Specific-Dialogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$711

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-08 22:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-22 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-22 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 20:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 21:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 23:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 20:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa7244a…
06-08 22:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4765a9…
06-07 08:03:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4522f9…
06-07 07:04:10	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd318f1…
06-07 05:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb8ef76…
06-06 21:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7409ac…
06-06 10:05:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1dfea0…
06-05 08:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd6ad27…
06-05 06:02:13	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x66b464…
06-01 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd3bed…
06-01 02:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4faa02…
05-31 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87c476…
05-31 01:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a64f8…
05-30 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x66b85a…
05-30 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22d74c…
05-30 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x022975…
05-30 05:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8a59b4…
05-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf9b5f…
05-28 17:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48c857…
05-25 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a8eab…
05-25 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x183805…
05-25 06:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe71504…
05-22 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x9aa34d…
05-22 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x0c3490…
05-22 22:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x7ad415…
05-22 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x74b126…
05-22 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xaab44c…
05-22 20:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb3f2fa…
05-22 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x4846c5…
05-22 15:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x387892…
05-22 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x526120…
05-22 14:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x594c86…
05-22 13:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x26dfb3…
05-22 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x39a981…
05-22 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x77e67d…
05-22 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x72ca78…
05-21 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xcc0179…
05-21 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x7f1b24…
05-21 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x0652be…
05-21 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa7ab0e…
05-21 10:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf6c802…
05-21 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x890d3e…
05-21 09:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xda1432…
05-21 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb33449…
05-21 05:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x65d20f…
05-21 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x57d36c…
05-21 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x50a4a2…
05-21 01:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xd3cc72…
05-21 00:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x103a5a…
05-21 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe8972f…
05-20 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x605f7b…
05-20 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0ac34f…
05-20 10:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2c7f12…
05-20 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x5ae4e5…
05-20 05:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xf29229…
05-20 05:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x6c49f0…
05-20 01:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2f299a…
05-20 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x336f95…
05-20 00:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x13f9e0…
05-20 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xaf31ca…
05-19 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x180bdb…
05-19 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x79cb57…
05-19 19:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x7d41de…
05-19 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x70d46c…
05-19 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x738704…
05-19 13:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc1cf33…
05-19 07:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xafa2f9…
05-19 07:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xca57ba…
05-17 20:38:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0x45d605…
05-17 20:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0a26c5…
05-17 20:02:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xf28fc7…
05-17 20:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x2c281c…
05-17 19:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x5be63a…
05-17 19:16:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa73d38…
05-17 18:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0ccb4c…
05-17 18:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x82b021…
05-17 18:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xdbca43…
05-17 18:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xd043c6…
05-17 15:42:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xe29853…
05-17 15:41:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe99985…
05-17 14:51:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xcef447…
05-17 14:38:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0x77c49f…
05-17 14:36:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x712a72…
05-17 14:23:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	9¢	$0	0xf9363c…
05-17 14:21:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xa898b7…
05-17 13:34:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x5320ae…
05-17 13:31:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x17199f…
05-17 13:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0x042c6c…
05-17 13:11:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xc5b0c7…
05-17 10:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xf86c3e…
05-17 10:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x6e198b…
05-17 09:57:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0x474682…
05-17 09:56:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x55b59d…
05-17 08:54:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xd471a6…
05-17 08:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x624622…
05-17 08:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x897d64…
05-17 08:10:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0a1988…
05-17 06:38:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	25¢	$1	0xbfd5f3…
05-17 06:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5445b6…
05-17 04:59:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xa5879c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	186	$15.9K	3,150	06-09 20:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	185	$46.7K	2,411	06-09 20:57
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	172	$4.12K	1,045	06-09 20:58
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	171	$23.8K	7,526	05-25 07:57
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	171	$23.3K	7,512	05-25 07:57
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	170	$14.6K	3,435	05-25 07:56
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	170	$12.7K	3,180	05-25 07:57
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	168	$30.4K	2,341	06-01 20:55