Unacceptable-Roar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$119

Unrealized P&L

+$75

Hit rate

57.3%

Resolved

Trades

1,137

lifetime

Volume

$2.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$59

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 11-04 06:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Crypto

51% 65% -$157

Other

48% 25% +$38

Politics

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes		+516	-$16	12¢	$59	+$75	10-12 22:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	17	$391	5,833	5,832	+1	No	+$38	09-02 15:54
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	355	$214	107,117	107,117	+0	No	$0	05-18 09:19
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	3	$135	92	92	+0	open	—	10-29 06:47
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	7	$109	931	416	+516	open	—	10-12 22:30
bitcoin up or down on february 27	1	$90	173	0	+173	Down	-$90	02-26 17:03
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	277	$72	17,959	17,959	+0	No	$0	05-16 07:34
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	326	$53	26,330	26,330	+0	No	$0	06-17 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 27?	1	$49	98	0	+98	Down	-$49	04-26 16:07
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	2	$48	30	30	+0	Yes	+$7	10-29 14:51
bitcoin up or down on february 28	3	$45	60	30	+30	Down	+$15	02-27 17:04
bitcoin up or down on february 25	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	02-25 17:05
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	2	$36	26	26	+0	No	+$7	10-28 16:22
bitcoin up or down on july 27 2026	1	$33	42	0	+42	Down	-$33	07-27 05:49
bitcoin up or down on february 26	1	$28	60	0	+60	Down	+$32	02-25 17:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	1	$26	45	0	+45	Yes	-$26	10-29 22:12
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?	1	$26	50	0	+50	Up	+$24	04-25 16:07
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	-$25	08-12 09:59
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	2	$25	17	17	+0	No	-$2	11-02 18:43
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	2	$24	17	17	+0	No	+$5	10-27 14:59
bitcoin up or down on august 9 2026	1	$23	28	0	+28	Up	-$23	08-09 09:24
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	46	$22	22,352	0	+22,352	open	—	10-24 08:06
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	2	$21	18	18	+0	No	+$8	11-02 15:38
bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	1	$21	33	0	+33	Up	+$12	07-26 06:32
bitcoin up or down on august 8 2026	1	$19	23	0	+23	Up	+$5	08-08 13:55
bitcoin up or down on august 7 2026	1	$17	20	0	+20	Up	+$3	08-07 11:23
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	1	$16	39	0	+39	Yes	-$16	10-21 08:44
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?	2	$15	9	9	+0	No	+$1	10-01 09:49
bitcoin up or down on august 6 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$1	08-06 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	1	$15	16	0	+16	Down	-$15	05-05 13:22
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 4?	1	$14	32	0	+32	Yes	-$14	11-04 06:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:32:48	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 4?	No	BUY	32	45¢	$14	0xf0e12d…
11-03 12:14:36	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 3?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xe5380e…
11-02 18:43:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	17	67¢	$11	0x032d0c…
11-02 18:05:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	17	81¢	$13	0xd28cfd…
11-02 15:38:43	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	No	SELL	18	78¢	$14	0xd94232…
11-02 05:35:06	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 2?	No	BUY	18	36¢	$7	0xc6e89c…
11-01 07:11:18	Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on November 1?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0xb02feb…
10-31 20:41:48	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on October 31?	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x08d964…
10-31 13:32:43	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	SELL	9	37¢	$3	0x3c9851…
10-31 09:05:21	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x2bc0ab…
10-30 19:11:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xdd6c18…
10-30 15:19:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	SELL	4	89¢	$4	0x1e997e…
10-30 09:29:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xaaec19…
10-29 22:12:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	45	59¢	$26	0xd2bd70…
10-29 14:51:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$27	0xd867db…
10-29 06:47:26	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0x685499…
10-29 06:04:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 29?	No	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x1c03df…
10-28 16:22:29	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	SELL	26	83¢	$22	0x11abf9…
10-28 06:06:34	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xe2dd75…
10-27 14:59:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	17	87¢	$15	0xbd44cb…
10-27 10:53:38	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0xa1214b…
10-27 09:01:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x233a89…
10-26 06:54:24	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xe4d6ae…
10-25 10:59:17	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1ae49b…
10-24 13:26:09	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xc49ae0…
10-24 08:06:02	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9d2f33…
10-24 08:04:20	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x7a2ac7…
10-24 00:39:11	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x237362…
10-23 21:57:35	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x772cea…
10-23 21:57:05	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xbf1d77…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	0¢	$0	0xd8fbdb…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xd359ac…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0xd00c36…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	0¢	$0	0x98abde…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	0¢	$0	0x9140d5…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	0¢	$0	0x6bfbd5…
10-23 20:49:09	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	0¢	$0	0x39d465…
10-23 10:17:17	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x139b7a…
10-23 08:16:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	15	56¢	$9	0xcf87cd…
10-23 01:58:06	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x81b96f…
10-22 21:29:30	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0xb8c34b…
10-22 21:29:29	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0xcb9614…
10-22 21:29:29	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xaa39ff…
10-22 17:19:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	9	83¢	$7	0xe4d8c1…
10-22 15:17:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	323	0¢	$0	0x5c1c5d…
10-22 15:17:38	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x09f079…
10-22 15:09:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xeba89a…
10-22 14:59:27	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,332	0¢	$14	0x3ec1cf…
10-22 14:15:57	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0x082436…
10-22 14:15:29	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x7d661f…
10-22 13:41:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xc318d4…
10-22 13:40:47	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0xb66da7…
10-22 13:40:15	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$0	0x9d5c52…
10-22 13:11:00	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x8b9b5c…
10-22 13:08:06	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x8cb2aa…
10-22 13:07:29	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	0¢	$0	0x1b56cc…
10-22 13:05:59	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	425	0¢	$0	0xf47045…
10-22 13:05:59	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	539	0¢	$1	0x64e92f…
10-22 13:05:57	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	424	0¢	$0	0x59d01d…
10-22 13:05:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$0	0xab0a2d…
10-22 13:05:39	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	560	0¢	$1	0x3ce2dc…
10-22 13:05:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	558	0¢	$1	0x9e5961…
10-22 13:05:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0x7f8a62…
10-22 13:05:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	550	0¢	$1	0x75807c…
10-22 13:05:24	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	345	0¢	$0	0x25d9ea…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	0¢	$0	0xe6c082…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	0¢	$0	0xddf4fe…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0xcfa1df…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	0¢	$0	0xc7a50d…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	410	0¢	$0	0xb39647…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	0¢	$0	0xa3ac03…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x45761a…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	0¢	$0	0x2f8d3a…
10-22 13:05:23	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x062867…
10-22 08:53:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xdd6222…
10-22 07:29:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	8	70¢	$5	0x4041b8…
10-22 02:32:32	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x2fa31a…
10-22 02:23:38	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	0¢	$0	0xb0625f…
10-21 18:55:39	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc8b413…
10-21 08:44:05	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	39	41¢	$16	0xf66958…
10-21 05:56:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0x9f60f4…
10-21 05:55:44	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x947176…
10-20 11:48:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 October 19-25?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xa87b72…
10-20 10:08:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x7d50ed…
10-20 06:44:14	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 October 19-25?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xce8703…
10-12 22:30:32	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0x0bec72…
10-02 07:32:17	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xa0b416…
10-01 09:49:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 1?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0xa5a806…
10-01 08:25:44	will bitcoin dip to 82k on october 1 2026	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x7660e8…
10-01 06:02:36	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	SELL	7	89¢	$7	0xc9d2c4…
09-30 06:27:20	will bitcoin reach 84k on september 30 2026	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x863f41…
09-28 07:07:15	will bitcoin dip to 80k september 28 october 4 2026	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x31f8c3…
09-23 11:40:43	will bitcoin reach 88k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd84055…
09-23 11:38:11	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x1326ee…
09-23 11:27:26	will bitcoin reach 90k september 21 27 2026	No	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x937cc7…
09-21 08:13:09	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	15¢	$4	0xb66f4f…
09-02 15:54:28	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	638	1¢	$6	0x1901ee…
09-02 15:50:42	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	325	1¢	$3	0xbae55a…
09-02 15:50:16	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	544	1¢	$5	0x098822…
09-02 15:37:31	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,248	1¢	$20	0x27ff5a…