Fumbling-Celebrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

8,189 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$108.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-22 15:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 82 days

Categories

Other

62% 68% -$837

Crypto

24% 74% -$1,108

Sports

7% 42% +$31

Politics

6% 58% +$16

Tech

1% 100% +$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc can bih 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	3	$1.2K	616	616	+0	Under	+$43	06-12 20:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	16	$1.1K	2,997	2,997	+0	No	-$1	05-10 18:59
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-05-31?	34	$828	457	457	+0	No	-$3	05-31 20:35
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 4pt5	3	$827	433	433	+0	Under	+$30	06-12 02:41
r6siege wcg c9 2026 06 11	3	$821	445	445	+0	Wildcard Gaming	+$60	06-11 23:27
Will Germany win on 2026-05-31?	34	$812	464	464	+0	Yes	-$4	05-31 19:51
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 4pt5	4	$777	409	409	+0	Under	+$33	06-11 20:49
nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 9pt5	3	$741	385	385	+0	Under	+$20	06-12 02:53
swe2 osk sun 2026 06 10 total 4pt5	2	$740	393	393	+0	Under	+$39	06-10 18:57
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 196pt5	2	$739	393	393	+0	Over	+$24	06-11 01:25
es2 mal lpm 2026 06 10 total 4pt5	5	$731	387	387	+0	Under	+$35	06-10 20:42
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-10?	3	$718	382	382	+0	No	+$23	06-10 21:24
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5	6	$712	393	393	+0	Under	+$50	06-09 19:47
lol fnl ktc 2026 06 10 game1	3	$703	363	363	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$1	06-10 08:00
Will Finland win on 2026-05-31?	27	$667	346	346	+0	No	-$1	05-31 18:14
fif irq ven 2026 06 09 total 4pt5	2	$660	348	348	+0	Under	+$14	06-10 01:18
Mexico vs. South Africa: Neither team to score first?	3	$649	353	353	+0	No	-$12	06-11 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	14	$642	559	559	+0	Up	+$58	05-09 01:04
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?	2	$623	323	323	+0	No	+$16	06-09 18:29
Will Russia win on 2026-06-09?	3	$620	327	327	+0	Yes	+$13	06-09 17:13
wti closes above 87 on june 9 2026	20	$607	315	315	+0	Yes	+$15	06-09 20:25
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	6	$600	311	311	+0	No	-$8	05-08 21:00
irl1 she sha 2026 06 12 total 4pt5	4	$592	310	310	+0	Under	+$22	06-12 20:52
cs2 mars f5 2026 06 11	11	$583	309	309	+0	Marsborne	+$21	06-12 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	21	$581	303	303	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 00:04
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	26	$575	1,702	1,702	+0	No	-$1	05-12 14:11
Will Jordan win on 2026-05-31?	14	$561	296	296	+0	No	-$2	05-31 13:28
will the announcers say mexico during the usa vs paraguay fifa world cup match 20260609202955346	8	$542	278	278	+0	Yes	+$8	06-13 01:24
Will PPI YoY be between 7.0% and 7.9% in May?	3	$531	273	273	+0	No	+$13	06-11 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	14	$527	328	328	+0	Up	+$117	05-03 15:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 15:38:18	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0x0b097e…
07-22 15:38:16	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 22?	No	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x8afecc…
07-22 15:38:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on July 22?	No	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xc1d0a9…
07-22 15:38:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 22?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x946f04…
07-22 15:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x030fcc…
07-22 15:38:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$5	0x74917c…
07-22 15:26:49	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 23?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x74c3ee…
07-22 15:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x1bc468…
07-22 11:47:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 96-97°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x3af1d9…
07-22 11:43:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xbfe40f…
07-22 11:43:04	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd63159…
07-22 11:42:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x0e68ed…
07-22 08:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x083fb0…
07-22 07:57:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa43f98…
07-22 07:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xdd9d66…
07-22 02:39:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 22?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x35b4bb…
07-22 02:39:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6f1e9c…
07-21 23:44:04	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe6d705…
07-21 19:48:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbfd527…
07-21 19:48:09	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x9d89df…
07-21 19:42:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x918e88…
07-21 19:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x381832…
07-21 19:36:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x5b54b0…
07-21 19:36:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x262c07…
07-21 19:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	No	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xddd551…
07-21 19:36:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf9a0a4…
07-21 19:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2bc7e9…
07-21 19:36:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x66d3a7…
07-21 19:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?	No	SELL	11	92¢	$10	0xa06eea…
07-21 16:35:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x5f72a3…
07-21 16:14:15	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xec9801…
07-21 16:13:58	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x7dfcfd…
07-21 16:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x62908c…
07-21 15:59:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$9	0x2815d9…
07-21 15:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x79371b…
07-21 15:59:45	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x2854e3…
07-21 15:59:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	8	89¢	$7	0x15a851…
07-21 15:59:37	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	20	84¢	$17	0xd01a5a…
07-21 15:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0xab13c9…
07-21 15:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0c2caa…
07-21 15:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	13	88¢	$11	0x307113…
07-21 15:36:16	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 22?	No	SELL	33	83¢	$27	0x1dbcc2…
07-21 15:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	31	89¢	$28	0x4f4fb3…
07-21 15:36:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x1bbcba…
07-21 15:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	40	87¢	$35	0xe6d8ea…
07-21 15:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0xbcd5b2…
07-21 15:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xba4f03…
07-21 15:33:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 22?	No	SELL	36	88¢	$32	0xd2f432…
07-21 15:33:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 22?	No	SELL	36	83¢	$30	0xd251c3…
07-21 15:33:10	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	SELL	14	82¢	$11	0xaab8bf…
07-21 15:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xcb2cde…
07-21 15:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 22?	No	SELL	29	93¢	$27	0x34d7c0…
07-21 15:33:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 22?	No	SELL	21	91¢	$19	0xb463a2…
07-21 15:33:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	SELL	24	84¢	$20	0x8eb3de…
07-21 15:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on July 21?	No	SELL	32	88¢	$28	0x7ca035…
07-21 15:32:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?	No	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0xd335fe…
07-21 15:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	SELL	36	87¢	$31	0x2d5fb8…
07-21 15:32:51	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 21?	No	SELL	35	88¢	$31	0x4f3c1b…
07-21 15:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	SELL	37	89¢	$33	0x87d853…
07-21 15:19:45	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on July 21?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xce9c0e…
07-21 14:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	9	96¢	$9	0x450e99…
07-21 14:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x290e69…
07-21 14:54:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x72710f…
07-21 14:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x1c0958…
07-21 14:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xd9aca8…
07-21 14:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 22?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xc5abc1…
07-21 14:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on July 22?	No	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0x3cba33…
07-21 14:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 21?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x9d14f5…
07-21 14:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xcb3c25…
07-21 14:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0xf8273b…
07-21 14:04:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x1d47b8…
07-21 14:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 22?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$18	0x384cb2…
07-21 14:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xb88553…
07-21 14:00:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xbb96c8…
07-21 12:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on July 22?	No	BUY	16	87¢	$14	0x2de6e9…
07-21 12:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on July 22?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$20	0xd78237…
07-21 12:20:46	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x451998…
07-21 11:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xac99e4…
07-21 11:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x71ec19…
07-21 11:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x31ed5d…
07-21 10:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 21?	No	BUY	13	86¢	$11	0xf2ceb6…
07-21 10:25:24	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xd220b2…
07-21 10:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0x4306a0…
07-21 10:02:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 21?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x7d2fa8…
07-21 09:37:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 21?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x03cbac…
07-21 09:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3fb3ba…
07-21 07:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 21?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf4fd2f…
07-21 07:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C or higher on July 21?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x8ab39f…
07-21 07:01:27	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 21?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0xee450c…
07-21 06:38:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xcd4645…
07-21 06:38:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 21?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x12ceae…
07-21 06:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on July 21?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$29	0x405e25…
07-21 06:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 41°C on July 21?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$32	0x8e2741…
07-21 05:55:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x25290a…
07-21 05:49:42	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x6b4007…
07-21 05:41:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xf13dc3…
07-21 05:41:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 21?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x9726b7…
07-21 04:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 21?	No	BUY	24	90¢	$22	0x9b3f7d…
07-21 04:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 21?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xd614ea…
07-21 04:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x3e56bf…