Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$226

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

310

Trades

3,952

lifetime

Volume

$7.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$121

1 position

First seen

2026-10-17

last 11-07 11:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

67% 55% +$151

Crypto

25% 48% +$137

Politics

6% 25% -$77

Sports

2% 57% +$14

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 3036 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		+817	$99	15¢	$121	+$22	10-22 15:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	21	$302	340	340	+0	Gen.G	-$31	10-25 23:04
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	18	$276	585	585	+0	No	-$65	10-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	16	$169	164	164	+0	Down	+$22	11-06 20:59
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group C	13	$130	126	126	+0	cancelled	-$11	11-02 17:29
Games Total: O/U 2.5	7	$125	388	0	+388	Over	-$125	10-25 18:35
Dota 2: LEGION vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner	4	$109	75	75	+0	HULIGANI	+$40	11-02 12:14
Dota 2: OG vs Yellow Submarine - Game 2 Winner	3	$102	71	71	+0	Yellow Submarine	+$39	11-02 14:59
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	5	$102	58	58	+0	Team Yandex	-$4	10-22 09:35
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$99	817	0	+817	open	—	10-22 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	7	$93	91	91	+0	Up	-$1	11-03 15:34
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs CyberHero - Game 2 Winner	7	$81	50	50	+0	GamerLegion	+$20	11-02 21:18
Dota 2: Gorgc Team vs Stariy bog Team (BO5) - 1win Streamers League #3 Playoffs	5	$80	132	0	+132	Gorgc Team	+$52	10-18 22:45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	14	$80	229	6	+223	Invictus Gaming	+$150	10-25 17:42
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	11	$77	107	35	+71	Dplus KIA	-$36	10-24 23:24
Dota 2: Level Up Academy vs old blood (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group B	6	$77	54	54	+0	old blood	+$31	10-31 21:51
LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2	$76	311	0	+311	Top Esports	-$76	10-25 18:41
LoL: Gen.G vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	6	$72	47	47	+0	LYON	+$23	10-25 23:03
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	5	$71	46	46	+0	open	—	11-07 09:02
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	2,402	$71	201	66	+135	Movistar KOI	+$129	10-23 20:37
Dota 2: potn9ki vs HellNight- - Game 2 Winner	4	$71	99	24	+75	cancelled	+$15	11-02 16:20
LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	615	$68	223	51	+172	Gen.G	-$42	10-23 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$67	65	65	+0	Down	+$0	11-05 22:18
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	8	$67	106	30	+77	Top Esports	-$47	10-24 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$63	51	51	+0	Down	+$8	11-03 15:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	8	$59	160	0	+160	Down	-$59	10-20 22:43
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	6	$59	66	66	+0	Team Spirit	-$2	11-01 15:13
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	5	$58	35	35	+0	open	—	11-07 09:02
Counter-Strike: 9INE Academy vs CTRL Esports - Map 1 Winner	2	$58	32	32	+0	cancelled	-$2	10-21 13:50
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 3 Winner	2	$58	40	40	+0	Team Spirit	+$21	11-01 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	7	$58	95	0	+95	Up	-$58	11-03 10:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 11:02:24	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	34	64¢	$22	0xb681bf…
11-07 10:56:21	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	27	83¢	$22	0xde2d98…
11-07 10:10:25	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0xdf688d…
11-07 10:10:13	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0x723273…
11-07 09:48:45	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner	BetBoom Team	BUY	29	48¢	$14	0xbfb193…
11-07 09:02:07	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	21¢	$2	0x8a2d83…
11-07 09:02:07	Spread: Bears (-6.5)	Buccaneers	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x097ba9…
11-07 09:02:07	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	14¢	$2	0x00fcd7…
11-07 09:02:06	Raiders vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5	Over	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xfd88c2…
11-07 09:02:06	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xd6da3b…
11-07 09:02:06	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	72	9¢	$7	0xd10005…
11-07 09:02:06	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	86¢	$9	0x7e51a8…
11-07 09:02:06	US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0x4a0704…
11-07 09:02:06	Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5	Under	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x20e1a6…
11-07 09:02:06	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	73	6¢	$5	0x12917d…
11-07 09:02:06	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0x05e13b…
11-07 09:02:04	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0xd4d749…
11-07 09:02:04	Counter-Strike: BOJONG vs eSuba (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season	BOJONG	SELL	45	46¢	$21	0xd1fff9…
11-07 09:02:04	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	72	15¢	$11	0x85ce81…
11-07 09:02:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0x629af0…
11-07 09:02:03	Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0xe703c8…
11-07 09:02:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	46	68¢	$32	0xc6aeaa…
11-07 09:02:03	Will Gen.G Make the Worlds 2026 Grand Final?	Yes	SELL	37	79¢	$30	0xac76b4…
11-07 09:02:03	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x17eefc…
11-07 06:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0xa90445…
11-07 06:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x1e5baa…
11-07 06:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	48¢	$11	0x21858a…
11-07 06:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xb62f8a…
11-07 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0xea270c…
11-07 05:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0xbfc255…
11-07 04:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0x5084bd…
11-07 04:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x8f9a4b…
11-07 04:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x08ff18…
11-07 04:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x395b27…
11-07 04:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x719e44…
11-07 04:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x783d58…
11-07 03:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xe60fcf…
11-07 03:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	82	19¢	$16	0x9867dc…
11-07 03:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xcd9c51…
11-07 03:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0x5b723f…
11-07 03:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0xd40131…
11-07 03:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x4854fa…
11-07 02:21:48	76ers vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x6ba086…
11-07 02:10:37	Wizards vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x34a7ae…
11-07 01:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x529b15…
11-07 00:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0xd59169…
11-07 00:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xc537b8…
11-07 00:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xc9df73…
11-07 00:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xc33521…
11-07 00:55:46	LoL: Karmine Corp vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs	Karmine Corp	BUY	155	9¢	$14	0x2120e2…
11-07 00:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xffc700…
11-07 00:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb7f125…
11-07 00:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xa0a1ce…
11-07 00:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,910	0¢	$2	0x25b34a…
11-06 23:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x27385f…
11-06 23:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x37184a…
11-06 23:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x127ffc…
11-06 23:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x58cbe5…
11-06 23:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x5ad0bc…
11-06 22:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x591f55…
11-06 22:40:33	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc3766e…
11-06 22:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x48d98f…
11-06 21:18:01	Will Everton FC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xb1c0e8…
11-06 21:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0x16a73c…
11-06 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0x4066ef…
11-06 21:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$8	0xd2f231…
11-06 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xaa93ab…
11-06 21:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x094306…
11-06 21:04:31	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	18	14¢	$3	0xf3cc66…
11-06 21:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x52a416…
11-06 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x3fe0ff…
11-06 21:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	55¢	$8	0x672eba…
11-06 21:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x5e0097…
11-06 21:03:24	Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xf4c715…
11-06 20:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	89¢	$15	0x1dd4a2…
11-06 20:59:04	Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0xbca003…
11-06 20:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x851d2b…
11-06 20:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xa6574b…
11-06 20:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xb50987…
11-06 20:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x963ae4…
11-06 20:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x58d959…
11-06 20:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	225	1¢	$2	0x54caad…
11-06 20:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	44	51¢	$22	0x9796ac…
11-06 20:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	54¢	$16	0xbaf6ca…
11-06 20:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0x0eb5be…
11-06 20:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0xbabdb1…
11-06 20:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x830840…
11-06 20:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0xc86f51…
11-06 20:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	65	55¢	$36	0x44236b…
11-06 20:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc3c3e4…
11-06 20:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xf21b1b…
11-06 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0x28e8b8…
11-06 20:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xa5e44d…
11-06 20:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x6852f6…
11-06 20:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0x13e237…
11-06 20:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xbed0e5…
11-06 20:14:39	Will Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x0223ab…
11-06 20:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x58634b…
11-06 20:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2d66c8…
11-06 20:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x7ffe91…