Elastic-Indigence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.8%

Resolved

Trades

581

lifetime

Volume

$1.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 06-11 01:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1769454000	17	$34	36	36	+0	open	—	01-26 19:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	7	$30	26	22	+4	open	—	04-26 04:44
btc updown 15m 1770087600	9	$28	27	35	-8	open	—	02-03 03:08
btc updown 15m 1781137800	7	$27	20	32	-13	open	—	06-11 00:34
btc updown 15m 1769407200	16	$27	30	30	+0	open	—	01-26 06:10
btc updown 15m 1769452200	14	$26	30	30	+0	open	—	01-26 18:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	5	$26	11	23	-12	Down	+$2	05-11 02:28
btc updown 15m 1769391000	13	$23	25	25	+0	open	—	01-26 01:35
btc updown 15m 1777003200	10	$22	15	39	-24	open	—	04-24 04:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	5	$21	21	16	+5	open	—	05-26 21:35
btc updown 15m 1776919500	8	$21	6	28	-22	open	—	04-23 04:59
btc updown 15m 1769383800	11	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	01-25 23:34
btc updown 15m 1769103000	10	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	01-22 17:38
btc updown 15m 1769196600	10	$20	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 19:31
btc updown 15m 1768753800	6	$18	28	27	+0	open	—	01-18 16:37
btc updown 15m 1769199300	10	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	01-23 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	9	$17	12	25	-12	Up	+$2	05-14 04:48
btc updown 15m 1770264000	10	$16	10	20	-10	open	—	02-05 04:05
btc updown 15m 1769106600	7	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	01-22 18:32
btc updown 15m 1769455800	9	$16	23	21	+2	open	—	01-26 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	5	$16	6	17	-11	Down	+$0	05-10 19:42
btc updown 15m 1769292000	6	$15	15	12	+3	open	—	01-24 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	4	$15	6	18	-12	open	—	05-26 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	3	$15	14	10	+4	Down	+$3	05-09 04:38
btc updown 15m 1770083100	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-03 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$15	7	17	-10	Up	$-0	05-11 01:18
btc updown 15m 1769281200	7	$14	20	10	+10	open	—	01-24 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	3	$14	5	18	-13	open	—	06-02 00:31
btc updown 15m 1769375700	9	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	01-25 21:17
btc updown 15m 1769373900	6	$13	13	13	+0	open	—	01-25 20:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 01:00:58	btc updown 15m 1781139600	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xe09b41…
06-11 01:00:46	btc updown 15m 1781139600	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xcad1ed…
06-11 01:00:46	btc updown 15m 1781139600	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x9154f6…
06-11 00:34:40	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xc29dda…
06-11 00:34:33	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xab70ce…
06-11 00:34:01	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x2940e3…
06-11 00:33:54	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x50abcd…
06-11 00:33:45	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x39bdad…
06-11 00:33:24	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x85308e…
06-11 00:32:42	btc updown 15m 1781137800	Down	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x48a01d…
06-11 00:22:33	xrp updown 15m 1781136900	Up	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0xe005ff…
06-11 00:17:30	btc updown 15m 1781136900	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x114537…
06-11 00:16:39	btc updown 15m 1781136900	Up	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0x281228…
06-11 00:16:24	btc updown 15m 1781136900	Down	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0x9e7734…
06-11 00:16:22	btc updown 15m 1781136900	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0xcf6b1f…
06-11 00:01:30	btc updown 15m 1781136000	Down	SELL	6	23¢	$1	0x862297…
06-11 00:00:57	btc updown 15m 1781136000	Up	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x33ed42…
06-10 23:34:21	btc updown 15m 1781134200	Up	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0x52233f…
06-10 23:01:48	btc updown 15m 1781132400	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x54247c…
06-10 23:01:25	btc updown 15m 1781132400	Down	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x9ce8f4…
06-10 23:01:24	btc updown 15m 1781132400	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x471e15…
06-08 00:16:48	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Down	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x1133c1…
06-08 00:16:36	btc updown 15m 1780877700	Up	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x0d02a0…
06-07 23:47:57	btc updown 15m 1780875900	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xc5c5d6…
06-07 23:47:49	btc updown 15m 1780875900	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x34711a…
06-07 23:47:49	btc updown 15m 1780875900	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x00e6cb…
06-07 22:39:04	btc updown 15m 1780871400	Up	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0x458d8b…
06-02 17:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xeee38e…
06-02 17:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	84¢	$6	0xc9e627…
06-02 16:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x6b00a3…
06-02 16:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8adac4…
06-02 16:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0xc3cada…
06-02 16:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x3bdd77…
06-02 02:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x926a01…
06-02 02:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x69d1d7…
06-02 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x49b461…
06-02 01:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0xac303d…
06-02 01:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$3	0x00aaf2…
06-02 00:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x501ac2…
06-02 00:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	74¢	$9	0x51d689…
06-02 00:31:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcfa936…
05-31 23:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xfa7484…
05-31 23:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$2	0xae32cb…
05-26 21:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0x065409…
05-26 21:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb530a0…
05-26 21:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x187044…
05-26 21:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd624c4…
05-26 21:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2af864…
05-26 20:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	44¢	$5	0x1c87ba…
05-26 20:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4ac28e…
05-26 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x70ca86…
05-26 20:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x395c49…
05-26 19:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xea6e82…
05-26 19:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x4bd8cf…
05-26 19:51:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x56969b…
05-26 19:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x79d273…
05-26 19:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa60f96…
05-24 23:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	44¢	$1	0x24255a…
05-24 23:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x6c934b…
05-24 23:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x683daf…
05-24 23:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x02dc09…
05-20 02:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf8d72d…
05-20 02:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xb25830…
05-19 22:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	32¢	$3	0x27433e…
05-19 22:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	64¢	$4	0xc711eb…
05-19 22:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xf61c57…
05-19 21:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	48¢	$3	0x956d50…
05-19 21:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x25a821…
05-19 21:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x7ad2f8…
05-19 21:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	31¢	$0	0x75d50d…
05-14 04:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0x3a1eaa…
05-14 04:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x7d2703…
05-14 04:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0xaee662…
05-14 04:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xd99d97…
05-14 04:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0xc70ad3…
05-14 04:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbe22a1…
05-14 04:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x423eb4…
05-14 04:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x7fc0c1…
05-14 04:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x158080…
05-14 04:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xf7e740…
05-14 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x5ef8fe…
05-12 06:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0x54ae49…
05-12 06:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x2ef373…
05-12 06:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x364839…
05-12 03:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x57ff1c…
05-12 03:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xe360c8…
05-12 03:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6685b3…
05-11 03:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0xdea68b…
05-11 03:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xecdf80…
05-11 03:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xcb0e05…
05-11 03:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x6a7f7c…
05-11 03:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x1d5567…
05-11 03:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x97a3dd…
05-11 03:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x939b05…
05-11 03:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x71cad8…
05-11 03:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x431822…
05-11 03:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2b8995…
05-11 02:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xc4dcc9…
05-11 02:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0x99351f…
05-11 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x0a2e12…