Treasured-Caption — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.6%

Resolved

135

Trades

1,153

lifetime

Volume

$18.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-25 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Crypto

43% 89% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike gaza on january 19 2026	5	$954	485	485	+0	open	—	01-21 09:05
will israel strike lebanon on january 14 2026	4	$695	352	352	+0	open	—	01-15 09:29
will israel strike lebanon on january 13 2026	5	$684	346	346	+0	open	—	01-14 10:55
will israel strike lebanon on january 12 2026	4	$676	341	341	-0	open	—	01-13 22:19
will israel strike gaza on january 22 2026	6	$606	308	308	+0	open	—	01-23 09:16
will israel strike gaza on january 25 2026	8	$501	509	0	+509	open	—	01-26 07:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 20 2026	2	$484	492	0	+492	open	—	01-21 09:06
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	4	$440	443	0	+443	open	—	01-23 09:17
will israel strike gaza on january 27 2026	7	$421	3,886	0	+3,886	open	—	01-28 12:31
will israel strike gaza on january 14 2026	5	$403	355	53	+301	open	—	01-16 07:22
will israel strike gaza on february 2 2026	7	$361	251	251	+0	open	—	02-04 08:02
will israel strike lebanon on january 10 2026	10	$323	337	0	+337	open	—	01-10 22:58
will israel strike gaza on january 6 2026	7	$323	330	0	+330	open	—	01-08 09:19
will israel strike lebanon on january 17 2026	9	$295	298	0	+298	open	—	01-18 21:33
will israel strike lebanon on february 17 2026	6	$212	186	116	+69	open	—	02-19 15:52
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	6	$211	155	78	+77	open	—	03-20 09:16
will israel strike gaza on january 4 2026	5	$210	184	36	+148	open	—	01-06 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$204	104	104	+0	open	—	05-15 14:14
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	2	$202	102	102	+0	open	—	01-28 12:06
Will Iran strike Azerbaijan by April 30, 2026?	5	$193	98	98	+0	open	—	04-27 08:29
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 4, 2026?	3	$183	92	92	+0	open	—	04-06 23:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$182	94	94	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 14:33
will israel strike lebanon on december 31 784	11	$138	139	0	+139	open	—	01-01 23:40
will israel strike lebanon on december 30	1	$138	0	138	-138	open	—	01-01 23:34
will israel strike gaza on february 12 2026	3	$137	69	69	+0	open	—	02-13 11:14
will israel strike lebanon on february 8 2026	2	$131	66	66	+0	open	—	02-10 10:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	3	$129	111	20	+91	open	—	05-04 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$120	114	13	+101	Down	+$1	05-13 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$117	115	5	+110	open	—	05-21 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$110	107	5	+101	open	—	05-15 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 13:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe2c5cb…
05-25 13:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x166d91…
05-25 13:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x108c86…
05-25 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7ea9b5…
05-25 13:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x65a5fd…
05-25 13:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3f90b5…
05-25 12:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x58f387…
05-25 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x9fef34…
05-25 12:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1d0229…
05-25 11:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x50dd8c…
05-25 11:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa63d49…
05-25 11:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2135b7…
05-25 10:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xeeac51…
05-25 10:23:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b1c04…
05-25 10:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf53d2f…
05-25 10:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa5bedb…
05-25 09:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x627f6e…
05-25 09:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x379782…
05-25 09:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5fa694…
05-25 09:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xd8c553…
05-25 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x91901f…
05-25 08:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x13a4bd…
05-25 08:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb15592…
05-25 08:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xcf05e5…
05-25 08:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	21	97¢	$20	0x9916ad…
05-25 08:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xdbd2c1…
05-25 08:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xddc710…
05-25 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xfe5353…
05-25 08:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd5d765…
05-25 08:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7d4e34…
05-25 08:04:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xd49530…
05-25 07:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x373cf4…
05-25 07:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3e0ef9…
05-25 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x261afd…
05-25 07:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe58a5b…
05-25 07:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd62b78…
05-25 07:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x348d8c…
05-22 15:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x56c354…
05-22 15:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x9125f7…
05-22 15:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xd0eab9…
05-22 15:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	76	99¢	$75	0x0d10dd…
05-22 14:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8d05db…
05-22 14:49:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x9514ed…
05-22 14:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd2c85c…
05-22 14:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xeb6865…
05-22 14:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x7c798f…
05-22 14:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x883418…
05-22 14:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd30861…
05-22 14:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x3b3419…
05-22 14:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbd58dc…
05-22 14:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0xc4bdca…
05-22 13:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6b64a2…
05-22 13:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x0003b5…
05-22 13:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x4e5813…
05-22 13:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xb52faa…
05-22 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa2c544…
05-22 13:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	13¢	$0	0xffca22…
05-22 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x0c20de…
05-22 13:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x650829…
05-22 09:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf5c9bd…
05-22 09:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xba1d95…
05-22 09:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe42d89…
05-22 09:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5d2eb0…
05-22 09:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x335f51…
05-22 09:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xd7be03…
05-22 08:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0607e9…
05-22 08:29:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xba1bcc…
05-22 08:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xcf0898…
05-22 08:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x609547…
05-22 08:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xd6a1a9…
05-22 07:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x079f2e…
05-22 07:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xe24d43…
05-22 06:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x896742…
05-21 14:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x03bbfd…
05-21 14:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x635192…
05-21 14:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	110	98¢	$107	0x5177c7…
05-21 14:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf54e55…
05-21 14:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb6b64a…
05-21 13:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x7e832c…
05-21 13:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6771f3…
05-21 13:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0cf382…
05-21 13:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b4889…
05-21 13:52:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f5fa7…
05-21 13:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xa2b1dd…
05-21 13:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xeb307d…
05-21 13:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x52d818…
05-21 13:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$10	0xbd16a6…
05-21 13:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x3b9a28…
05-21 13:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ffe06…
05-21 13:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x2873b9…
05-21 13:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x2bc28f…
05-21 13:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x4d78be…
05-21 13:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8d6d3c…
05-21 11:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xd47228…
05-21 11:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x714caf…
05-21 11:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x68c52c…
05-21 11:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xea4780…
05-21 10:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x752719…
05-21 10:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x8d3ec8…
05-21 10:54:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x147e01…