Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$410

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 06-23 23:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 50% +$0

Politics

45% — —

Tech

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-23 17:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-05 18:54
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$8	10	+10	open	—	04-22 01:03
will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	04-09 16:14
Nothing Ever Happens: March	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	03-16 04:32
trump approval up or down this week 857	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	03-14 01:05
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$8	14	+14	open	—	04-22 17:18
will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-11 08:15
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	04-24 02:05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	02-06 02:42
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	02-12 07:41
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 100 119	1	$8	13	+13	open	—	02-14 18:03
will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	02-28 07:28
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	1	$8	24	+24	open	—	02-06 10:42
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	02-13 09:45
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$8	25	+25	open	—	03-01 23:35
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	1	$8	33	+33	open	—	02-14 01:52
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	02-14 09:58
tsla up or down on february 17 2026	1	$8	15	+15	open	—	02-15 02:04
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-01 07:33
will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	1	$8	11	+11	open	—	03-01 15:34
msft up or down on april 10 2026	1	$8	16	+16	open	—	04-10 00:35
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$8	12	+12	Down	+$5	05-11 02:36
wti up or down on april 22 2026	1	$7	14	+14	open	—	04-22 09:15
will trump say autopen this week march 8	1	$7	9	+9	open	—	03-06 14:08
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$7	12	+12	open	—	03-05 02:24
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	1	$7	15	+15	open	—	03-16 20:38
will trump say fake news during memphis roundtable 116	1	$7	15	+15	open	—	03-23 09:01
nflx up or down on april 9 2026	1	$7	13	+13	open	—	04-09 08:08
will trump say tiktok this week february 8	1	$6	10	+10	open	—	02-04 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 23:12:46	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfe0802…
06-16 18:15:41	will warsh say job 15 times during june press conference 20260608181156648	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x46050f…
06-15 20:46:46	will hood dip to 90 by june 15 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xceb8b5…
06-14 01:48:39	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 16	No	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xbb6478…
06-11 09:54:13	will shivon zilis be on stage at a bell ceremony commemorating spacexs ipo 20260608220212478	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0x3ccab3…
05-31 20:21:37	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf222c8…
05-16 15:02:49	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x71aecc…
05-16 07:01:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe62667…
05-12 10:44:24	Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x05e6e7…
05-12 02:38:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xe95473…
05-11 02:36:06	Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xb543f9…
04-24 21:07:40	Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc1aae1…
04-24 02:05:38	Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x2e3a0b…
04-23 18:04:28	Will Clorox (CLX) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0xcc445f…
04-23 10:04:14	will donald trumps tie be another color on april 24 2026	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xf89c08…
04-23 02:04:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x15d4e2…
04-22 17:18:28	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	56¢	$8	0xc1262f…
04-22 09:15:20	wti up or down on april 22 2026	Up	BUY	14	54¢	$7	0x5a9075…
04-22 01:03:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x1eb927…
04-21 16:40:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x17645a…
04-21 00:35:26	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa0997a…
04-20 16:35:02	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x43c23e…
04-20 08:00:38	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe3b8cf…
04-11 00:01:17	will madison airs market cap be between 12pt5b and 13pt0b at market close on ipo day	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0x1084cb…
04-10 09:32:33	will fidesz kdnp win at least 100 seats	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xe93838…
04-10 00:35:23	msft up or down on april 10 2026	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x350a3f…
04-09 16:14:49	will trump announce that the us x iran ceasefire has been broken by april 21 2026	No	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xe1e00b…
04-09 08:08:41	nflx up or down on april 9 2026	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$7	0x084cab…
04-08 23:58:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x7516ff…
04-08 15:49:13	Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe43807…
04-07 23:39:51	will nathalie sinclair desgagn win the by election for the seat of terrebone in the house of commons of canada	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x72c8eb…
04-07 15:24:41	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xa80aae…
04-07 07:22:59	will fidesz kdnp win at least 70 seats	No	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x9850f4…
03-24 22:36:53	will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x5283c9…
03-24 02:09:35	elon musk of tweets march 23 march 25 90 114	No	BUY	7	78¢	$6	0x5fdd76…
03-23 17:10:43	cag quarterly earnings nongaap eps 04 01 2026 0pt4	Yes	BUY	13	64¢	$8	0x26e9ad…
03-23 09:01:19	will trump say fake news during memphis roundtable 116	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x070037…
03-18 01:48:35	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x4f8377…
03-17 13:14:17	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$3	0x6e7415…
03-16 20:38:57	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x060608…
03-16 12:33:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 260 279	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xd5196f…
03-16 04:32:23	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x481e3c…
03-15 10:59:15	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xec2aec…
03-14 09:50:55	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xef176a…
03-14 01:05:13	trump approval up or down this week 857	Down	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x27e937…
03-13 16:57:39	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb315e3…
03-13 00:43:25	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x1336f7…
03-12 09:04:17	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xf682b8…
03-11 08:15:11	will russia enter rai oleksandrivka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x38849c…
03-07 01:22:13	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xf962b3…
03-06 14:08:59	will trump say autopen this week march 8	No	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x95c09d…
03-06 03:48:55	will the february 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xaf3430…
03-05 18:54:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x661ce5…
03-05 10:49:39	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0xb3f38d…
03-05 02:24:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe7d05a…
03-04 18:10:57	bank of england decreases interest rates by 25 bps after march 2026 meeting 384	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6fe698…
03-04 09:56:43	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x08f6ef…
03-04 01:52:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x226ac6…
03-03 17:46:25	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcccb0a…
03-03 09:43:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x8cc94c…
03-01 23:35:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0x883ed3…
03-01 15:34:19	will jasmine crockett be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	No	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0xa887cd…
03-01 07:33:53	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	11	69¢	$8	0x601001…
02-28 23:32:13	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa13136…
02-28 15:32:07	trump approval up or down this week 596	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa547d8…
02-28 07:28:45	will nepal workers peasants party win the most seats in the nepal house of representatives election 685 483	Yes	BUY	12	65¢	$8	0x226aa5…
02-15 02:04:53	tsla up or down on february 17 2026	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xc9f359…
02-14 18:03:09	donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 100 119	No	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x1eeece…
02-14 09:58:01	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	Yes	BUY	12	68¢	$8	0xea720c…
02-14 01:52:49	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	33	24¢	$8	0x47cab9…
02-13 09:45:53	Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0x4c9e1b…
02-13 01:45:49	will the us strike 3 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x5afa6a…
02-12 07:41:27	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xafd1a2…
02-06 10:42:55	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x480760…
02-06 02:42:45	Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x53d690…
02-05 06:04:17	will elon musk be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbc8c75…
02-04 11:54:20	will trump say tiktok this week february 8	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x416b1e…