Careless-Earplug — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$148

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

Trades

185

lifetime

Volume

$1.48K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-12 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% $-148

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 78 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	2	$99	82	82	+0	Down	+$25	05-11 13:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$90	54	54	+0	Up	$-12	05-11 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	3	$72	72	32	+40	Up	$-8	05-11 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	4	$59	62	30	+32	Down	$-1	05-11 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	6	$55	80	29	+51	Up	$-25	05-12 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$54	59	24	+34	Down	$-6	05-11 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	4	$49	159	159	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$46	60	60	+0	Down	$-6	05-11 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$46	33	17	+16	Down	$-14	05-11 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$40	67	0	+67	Up	$-4	05-11 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$40	77	0	+77	Down	+$2	05-11 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$40	72	0	+72	Up	$-4	05-11 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$36	28	28	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 01:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$29	34	34	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$28	43	43	+0	Down	+$8	05-12 02:08
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$28	86	86	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$28	54	39	+15	Down	$-18	05-11 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	3	$24	38	38	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 01:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$23	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-11 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	3	$23	167	167	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$23	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$22	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-11 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	4	$20	98	82	+17	Down	$-20	05-11 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$20	52	0	+52	Up	+$0	05-11 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$20	50	0	+50	Down	+$11	05-11 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$20	25	0	+25	Up	+$5	05-11 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	3	$17	74	74	+0	Down	$-13	05-11 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$15	19	19	+0	Up	$-5	05-11 08:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$15	97	97	+0	Up	$-5	05-11 01:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 04:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xfe4835…
05-12 04:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x09baf3…
05-12 04:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc41db9…
05-12 04:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x48134f…
05-12 04:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xef5472…
05-12 04:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x912ce7…
05-12 04:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	317	0¢	$1	0x73d78f…
05-12 04:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	317	2¢	$5	0xc98751…
05-12 04:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	8¢	$1	0x6a0f57…
05-12 04:12:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xe8e166…
05-12 04:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xc86cee…
05-12 04:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x54a822…
05-12 03:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x82c9f7…
05-12 03:30:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xbfd1e7…
05-12 03:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x01b212…
05-12 03:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x867043…
05-12 03:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9dfe2c…
05-12 02:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x53a3c0…
05-12 02:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x74b38b…
05-12 02:35:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	57	8¢	$5	0xf97279…
05-12 02:28:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc1a5c6…
05-12 02:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xbbbd20…
05-12 02:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xb29287…
05-12 02:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xcfe453…
05-12 02:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x20c883…
05-12 02:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	43	42¢	$18	0xde9f05…
05-12 02:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x92f9ac…
05-12 01:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	11¢	$1	0x59b539…
05-12 01:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0xba5892…
05-12 01:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	36	16¢	$6	0xfeda5e…
05-12 01:41:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	49	8¢	$4	0xd83682…
05-12 01:41:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	118	8¢	$9	0x43075b…
05-12 01:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x952c31…
05-11 14:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x994cd8…
05-11 14:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	SELL	150	18¢	$27	0xf00c44…
05-11 14:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x19ab7f…
05-11 14:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x308781…
05-11 13:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x0080ba…
05-11 13:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	82	75¢	$62	0xe91a76…
05-11 13:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	82	45¢	$37	0x9d16f3…
05-11 13:11:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	54	72¢	$39	0x78faff…
05-11 13:09:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x2cdcb4…
05-11 12:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xdc5904…
05-11 12:55:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xee59e3…
05-11 12:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	74	3¢	$2	0x3cbf84…
05-11 12:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x36dbed…
05-11 12:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x254fd6…
05-11 12:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	32	37¢	$12	0xab5435…
05-11 12:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	28	29¢	$8	0x42ab86…
05-11 12:47:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	32	40¢	$13	0x597cf0…
05-11 12:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	28	47¢	$13	0xed4b31…
05-11 12:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xb256be…
05-11 12:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	39	12¢	$5	0x35cf12…
05-11 12:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	39	26¢	$10	0x30da13…
05-11 12:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa4b262…
05-11 10:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x73bc5a…
05-11 08:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$12	0x79a107…
05-11 08:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x692b2c…
05-11 08:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x7755e0…
05-11 08:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xc9cecd…
05-11 08:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x86299e…
05-11 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	26¢	$5	0x85cdcf…
05-11 08:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x416493…
05-11 08:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x5d67d1…
05-11 08:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xb2fd37…
05-11 08:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x303e89…
05-11 08:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xe4ff53…
05-11 08:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4cbb77…
05-11 08:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x0a26f2…
05-11 08:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x07b7ca…
05-11 07:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x47526b…
05-11 07:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xf55f41…
05-11 07:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x10a2a8…
05-11 07:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	34	54¢	$19	0xb91005…
05-11 07:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x8837d2…
05-11 07:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x326b10…
05-11 07:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xe88670…
05-11 07:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xde8bca…
05-11 07:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2fdacb…
05-11 07:21:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa9ba94…
05-11 07:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xeb4119…
05-11 07:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xebfdeb…
05-11 07:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xc3fad2…
05-11 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x1598ec…
05-11 01:52:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0xc85bdd…
05-11 01:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x5ac3e8…
05-11 01:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbd35a2…
05-11 01:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	93¢	$16	0x7e70a4…
05-11 01:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x1d1744…
05-11 01:34:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	12	2¢	$0	0x2c92ad…
05-11 01:33:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x03e916…
05-11 01:29:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x8d43f9…
05-11 01:28:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x6e17f0…
05-11 01:22:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	97	5¢	$5	0xaea785…
05-11 01:19:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xd4b8b3…
05-11 01:07:59	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	86	15¢	$13	0x2bb949…
05-11 01:05:20	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x01163b…
05-11 01:04:24	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x8fabd7…
05-11 01:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xe6c97e…
05-11 01:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x5b4d32…