Nimble-Beastie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$185

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.4%

Resolved

1,202

Trades

1,607

lifetime

Volume

$3.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 10-24 16:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 32% -$166

Other

1% 0% -$17

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$31	29	29	+0	Up	+$27	10-24 07:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:55 UTC	2	$29	20	20	+0	Up	+$9	06-27 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$28	31	23	+8	Up	+$14	09-20 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$26	20	20	+0	Up	+$14	09-20 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	3	$24	23	23	+0	Up	+$15	09-20 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 18:15 UTC	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$12	06-27 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$15	09-22 12:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 06:00 UTC	2	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$11	09-22 06:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 14:30 UTC	2	$19	14	14	+0	Up	+$9	09-21 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 21:15 UTC	2	$19	23	23	+0	Up	-$1	06-27 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:15 UTC	2	$18	16	16	+0	Down	+$8	09-22 03:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 21:30 UTC	2	$17	12	12	+0	Down	+$7	06-27 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$17	17	17	+0	Up	+$15	10-24 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 20:40 UTC	1	$16	44	0	+44	Down	-$16	06-27 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	09-10 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 21:45 UTC	2	$15	31	0	+31	Up	-$15	06-27 21:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-17 16:05 UTC	2	$15	17	16	+1	Down	+$14	04-17 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$15	14	14	+0	Up	+$7	04-30 19:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 05:30 UTC	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	09-22 05:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:30 UTC	2	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$8	09-19 13:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 11:15 UTC	3	$14	20	11	+9	Up	+$4	02-24 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	3	$14	15	15	+0	Down	+$6	06-03 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	09-09 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$11	09-21 06:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 19:20 UTC	2	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$9	09-21 19:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	+$9	10-24 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$13	9	9	+0	Up	+$5	09-09 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:55 UTC	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$6	07-14 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$8	09-19 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	Up	+$10	09-21 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 16:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xeed08a…
10-24 15:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x11beca…
10-24 15:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4142bd…
10-24 15:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x24a99a…
10-24 15:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7991d8…
10-24 15:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd96bed…
10-24 15:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	17¢	$3	0x2d0563…
10-24 15:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xec7321…
10-24 15:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x116fd4…
10-24 15:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x999f5a…
10-24 14:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xbcc071…
10-24 14:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x206710…
10-24 14:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x06f69a…
10-24 14:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd91230…
10-24 14:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x6efa03…
10-24 14:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x69c083…
10-24 14:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3b41a4…
10-24 14:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x680466…
10-24 14:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$16	0x249f58…
10-24 14:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcef0e6…
10-24 14:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0x368ede…
10-24 14:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x839aa9…
10-24 09:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf0d9a2…
10-24 09:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x519c02…
10-24 09:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xda5736…
10-24 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd059b8…
10-24 09:36:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xc1518f…
10-24 09:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x695948…
10-24 09:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xf47feb…
10-24 09:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xa2d89d…
10-24 09:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x1e76dd…
10-24 08:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6f4828…
10-24 08:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbd03c4…
10-24 08:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf260f9…
10-24 08:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb1d99b…
10-24 07:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xe83150…
10-24 07:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x6e67a5…
10-24 07:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x7521f2…
10-24 07:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd95bc9…
10-24 07:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1a8820…
10-24 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x790d04…
10-24 07:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x557219…
10-24 07:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xba0369…
10-24 07:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x14043c…
10-24 06:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b9005…
10-24 06:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xbe8b10…
10-24 06:37:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf71e2e…
10-24 06:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x6ad3dc…
10-24 06:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x618ac9…
10-24 06:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x54792c…
10-24 06:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$5	0x41c7ef…
10-24 06:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd83ea3…
10-24 06:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5097a2…
10-24 06:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x14c5a3…
10-24 06:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x443fb3…
10-24 06:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x440c8c…
10-24 05:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4795dd…
10-24 05:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x43b9f2…
10-24 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb92e5c…
10-24 05:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x167efb…
10-24 05:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x359f86…
10-24 05:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x6ed138…
10-24 05:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xcd9e5a…
10-24 05:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xd8ad5a…
10-24 04:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc0d3a5…
10-24 04:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x66ee5a…
10-24 04:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xfacc10…
10-24 04:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x7e8943…
10-24 04:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xf9f8f4…
10-24 03:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xd49921…
10-24 03:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4433af…
10-24 03:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x69b630…
10-24 03:43:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 23, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xfd02f4…
10-24 03:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc2a7ed…
10-24 03:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x64460f…
10-24 03:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb1627d…
10-24 03:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3b930a…
10-24 03:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xc96a8f…
10-24 03:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x74ff1a…
09-30 19:55:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	15	30¢	$5	0x096199…
09-30 19:51:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x07bfc8…
09-30 19:51:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xeb0906…
09-30 19:48:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0xa3f52d…
09-30 19:47:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x31ed60…
09-30 19:41:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 19:40 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x66b1e7…
09-30 18:56:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1ff15c…
09-30 18:52:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x00e5bb…
09-30 18:41:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:40 UTC	Down	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xf95d21…
09-30 18:15:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0061f7…
09-30 18:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x37890f…
09-30 18:07:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x45e0dd…
09-30 18:02:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6d498a…
09-30 18:01:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0e6141…
09-30 17:47:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xda2bd3…
09-30 17:42:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:40 UTC	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x80a7ae…
09-30 17:31:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf52593…
09-30 16:36:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x16541e…
09-30 16:35:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x7f4e01…
09-30 16:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xc276ea…
09-30 16:31:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xa8c8f3…