Specific-Dialogue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.0%

Resolved

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$827

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-30 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

38 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$14	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 05:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-20 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 01:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 11:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 01:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-22 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-22 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	2	$8	13	13	+0	open	—	05-20 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-21 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	2	$7	12	12	+0	open	—	05-19 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$7	11	11	+0	open	—	05-19 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	11	11	+0	open	—	05-22 20:31
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 14:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 21:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 13:22
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 19:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 23:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-16 05:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 18:01:13	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xc418d7…
06-30 14:01:13	bitcoin up or down june 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa92f90…
06-30 00:00:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0d2f69…
06-29 12:00:23	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xddeec7…
06-29 06:02:19	bitcoin up or down june 29 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xc1ccba…
06-29 03:01:08	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xaba762…
06-28 16:00:25	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xccfdec…
06-28 11:01:19	bitcoin up or down june 28 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xed291e…
06-27 21:01:08	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xa8e916…
06-27 13:00:22	bitcoin up or down june 27 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xa3a62d…
06-26 23:04:10	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0x83bd19…
06-26 06:05:20	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xe54104…
06-26 04:01:11	bitcoin up or down june 26 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0x00d14d…
06-25 02:00:23	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x755fc7…
06-24 22:01:08	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x7a81d5…
06-24 20:00:25	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xcfd52d…
06-24 13:03:20	bitcoin up or down june 24 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0xbfa0ac…
06-23 14:05:08	bitcoin up or down june 23 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe3980f…
06-22 12:03:08	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xe73ea6…
06-22 10:00:23	bitcoin up or down june 22 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x8a51ce…
06-22 03:03:10	bitcoin up or down june 21 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xb13be4…
06-20 19:00:17	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0x24eb4e…
06-19 13:01:23	bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd8cb0c…
06-19 00:05:20	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc3b6e4…
06-18 07:00:23	bitcoin up or down june 18 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8b0e40…
06-18 00:02:10	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xfd8157…
06-17 11:01:11	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xe998a8…
06-16 18:00:20	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5f933b…
06-16 02:03:10	bitcoin up or down june 15 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x0a5d3e…
06-13 16:02:13	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x285a56…
06-13 06:01:09	bitcoin up or down june 13 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x09c614…
06-12 04:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 12 2026 12am et	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9c5563…
06-11 11:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 11 2026 7am et	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xf3745a…
06-10 15:01:09	bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x544ac2…
06-10 01:01:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x08531e…
06-09 20:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xa7244a…
06-08 22:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x4765a9…
06-07 08:03:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x4522f9…
06-07 07:04:10	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xd318f1…
06-07 05:00:09	bitcoin up or down june 7 2026 1am et	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xb8ef76…
06-06 21:02:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7409ac…
06-06 10:05:09	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x1dfea0…
06-05 08:00:12	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd6ad27…
06-05 06:02:13	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x66b464…
06-01 20:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xdd3bed…
06-01 02:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x4faa02…
05-31 08:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87c476…
05-31 01:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3a64f8…
05-30 22:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x66b85a…
05-30 12:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x22d74c…
05-30 09:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x022975…
05-30 05:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8a59b4…
05-29 08:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaf9b5f…
05-28 17:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48c857…
05-25 07:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3a8eab…
05-25 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x183805…
05-25 06:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xe71504…
05-22 23:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x9aa34d…
05-22 23:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x0c3490…
05-22 22:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0x7ad415…
05-22 22:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x74b126…
05-22 20:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xaab44c…
05-22 20:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb3f2fa…
05-22 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0x4846c5…
05-22 15:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x387892…
05-22 14:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x526120…
05-22 14:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	37¢	$5	0x594c86…
05-22 13:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x26dfb3…
05-22 13:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	38¢	$5	0x39a981…
05-22 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x77e67d…
05-22 11:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	41¢	$5	0x72ca78…
05-21 12:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	23¢	$3	0xcc0179…
05-21 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x7f1b24…
05-21 11:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x0652be…
05-21 11:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa7ab0e…
05-21 10:15:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf6c802…
05-21 10:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x890d3e…
05-21 09:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xda1432…
05-21 09:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0xb33449…
05-21 05:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x65d20f…
05-21 05:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x57d36c…
05-21 01:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x50a4a2…
05-21 01:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	39¢	$5	0xd3cc72…
05-21 00:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x103a5a…
05-21 00:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe8972f…
05-20 13:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x605f7b…
05-20 13:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x0ac34f…
05-20 10:38:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2c7f12…
05-20 10:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x5ae4e5…
05-20 05:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	13	27¢	$4	0xf29229…
05-20 05:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x6c49f0…
05-20 01:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x2f299a…
05-20 01:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x336f95…
05-20 00:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x13f9e0…
05-20 00:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xaf31ca…
05-19 22:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x180bdb…
05-19 22:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x79cb57…
05-19 19:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x7d41de…
05-19 19:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x70d46c…
05-19 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	21¢	$2	0x738704…