Crafty-Bidding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$864

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

272

Trades

472

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-17

last 10-15 18:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

59% 41% -$539

Crypto

35% 29% -$118

Tech

5% 33% -$3

Politics

1% 0% -$3

Sports

1% 38% -$201

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	No	-$1	04-19 06:04
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$2.0K	986	986	+0	Yes	-$1	04-23 11:18
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	5	$1.2K	582	582	+0	No	+$1	04-27 06:46
ethereum above 1800 on april 14	3	$1.0K	1,511	510	+1,000	Yes	-$2	04-14 07:11
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.0K	512	512	+0	No	-$2	04-18 12:18
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$1.0K	509	508	+0	No	-$1	04-19 06:24
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	506	506	+0	No	+$0	04-19 05:57
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	2	$969	485	485	+0	No	-$1	04-19 07:03
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$959	487	487	+0	Yes	-$5	04-19 07:10
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$958	481	481	+0	No	-$2	04-19 07:17
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$941	471	471	+0	No	$0	04-23 11:10
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	2	$938	476	476	+0	No	-$2	04-19 06:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	2	$760	380	380	+0	No	$0	04-25 11:19
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$756	379	379	+0	No	$0	04-25 11:27
Will Meta have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$746	373	373	+0	No	$0	04-25 12:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$736	369	369	+0	No	+$0	04-25 11:35
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$726	363	363	+0	No	$0	04-25 12:33
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$720	360	360	+0	No	$0	04-29 07:08
bitcoin above 62k on april 2	4	$660	330	330	+0	Yes	$0	04-02 12:56
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$640	321	321	+0	No	$0	04-02 14:06
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner	4	$609	423	423	+0	Team Liquid	+$9	10-01 16:32
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	4	$513	656	627	+29	No	-$1	04-13 06:06
Will Trump talk to Mark Carney in April?	2	$509	256	256	+0	Yes	-$1	04-06 12:29
will bitcoin reach 75k on april 6	2	$508	255	255	+0	No	-$2	04-06 12:12
Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	6	$504	485	485	+0	Thiago Seyboth Wild	+$26	10-10 14:26
lol vlr rs 2026 10 01	2	$423	234	234	+0	The Ruddy Sack	+$23	10-01 17:14
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$422	222	222	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$22	10-02 15:14
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	7	$413	293	293	+0	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	+$15	10-11 14:17
LoL: MAGAZA vs The Otter Side - Game 2 Winner	2	$410	213	213	+0	MAGAZA	+$10	10-01 16:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	2	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-31 12:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 18:35:44	Dota 2: Stray Team vs Korb3n Team - Game 2 Winner	Stray Team	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xba5b3d…
10-15 18:29:43	dota2 og synaps 2026 10 15 game1	Team Synapse	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf33ad1…
10-13 04:33:20	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	66	29¢	$19	0x7d3ddb…
10-13 04:16:51	Wuhan Tennis Open (Doubles): Stollar/Wu vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi	Routliffe/Sutjiadi	SELL	130	3¢	$4	0x4a9c8d…
10-13 03:11:00	Wuhan Tennis Open (Doubles): Stollar/Wu vs Routliffe/Sutjiadi	Routliffe/Sutjiadi	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x929eed…
10-12 18:47:00	Roanne: Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi	Hugo Grenier	SELL	65	34¢	$22	0x6fd05d…
10-12 18:37:42	Roanne: Hugo Grenier vs Benjamin Bonzi	Hugo Grenier	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xb32668…
10-12 16:24:54	Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc	Mathys Domenc	SELL	25	2¢	$1	0x7b90e5…
10-12 16:21:50	Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc	Mathys Domenc	SELL	118	3¢	$4	0xbb8ce0…
10-12 16:14:21	Roanne: Mika Brunold vs Mathys Domenc	Mathys Domenc	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x75f57a…
10-12 12:29:17	Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Deborah Chiesa	Julia Grabher	SELL	130	86¢	$112	0x92b61b…
10-12 10:44:24	Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Deborah Chiesa	Julia Grabher	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xbaafee…
10-11 14:17:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	132	73¢	$96	0x6a99ab…
10-11 14:15:31	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xa237bd…
10-11 14:14:54	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0xa13e22…
10-11 14:14:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x87b46e…
10-11 14:09:34	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x52ca5a…
10-11 14:02:15	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	SELL	146	73¢	$106	0x3a8141…
10-11 13:56:30	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Frances Tiafoe	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	BUY	146	68¢	$99	0xc4a53e…
10-11 07:13:08	Suzhou: Rebecca Sramkova vs Kyoka Okamura	Kyoka Okamura	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x8c3ef0…
10-11 05:35:11	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0xaa9aa4…
10-11 05:25:06	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc99154…
10-11 05:19:53	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	SELL	38	59¢	$22	0x879c7a…
10-11 05:16:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Arthur Gea	Arthur Gea	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x282872…
10-10 14:26:00	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	211	85¢	$180	0x8031fc…
10-10 14:26:00	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0x6753f4…
10-10 14:25:31	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	12	85¢	$10	0xf9cc98…
10-10 14:19:31	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	235	74¢	$174	0xaf4c02…
10-10 14:17:39	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Lautaro Midon	SELL	250	26¢	$65	0x872e9d…
10-10 14:16:42	Antofagasta: Lautaro Midon vs Thiago Seyboth Wild	Lautaro Midon	BUY	250	26¢	$65	0x02c041…
10-10 13:20:40	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	SELL	128	82¢	$105	0x64813b…
10-10 12:42:51	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	143	51¢	$73	0x46752d…
10-10 11:27:22	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Sebastian Baez vs Valentin Vacherot	Valentin Vacherot	BUY	128	74¢	$95	0xe5200a…
10-10 07:21:24	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x50a3a0…
10-09 18:59:19	LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 3 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x404c77…
10-09 17:30:23	LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xe2d666…
10-09 17:10:14	LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs TLN Pirates - Game 1 Winner	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xd4dad6…
10-09 16:46:50	LoL: Galions vs Kaufland Hangry Knights - Game 1 Winner	Galions	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xf377dc…
10-09 16:14:07	lol gal khk 2026 10 09 game1	Galions	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x0dd526…
10-09 14:47:31	dota2 1win pari 2026 10 09	1win	SELL	67	20¢	$13	0x39e5fe…
10-09 14:23:04	Antofagasta: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	58	80¢	$47	0xc78a7e…
10-09 14:22:42	atp wild alves 2026 10 09	Thiago Seyboth Wild	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x8a6c55…
10-09 11:28:03	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x517852…
10-09 10:56:34	Antofagasta: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Felipe Meligeni Alves	Thiago Seyboth Wild	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x612274…
10-09 10:09:15	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 10 09	Team Spirit	SELL	16	76¢	$12	0x744de7…
10-09 10:09:04	dota2 ts8 aur1 2026 10 09	Team Spirit	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0x5d66bc…
10-09 08:05:15	Dota 2: 1win vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	1win	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x0febf7…
10-09 08:03:40	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xb93da0…
10-09 04:59:25	Mannarino vs. Cobolli: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcc3f4c…
10-09 04:55:36	Kings vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2fa5ad…
10-09 03:43:36	Suzhou: Katarina Zavatska vs Renata Zarazua	Renata Zarazua	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xa6189d…
10-09 03:41:02	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0dc73f…
10-08 15:46:33	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs	1win	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x8eeee1…
10-08 14:31:57	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0xf76962…
10-08 14:24:15	Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x2ef53e…
10-08 12:30:38	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x0dd865…
10-08 12:15:29	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	SELL	21	66¢	$14	0x317844…
10-08 12:14:05	LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	21	66¢	$14	0xbcbf01…
10-08 10:49:05	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 3 Winner	Xipto Esports	SELL	110	100¢	$109	0x8035e4…
10-08 10:26:08	Dota 2: Xipto Esports vs InterActive Philippines - Game 3 Winner	Xipto Esports	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xf714ec…
10-07 19:10:34	LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 4 Winner	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xb7a459…
10-07 18:06:55	LoL: Anubis Gaming vs The Ruddy Sack - Game 3 Winner	The Ruddy Sack	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x2d6038…
10-07 18:05:39	LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 3 Winner	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x75aec5…
10-07 17:27:20	LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition - Game 2 Winner	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb6a3c9…
10-07 17:05:38	LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 2 Winner	Karmine Corp Blue	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4ed82b…
10-07 16:14:50	LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner	Skillcamp Esport	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xead751…
10-07 16:08:22	LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Skillcamp Esport - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp Blue	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0d28a9…
10-07 12:17:46	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl (BO3) - PARI Universe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Yellow Submarine	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xae9fca…
10-07 10:57:02	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner	Blasterbl	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x05ec87…
10-07 10:51:08	Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Blasterbl - Game 2 Winner	Blasterbl	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x318c57…
10-07 10:17:17	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	Xipto Esports	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xc3ff88…
10-07 09:12:41	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	Xipto Esports	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x9ce165…
10-07 07:49:33	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	InterActive Philippines	SELL	110	30¢	$33	0x110308…
10-07 07:42:50	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	InterActive Philippines	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x598bca…
10-07 07:13:18	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Playoffs	InterActive Philippines	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x4ea128…
10-07 06:35:51	Dota 2: InterActive Philippines vs Xipto Esports - Game 1 Winner	InterActive Philippines	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x7a4aa0…
10-06 18:16:02	Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	SELL	25	19¢	$5	0xb20b89…
10-06 18:14:02	Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	MOUZ	SELL	33	77¢	$26	0x22c6f5…
10-06 18:10:32	Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	LEGION	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7166c4…
10-06 17:59:23	Dota 2: LEGION vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner	MOUZ	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x047d91…
10-06 15:43:11	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine - Game 1 Winner	Team Synapse	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xa934fa…
10-06 13:56:24	Dota 2: Blasterbl vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Nemiga Gaming	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x2c1922…
10-03 17:46:38	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	3,000	0¢	$3	0xc6e135…
10-03 09:13:02	Kamilla Rakhimova vs. Leylah Fernandez: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Under 2.5	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x613aac…
10-03 07:12:29	wta maneiro falei 2026 10 02 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x21741a…
10-03 05:39:08	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Cloud Dawning	SELL	67	27¢	$18	0xd8c7e1…
10-03 04:37:57	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Cloud Dawning	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x9bbc55…
10-03 04:36:48	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs TYLOO (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	TYLOO	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1de85a…
10-03 04:34:24	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Seeding Matches	Aurora	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf1a933…
10-03 03:52:24	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage	Cloud Dawning	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8d4e39…
10-03 03:50:47	Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs InterActive Philippines - Game 1 Winner	Cloud Dawning	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x50b571…
10-02 17:45:57	LoL: BOMBA Team vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winner	BOMBA Team	BUY	107	94¢	$100	0x9e43f3…
10-02 17:39:29	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xcae00a…
10-02 17:26:24	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner	GamerLegion	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x878493…
10-02 16:15:54	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Group A	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	169	89¢	$150	0x6f3b26…
10-02 15:14:54	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x64c2e9…
10-02 14:47:59	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x1bd8d6…
10-02 13:54:57	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	SELL	163	100¢	$163	0x87c457…
10-02 13:22:45	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	LGD Gaming	BUY	163	92¢	$150	0x023294…
10-02 11:54:44	LoL: Solary vs T1 Academy - Game 4 Winner	T1 Academy	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0xd0da88…