fifa world cup match 20260708215901501	Yes	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x49c1cf…
07-09 11:02:55	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	500	53¢	$265	0x2509de…
07-09 04:18:22	btc updown 5m 1783570500	Down	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0xcb2781…
07-09 04:17:32	btc updown 5m 1783570500	Down	SELL	44	11¢	$5	0xc8ba75…
07-09 04:16:16	btc updown 5m 1783570500	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xfdc73c…
07-09 04:16:08	btc updown 5m 1783570500	Down	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xd7634d…
07-09 04:14:34	btc updown 15m 1783569600	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd517ea…
07-09 04:10:47	btc updown 15m 1783569600	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x8d5d3a…
07-09 04:01:10	btc updown 15m 1783569600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xffb27c…
07-09 04:00:49	btc updown 15m 1783569600	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xbceef2…
07-09 04:00:25	btc updown 15m 1783569600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9f3b57…
07-09 03:55:26	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa10c48…
07-09 03:55:05	btc updown 15m 1783568700	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbd8208…