Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$14

Unrealized P&L

-$68

Hit rate

15.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

26 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$42

$473 lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$10

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-23 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

68% 23% -$100

Politics

29% 75% +$79

Tech

3% 0% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes		+130	$68	4¢	$5	-$63	09-21 16:20
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	Yes		+400	$10	1¢	$5	-$5	08-21 17:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	1	$68	130	0	+130	open	—	09-21 16:20
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$50	152	0	+152	No	-$50	09-27 14:32
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$40	578	0	+578	No	-$40	09-27 14:33
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	2	$38	77	77	+0	open	—	10-23 19:20
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	1	$37	119	0	+119	No	+$82	09-07 16:08
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	1	$35	298	0	+298	Yes	-$35	08-31 19:17
will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	1	$27	50	0	+50	Yes	+$22	08-20 02:53
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	1	$25	31	0	+31	No	+$6	08-08 07:30
will trump speak to mark carney by august 31 2026	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	+$14	08-30 23:11
Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	1	$20	59	0	+59	No	-$20	08-23 18:56
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$15	38	0	+38	No	-$15	09-02 09:57
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$15	25	0	+25	No	-$15	08-22 01:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	1	$14	52	0	+52	Yes	-$14	08-10 16:35
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	1	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	10-23 20:40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	1	$10	400	0	+400	open	—	08-21 17:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	1	$10	56	0	+56	Yes	+$46	08-20 19:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$7	23	23	+0	open	—	10-23 19:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$6	1,200	0	+1,200	No	-$6	08-10 16:41
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	1	$5	45	0	+45	open	—	10-23 20:39
Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?	1	$4	1,701	0	+1,701	No	-$4	08-11 18:29
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?	1	$3	2,097	0	+2,097	No	-$3	08-11 18:31
Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	+$3	10-23 20:50
Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	1	$3	55	0	+55	No	-$3	08-21 17:29
Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	1	$3	521	0	+521	No	-$3	08-10 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 20:50:03	Will Trump say "Transgender" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x7eb85b…
10-23 20:40:15	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 62-66%?	Yes	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0x0e460d…
10-23 20:39:39	Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 58-62%?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x634776…
10-23 19:20:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	11¢	$2	0xab9c8c…
10-23 19:20:15	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	77	24¢	$18	0x73eacc…
09-27 18:37:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xc40ba4…
09-27 14:33:00	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	578	7¢	$40	0xf15548…
09-27 14:32:41	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xa0721c…
09-21 16:20:25	Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	Yes	BUY	130	52¢	$68	0xf809c9…
09-07 16:08:27	Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?	No	BUY	119	31¢	$37	0xfa2984…
09-02 09:57:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x1bfa90…
08-31 19:17:37	Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	No	BUY	298	12¢	$35	0x4de10c…
08-31 18:43:30	Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x0c3cda…
08-30 23:11:18	will trump speak to mark carney by august 31 2026	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x19d339…
08-23 18:56:58	Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x114c9f…
08-22 01:34:52	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xac8ccd…
08-21 17:38:21	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x5812e3…
08-21 17:29:09	Will Natalie Harp be the next White House Press Secretary?	Yes	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0xdfdfbd…
08-20 19:33:43	Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x59a460…
08-20 02:53:48	will xauusd reach 4600 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x94326f…
08-11 18:31:06	Will annual inflation be 4.1% in July?	Yes	BUY	2,097	0¢	$3	0x5d2a7a…
08-11 18:29:54	Will annual inflation be 4.2% or more in July?	Yes	BUY	1,701	0¢	$4	0x7dda99…
08-10 16:41:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,200	0¢	$6	0xc4d6c0…
08-10 16:35:30	Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	52	27¢	$14	0x047051…
08-10 16:07:34	Will there be 80 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$3	0x22c351…
08-08 07:30:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x3a5417…