Bite-Sized-Ironclad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$121

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.2%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$6.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-13 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Sports

74% 44% $-125

Crypto

15% 46% +$4

Other

6% — —

Politics

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
lol drxc ktc 2026 01 16	2	$361	188	188	+0	open	—	01-16 07:15
nba atl por 2026 01 15	2	$351	181	181	+0	open	—	01-16 05:24
Hurricanes vs. Flyers	2	$348	195	195	+0	Hurricanes	+$41	05-08 03:27
nhl dal utah 2026 01 15	2	$330	171	171	+0	open	—	01-16 04:45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	3	$316	162	162	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$8	05-07 01:39
nhl cal chi 2026 01 15	2	$304	160	160	+0	open	—	01-16 04:21
Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	2	$303	156	156	+0	Seattle Mariners	+$9	05-06 22:45
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$297	153	153	+0	Avalanche	+$9	05-06 03:18
nhl sea bos 2026 01 15	2	$277	145	145	+0	open	—	01-16 03:51
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	2	$277	144	144	+0	Baltimore Orioles	+$11	05-06 01:54
nhl mon buf 2026 01 15	2	$258	133	133	+0	open	—	01-16 03:01
nhl sj wsh 2026 01 15	2	$231	125	125	+0	open	—	01-16 02:42
Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$210	292	0	+292	Sabres	$-210	05-13 00:22
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	1	$196	215	0	+215	Golden Knights	+$19	05-09 02:46
nba cle phi 2026 01 16	1	$195	218	0	+218	open	—	01-17 02:07
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	4	$175	240	240	+0	open	—	05-01 03:01
nba tor ind 2026 01 14	2	$168	89	89	+0	open	—	01-15 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$165	91	91	+0	open	—	05-01 00:59
btc updown 5m 1771444800	2	$129	73	73	+1	open	—	02-18 20:04
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$119	139	139	+0	open	—	01-15 00:37
Golden Knights vs. Utah	1	$112	118	0	+118	open	—	05-02 04:40
btc updown 5m 1771443900	2	$104	64	63	+1	open	—	02-18 19:47
nhl las lak 2026 01 14	1	$95	107	0	+107	open	—	01-15 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$93	111	0	+111	open	—	05-01 22:15
btc updown 5m 1772407200	2	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	03-01 23:25
btc updown 5m 1772409900	2	$81	42	42	+0	open	—	03-02 00:10
Penguins vs. Flyers	2	$75	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 03:02
Utah vs. Golden Knights	2	$69	43	43	+0	open	—	04-30 06:28
btc updown 5m 1771445400	1	$66	71	0	+71	open	—	02-18 20:14
Wild vs. Avalanche	2	$51	53	53	+0	open	—	05-04 02:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 00:22:45	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	292	72¢	$210	0x31b4db…
05-09 05:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0552e6…
05-09 04:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x41903f…
05-09 02:46:39	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Golden Knights	BUY	215	91¢	$196	0x8904f2…
05-08 03:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xe0562b…
05-08 03:27:01	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x3674a2…
05-08 00:50:55	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	195	79¢	$154	0x665471…
05-07 03:30:18	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xca4404…
05-07 01:39:42	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb6c890…
05-07 01:34:00	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf14521…
05-07 01:33:10	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	162	100¢	$162	0x0d3f2a…
05-07 01:00:35	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	162	95¢	$154	0x85979e…
05-07 00:04:03	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x5fabae…
05-06 22:45:45	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	156	100¢	$156	0x3f9ca9…
05-06 22:31:15	Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	156	94¢	$147	0xb364a7…
05-06 22:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6bbadf…
05-06 22:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9fb851…
05-06 05:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xadba8b…
05-06 04:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdd66e0…
05-06 03:32:30	Chicago White Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels	Chicago White Sox	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x60c210…
05-06 03:22:04	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd7bf1a…
05-06 03:18:22	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	153	100¢	$153	0xcae55e…
05-06 02:16:58	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0x67fd9f…
05-06 01:54:18	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x41a73d…
05-06 00:49:54	Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	144	92¢	$133	0x6052cb…
05-05 23:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x48fda7…
05-05 23:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x84d811…
05-05 23:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xc99626…
05-05 23:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0x5083f1…
05-05 23:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd70291…
05-05 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	74¢	$7	0x8883be…
05-05 22:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x53d823…
05-05 22:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x0497f0…
05-05 22:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x470297…
05-05 21:59:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xb0c98d…
05-05 17:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9167c1…
05-05 04:42:28	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x5104e2…
05-05 04:03:58	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfa5308…
05-05 04:02:50	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xfd302d…
05-05 03:07:48	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf9ec02…
05-05 01:07:08	Flyers vs. Hurricanes	Flyers	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x31e6df…
05-05 01:06:14	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xe34e16…
05-05 01:05:52	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x28d7cb…
05-04 02:44:14	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	SELL	53	58¢	$31	0xb1fbfe…
05-04 02:35:50	Wild vs. Avalanche	Wild	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x13dba7…
05-02 04:40:16	Golden Knights vs. Utah	Golden Knights	BUY	118	95¢	$112	0xbca002…
05-01 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x078615…
05-01 22:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x1cc486…
05-01 22:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x57b79d…
05-01 22:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe3ee6b…
05-01 22:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xb54ae2…
05-01 22:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0x21ff68…
05-01 22:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe459a0…
05-01 22:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0xf9426c…
05-01 22:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xec38b8…
05-01 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3487d0…
05-01 04:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3234ec…
05-01 04:14:08	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	1,490	0¢	$2	0x549004…
05-01 03:02:18	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0x31f79f…
05-01 03:01:14	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	SELL	153	5¢	$7	0x0a536d…
05-01 02:56:12	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	87	95¢	$83	0xf2748c…
05-01 02:52:48	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	Yes	BUY	153	3¢	$5	0xab6e9d…
05-01 02:41:24	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x9513a4…
05-01 02:34:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	87	92¢	$80	0x5c69b4…
05-01 02:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x337441…
05-01 02:10:40	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8da8e8…
05-01 02:05:12	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	SELL	19	53¢	$10	0xb54b63…
05-01 02:02:28	Oilers vs. Ducks	Oilers	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xabea1a…
05-01 02:02:16	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xae5962…
05-01 01:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x61b59b…
05-01 01:21:02	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x5658a6…
05-01 01:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x57f078…
05-01 01:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xba450a…
05-01 00:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	91	98¢	$90	0x6de096…
05-01 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0xee5ff6…
05-01 00:52:30	Stars vs. Wild	Stars	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x048737…
05-01 00:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe396e0…
05-01 00:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x1cb267…
05-01 00:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xdf84a8…
05-01 00:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xabb3b0…
05-01 00:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1b32ba…
05-01 00:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa73cc7…
04-30 06:28:58	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	SELL	43	100¢	$43	0x52adc0…
04-30 03:02:32	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x591ecf…
04-29 20:50:22	Utah vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	43	60¢	$26	0x3812e9…
04-29 20:48:38	Penguins vs. Flyers	Flyers	BUY	49	53¢	$26	0x8f1280…
03-04 03:04:11	nba okc chi 2026 03 03	Bulls	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x8fd135…
03-04 03:03:07	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x41d5f7…
03-04 01:31:37	nba det cle 2026 03 03	Cavaliers	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x52f268…
03-04 01:30:33	will us or israel strike iran on march 4 2026	No	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0xc226e7…
03-02 01:04:17	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	No	BUY	149	1¢	$2	0x127dde…
03-02 01:01:33	nba det orl 2026 03 01	Magic	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x70f0c3…
03-02 00:20:31	nba det orl 2026 03 01	Magic	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd68301…
03-02 00:14:29	btc updown 5m 1772410200	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x8cf81e…
03-02 00:10:33	btc updown 5m 1772409900	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x1665dc…
03-02 00:08:45	btc updown 5m 1772409900	Up	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0x394c65…
03-01 23:57:41	btc updown 5m 1772409300	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x84e5cf…
03-01 23:45:29	nba det orl 2026 03 01	Magic	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4030b6…
03-01 23:25:27	btc updown 5m 1772407200	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xaa8c91…
03-01 23:24:07	btc updown 5m 1772407200	Down	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xc9227e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	53	$136.5K	1,353	05-13 02:09
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	51	$25.8K	2,025	05-12 22:51
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	44	$313.5K	6,613	05-03 10:08
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	40	$598.8K	4,085	05-13 01:56
(anonymous) 0x9d94…017d	40	$474.6K	3,571	05-13 02:02
Irresponsible-Autumn 0xd9e0…05f2	40	$251.1K	7,427	05-13 02:01
Large-Cartoon 0xd727…ecce	40	$5.58K	54	05-12 09:38
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	39	$27.0K	1,113	05-09 05:10