Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.85K

Unrealized P&L

-$391

Hit rate

74.9%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$66.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$396

Open exposure

$901

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-18 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% -$2,429

Other

1% 0% -$425

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes		-1,242	-$509	72¢	$-901	-$391	06-26 00:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	1	$4.8K	4,807	0	+4,807	No	+$54	01-27 06:57
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$4.7K	4,753	0	+4,753	No	+$5	01-20 07:26
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	28	$4.4K	4,214	2,487	+1,727	No	-$2,200	03-23 17:14
bitcoin above 94k on january 11	1	$3.9K	3,925	0	+3,925	No	+$4	01-11 09:52
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	10	$3.8K	2,509	2,553	-43	No	+$8	03-02 09:41
bitcoin above 94k on january 8	1	$3.7K	3,753	0	+3,753	No	+$19	01-08 10:57
bitcoin above 96k on january 9	1	$3.5K	3,504	0	+3,504	No	+$4	01-09 10:52
ethereum above 3500 on january 17	1	$3.3K	3,282	0	+3,282	No	+$3	01-17 08:54
bitcoin above 100k on january 16	1	$3.3K	3,277	0	+3,277	No	+$3	01-16 09:16
bitcoin above 82k on january 13	1	$3.1K	3,063	0	+3,063	Yes	+$3	01-12 18:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 15	1	$3.0K	3,003	0	+3,003	Yes	+$3	01-15 06:22
bitcoin above 90k on january 14	1	$3.0K	3,009	0	+3,009	Yes	+$9	01-14 07:38
will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	10	$2.5K	4,748	4,748	+0	No	-$692	01-19 06:49
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	8	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$1,020	01-19 06:57
will solana reach 90 in august 2026	18	$1.9K	3,097	3,097	+0	Yes	+$1,108	08-20 05:06
will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	10	$1.9K	4,171	2,911	+1,261	No	-$806	08-28 16:29
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	01-12 01:45
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$1.7K	0	2,701	-2,701	No	+$1,675	01-17 19:57
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	2	$1.6K	848	848	+0	Yes	+$19	03-06 09:43
Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	1,451	0	+1,451	Yes	+$56	01-04 07:10
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	9	$1.2K	900	900	+0	Yes	-$369	03-24 05:51
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	3	$817	1,638	800	+838	No	-$183	09-16 16:34
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	2	$714	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$114	07-28 17:06
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	3	$630	500	500	+0	Yes	-$70	05-03 23:08
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$569	625	0	+625	No	+$56	03-24 05:51
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	6	$509	0	1,242	-1,242	open	—	06-26 00:55
will solana reach 160 in january 2026	7	$481	602	602	+0	No	+$60	01-14 14:54
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	5	$440	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	10-18 13:27
Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6?	2	$429	952	952	+0	No	+$29	09-03 08:55
will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	3	$418	250	250	+0	No	-$52	06-26 10:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-18 13:27:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	1,198	22¢	$264	0xda1799…
10-18 13:27:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	188	22¢	$41	0xa5520b…
10-18 07:40:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x638113…
10-18 06:18:59	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	599	22¢	$132	0x2272d5…
10-18 05:42:09	Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in October?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa67b5b…
09-19 15:55:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	1,345	16¢	$215	0x749dbc…
09-19 15:45:41	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	655	16¢	$105	0x719923…
09-16 16:34:47	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	Yes	SELL	800	40¢	$317	0x7c99c9…
09-15 07:49:27	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	714	28¢	$200	0x6d8c3e…
09-13 13:26:25	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in September?	Yes	BUY	924	32¢	$300	0x5f2f28…
09-03 08:55:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6?	Yes	SELL	952	24¢	$229	0x550e20…
09-01 11:16:22	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 August 31-September 6?	Yes	BUY	952	21¢	$200	0x119431…
08-28 16:29:19	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,261	9¢	$113	0xc3f030…
08-26 16:25:28	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0x12173d…
08-26 14:09:49	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	1,450	24¢	$348	0x451d77…
08-25 18:47:22	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0x4a852a…
08-25 08:25:19	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	400	29¢	$116	0x260b10…
08-25 08:22:22	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	400	30¢	$120	0x99a577…
08-24 18:03:55	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0x34b84b…
08-24 12:06:28	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	36¢	$360	0xa266ee…
08-24 11:51:51	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	795	35¢	$278	0x20dfb5…
08-24 11:51:19	will ethereum dip to 2300 august 24 30 2026	Yes	BUY	205	35¢	$72	0x5f267e…
08-20 05:06:27	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,549	50¢	$774	0xb4aa9b…
08-20 04:52:34	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	1,549	48¢	$747	0x0a51b3…
08-12 08:16:15	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa8ec36…
08-12 06:25:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	132	13¢	$17	0xf65b81…
08-09 14:36:06	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1,103	14¢	$154	0x33f0a5…
08-09 13:23:04	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	140	13¢	$18	0x443313…
08-09 11:16:49	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xc4824d…
08-09 11:16:19	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0x6509c8…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xf007da…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	6	13¢	$1	0xaaec9f…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x78523e…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x6a42f8…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x4a4698…
08-09 10:24:42	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x1a87bb…
08-09 10:20:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xeaadc1…
08-09 09:50:36	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0x781da0…
08-09 09:19:48	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xf32c08…
08-09 09:00:39	will solana reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xb0471a…
07-28 17:06:20	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	41¢	$414	0x99ab68…
07-26 11:56:28	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	30¢	$300	0xd9b168…
07-23 07:17:33	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	SELL	286	53¢	$151	0xfdb360…
07-09 05:06:38	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	Yes	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xf33b0b…
06-26 10:08:56	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	SELL	246	73¢	$180	0xd05b14…
06-26 00:55:23	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	589	41¢	$241	0xfbdead…
06-26 00:52:53	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	59	41¢	$24	0x3f8d40…
06-25 08:47:16	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x53218d…
06-22 18:59:55	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	SELL	1,200	4¢	$44	0x423136…
06-21 23:30:56	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	41¢	$102	0x2a5330…
06-21 15:27:10	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	41¢	$33	0x196254…
06-21 14:53:08	will nvda dip to 184 in june 2026	No	BUY	250	94¢	$235	0x364571…
06-21 14:48:56	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	1,200	8¢	$96	0x8386fd…
06-21 14:39:25	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x3b7b30…
06-21 14:37:53	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x44674e…
06-21 13:47:50	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	183	41¢	$75	0x51a0a9…
06-20 09:14:41	Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	82	41¢	$33	0x9da171…
06-18 13:32:23	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	500	7¢	$35	0x39f05e…
06-18 13:32:11	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	82	8¢	$7	0xe03fcc…
06-18 13:31:53	will nvda reach 240 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	418	8¢	$33	0xe1f0b8…
06-18 09:05:29	Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	126	25¢	$32	0xff6a1e…
06-09 18:50:54	Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0x4998d8…
06-09 10:19:42	Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	272	30¢	$82	0x2d8fe4…
06-09 07:15:15	Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	629	30¢	$189	0x6f4387…
05-18 13:33:22	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	235	25¢	$59	0xbef282…
05-18 13:33:03	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x765809…
05-18 13:28:21	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 in May?	Yes	BUY	762	25¢	$190	0x1db94a…
05-03 23:08:56	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	179	56¢	$100	0xcf43e9…
05-03 20:55:38	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	321	56¢	$180	0xb06eb7…
04-27 13:43:46	Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x35e6db…
03-24 05:51:37	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	465	94¢	$439	0x86a4a2…
03-24 05:51:21	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	900	48¢	$432	0xc6112d…
03-23 17:21:07	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$130	0xa6bdc8…
03-23 17:14:35	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	SELL	138	99¢	$137	0xb05fa8…
03-15 11:20:57	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	138	93¢	$128	0x1d434b…
03-13 10:23:17	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,200	8¢	$96	0x1a03eb…
03-09 12:01:13	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	69	89¢	$61	0xba8126…
03-09 06:40:45	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0xb1fb21…
03-09 06:40:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xd77f90…
03-09 06:40:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9d4e63…
03-09 06:40:37	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x2b2d29…
03-09 06:40:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x18835e…
03-09 06:40:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x16cf79…
03-09 06:40:25	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	737	89¢	$656	0xbb2857…
03-06 09:43:31	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	848	98¢	$833	0xdd2d0d…
03-02 09:41:39	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	848	96¢	$814	0xb0d0b1…
03-02 09:41:13	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,260	65¢	$814	0x74d0eb…
02-04 13:11:12	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,260	79¢	$1,000	0x0d6700…
01-27 06:57:51	Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4,807	99¢	$4,753	0xf9ca8f…
01-20 07:26:54	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	4,753	100¢	$4,748	0x7715bc…
01-19 06:57:34	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	24¢	$480	0x9891b6…
01-19 06:49:32	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	1,688	16¢	$270	0xc78fdc…
01-19 05:21:22	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0x37c370…
01-19 05:07:02	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	13	20¢	$3	0x205dd9…
01-19 04:41:54	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x5b74f8…
01-19 04:30:26	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb0f791…
01-19 04:17:08	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	38	20¢	$8	0x23b4bb…
01-19 04:13:08	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x046292…
01-19 04:05:48	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	SELL	2,982	20¢	$596	0x49a523…
01-18 06:47:52	will ethereum reach 3600 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	4,000	33¢	$1,320	0x5bff10…