Fragrant-Macro — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$987

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,877

lifetime

Volume

$20.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-30 08:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% +$987

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 1378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$705	2,789	0	+2,789	Down	$-705	05-14 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	5	$455	5,170	0	+5,170	open	—	05-14 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$195	298	0	+298	Up	+$104	05-14 06:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$193	477	0	+477	Up	+$283	05-14 05:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$177	483	0	+483	Down	$-177	05-14 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$172	750	0	+750	Up	+$578	05-14 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$158	242	0	+242	Up	+$84	05-14 06:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$146	399	0	+399	Down	$-146	05-14 05:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	2	$101	273	0	+273	Down	$-101	05-14 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	4	$93	263	0	+263	Up	+$170	05-14 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$79	208	0	+208	Up	+$129	05-14 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$78	140	0	+140	Down	$-78	05-13 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$67	126	0	+126	Down	$-67	05-13 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$67	126	0	+126	Up	+$59	05-14 04:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$65	146	0	+146	Down	+$82	05-13 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$63	120	0	+120	open	—	05-14 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$59	334	0	+334	open	—	05-14 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$56	181	0	+181	Up	+$125	05-13 17:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$55	125	0	+125	Down	$-55	05-13 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	11	$53	108	88	+21	open	—	05-28 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$52	87	0	+87	Up	+$35	05-13 20:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$51	85	0	+85	Up	+$34	05-14 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$51	123	0	+123	Down	$-51	05-14 02:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	05-15 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$50	88	0	+88	open	—	05-15 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	1	$47	85	0	+85	open	—	05-15 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$46	168	0	+168	Down	$-46	05-14 01:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$46	116	0	+116	Up	$-46	05-14 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$44	88	0	+88	Down	$-44	05-13 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$43	72	0	+72	Up	+$29	05-13 20:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 08:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x43d8cb…
05-30 08:11:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x0da10a…
05-30 08:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4abad6…
05-30 08:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x41f5a5…
05-30 08:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x3b6daf…
05-30 08:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x82ace6…
05-30 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x9ecf4c…
05-30 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1c9049…
05-30 08:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x007514…
05-30 08:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0fe4dd…
05-30 08:01:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xe7a6c8…
05-30 08:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6408dc…
05-30 08:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x1d782e…
05-30 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe41013…
05-30 08:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa032f4…
05-30 08:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x89672f…
05-30 07:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x37211b…
05-30 07:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5fe825…
05-30 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xfa1949…
05-30 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x98a6d7…
05-30 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9079e6…
05-30 07:45:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x705347…
05-30 07:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xece418…
05-30 07:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe8ec5d…
05-30 07:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3dc7c2…
05-30 07:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0473ec…
05-30 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4d7f8f…
05-30 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40d83d…
05-30 07:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x2eed4f…
05-30 07:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x267f09…
05-30 02:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0x824c16…
05-30 02:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xd19d6e…
05-30 02:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x47904e…
05-30 02:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x72f7fa…
05-30 02:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x13c68c…
05-30 02:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x9b3468…
05-30 02:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4bfdb4…
05-30 02:53:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x102f4b…
05-30 02:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7aa61f…
05-30 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb2a27c…
05-30 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x9e3c2d…
05-30 02:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7656b2…
05-30 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xeab182…
05-30 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7ee9aa…
05-30 02:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xf80ccd…
05-30 02:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xd15408…
05-30 02:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x68c2d2…
05-30 02:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x5e3c6a…
05-30 02:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xff098d…
05-30 02:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x91b254…
05-30 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xe8193d…
05-30 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa4c64f…
05-30 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x85ce08…
05-30 02:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x38ffe7…
05-30 02:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x520800…
05-30 02:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x503acd…
05-30 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc57352…
05-30 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xc3adac…
05-30 02:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x37c81c…
05-30 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf0ef93…
05-30 02:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x74bc05…
05-30 01:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x484ff4…
05-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xee15af…
05-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8c0e69…
05-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x81c6b1…
05-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x244e27…
05-30 01:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x014b96…
05-30 01:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x82f56f…
05-30 01:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x56b23b…
05-30 01:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x323302…
05-30 01:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5a440a…
05-30 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8e582d…
05-30 01:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x85dc9c…
05-30 01:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa5c333…
05-30 01:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa2c42b…
05-30 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xafb030…
05-30 01:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x8781dc…
05-30 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0xe50324…
05-30 01:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x7b2729…
05-30 01:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x4ca10f…
05-30 00:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xaf8501…
05-30 00:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x400985…
05-30 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x1458c7…
05-30 00:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0dee5c…
05-30 00:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xe072cc…
05-30 00:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x12ad3e…
05-30 00:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xcf58a1…
05-30 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe8dffa…
05-30 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd0b463…
05-30 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xd85145…
05-30 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xaa8bb5…
05-30 00:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	13	43¢	$5	0x2ceadc…
05-30 00:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x5d2159…
05-30 00:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x4ae30b…
05-30 00:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x523ef3…
05-30 00:25:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x26e4b1…
05-30 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0xfa9782…
05-30 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd556d7…
05-30 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x4c55f4…
05-30 00:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x09bbcb…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	998	$317.5K	50,287	05-30 08:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	997	$296.4K	83,011	05-30 08:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	997	$276.9K	41,179	05-30 08:14
Vengeful-Basil 0x7daf…8ca4	997	$100.7K	20,843	05-30 08:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	996	$291.4K	79,039	05-30 08:14
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	995	$203.2K	35,661	05-30 08:11
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	994	$229.9K	39,009	05-30 08:12
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	993	$214.8K	9,424	05-30 08:14