Sneaky-Accuracy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.82K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.6%

Resolved

815

Trades

2,401

lifetime

Volume

$133.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 11-01 09:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Other

51% 21% -$4,973

Politics

19% 10% -$337

Crypto

15% 35% +$84

Sports

9% 9% -$509

Tech

6% 0% -$83

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 47 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	14	$9.6K	8,154	8,154	+0	No	-$89	05-26 10:35
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	5	$3.5K	2,026	2,026	+0	No	-$130	06-11 05:14
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	+$0	04-28 14:57
Roland Garros ATP: Jaume Munar vs Hubert Hurkacz	16	$2.9K	1,661	1,661	+0	Hubert Hurkacz	+$307	05-25 16:27
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	4	$2.9K	1,719	1,719	+0	Yes	-$17	06-09 07:21
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-06-06?	7	$2.7K	1,370	1,370	+0	Yes	+$16	06-06 06:57
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	6	$2.7K	2,594	2,594	+0	Yes	-$19	05-01 14:05
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	4	$2.6K	2,547	2,547	+0	No	-$25	06-09 14:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?	2	$2.5K	1,300	1,300	+0	No	-$4	05-24 17:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$1	05-23 05:13
St. Louis City SC vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$2.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	+$143	09-13 01:03
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	2	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$15	05-30 17:04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$2.2K	1,500	1,500	+0	Down	-$64	05-06 05:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	6	$2.1K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	-$70	04-09 15:33
bitcoin above 66k on april 6	2	$2.0K	1,027	1,027	+0	Yes	-$1	04-06 13:45
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	10	$2.0K	2,025	2,025	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$10	04-07 11:05
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	2	$2.0K	1,011	1,010	+0	Yes	-$1	04-12 06:21
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	4	$2.0K	2,200	2,200	+0	Up	-$100	05-15 02:59
mlb cle tex 2026 06 06	2	$2.0K	1,053	1,053	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$0	06-07 01:04
bitcoin above 74k on april 23	14	$2.0K	990	990	+0	Yes	-$1	04-23 12:42
bitcoin above 62k on march 28	4	$1.8K	906	906	+0	Yes	-$2	03-27 06:44
FC Augsburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: Both Teams to Score	3	$1.7K	1,015	1,015	+0	Yes	+$293	09-12 14:49
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$1.6K	1,000	1,000	+0	$80k	+$0	04-28 13:11
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14?	3	$1.5K	1,500	1,500	+0	Up	-$19	05-14 02:52
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	1	$1.4K	1,900	0	+1,900	Joao Fonseca	-$1,415	05-29 17:24
Portland Timbers vs. Minnesota United FC: Both Teams to Score	2	$1.2K	750	750	+0	Yes	+$269	09-06 03:47
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$1.2K	1,700	1,700	+0	Down	-$30	05-04 03:46
AIK vs. Mjallby AIF: Both Teams to Score	6	$1.2K	700	700	+0	Yes	+$216	09-16 17:45
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 8?	2	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	-$365	05-08 04:02
cricipl sun raj 2026 04 13	2	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$10	04-13 15:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:10:30	Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x2ad428…
11-01 09:07:40	Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	61	18¢	$11	0x6ead41…
11-01 09:07:39	Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	39	18¢	$7	0xb2ffcb…
10-31 08:36:33	Exact Score: Gwangju FC 1 - 1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC?	Yes	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xf53a44…
10-31 07:47:03	Suzhou Dongwu vs. Yanbian Longding: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	50	45¢	$22	0x7dbe00…
10-31 07:28:04	Suzhou Dongwu vs. Yanbian Longding: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xaec7d3…
10-22 15:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0x3ed6e2…
10-22 14:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6969f4…
10-22 14:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	67	99¢	$66	0x8d0dee…
10-22 14:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0x4cac39…
10-22 14:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x6b70f5…
10-22 14:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xaae407…
10-22 14:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xfcdcec…
10-22 14:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x3555b0…
10-22 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xd65f01…
10-22 05:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x60c415…
10-22 05:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	19	7¢	$1	0xcd3a34…
10-22 05:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0xcbfeb8…
10-22 05:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x20034b…
10-22 05:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xeb5733…
10-22 05:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0xc2f8eb…
10-22 05:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x7d6846…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0xf96069…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xf93a05…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	8¢	$2	0xe95dda…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xddf070…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xdc7438…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xd4025b…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xb6ee5c…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x909d56…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x3c7d4c…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3a10e2…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x0c48ce…
10-15 15:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	8¢	$1	0x08b295…
10-15 12:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	79	5¢	$4	0x77524c…
10-15 12:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x5dd0d0…
10-15 12:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0x9878f9…
10-15 12:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb97f65…
10-15 12:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xb7ad1a…
10-15 12:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x81108d…
10-15 12:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x68e654…
10-06 17:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xee7c93…
10-06 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xcf3b72…
10-06 17:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	60	15¢	$9	0x0297b6…
10-05 05:14:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7e0462…
10-05 05:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd59ae0…
10-05 05:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x9850b6…
10-05 05:13:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x6024ce…
10-05 05:13:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-05 05:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x5f6217…
10-01 08:42:59	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x154c9b…
10-01 08:37:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xa6be8b…
10-01 08:37:53	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0xeb7e1f…
10-01 08:33:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x7cbc9e…
10-01 07:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd2ce04…
10-01 07:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa96d47…
10-01 07:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:25 UTC	Up	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xe285d6…
10-01 01:57:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0xe1f8e0…
10-01 01:57:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xba59a8…
10-01 01:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x89f7c0…
10-01 01:55:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x1241eb…
10-01 01:55:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x79a179…
10-01 01:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0x870dbb…
10-01 01:55:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0x72d41a…
10-01 01:41:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xa0b0e8…
10-01 01:41:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	52	6¢	$3	0x3c9bfd…
10-01 01:41:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa3b86a…
10-01 01:40:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	110	11¢	$12	0x7ef36c…
09-30 15:24:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0xda286d…
09-30 15:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xf88a18…
09-30 15:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd7a8be…
09-30 15:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0xba847c…
09-30 15:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x84162a…
09-30 14:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x254276…
09-30 14:03:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5495bd…
09-30 14:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x3a4e1c…
09-30 14:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	4¢	$2	0x212047…
09-30 14:03:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x19205c…
09-30 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	58	1¢	$1	0x0627b9…
09-30 13:58:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x568126…
09-30 12:28:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x07568a…
09-30 12:28:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x5e88ea…
09-30 06:58:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	12	86¢	$11	0x9664b2…
09-30 06:58:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Down	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x4e59b9…
09-30 06:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x768225…
09-30 06:57:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xb87f20…
09-30 06:57:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	25	27¢	$7	0xe3fc70…
09-30 06:50:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xa98a70…
09-30 06:50:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xa3a6a1…
09-30 06:41:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x1ccf2b…
09-30 06:39:26	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xf098a4…
09-30 02:17:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x901138…
09-30 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xa20ae9…
09-30 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8d309b…
09-30 02:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x0ea35b…
09-30 02:06:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa8e074…
09-30 01:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	80	5¢	$4	0x3069a0…
09-30 01:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xcc3efa…
09-30 01:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xb5b4d0…
09-30 01:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0xabe014…
09-30 01:19:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x8f4933…