Fabulous-Thread — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.3%

Resolved (7d)

154

Trades (7d)

159

27,195 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$428

$82.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-30 14:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% -$488

Other

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 474 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 15:45 UTC	229	$988	981	1,074	-93	Down	-$56	03-12 15:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC	253	$810	1,056	625	+431	Down	-$21	03-12 18:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 17:00 UTC	264	$787	1,190	671	+519	Up	+$45	03-12 17:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:15 UTC	183	$612	828	629	+199	Up	+$73	03-13 14:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 19:00 UTC	245	$561	1,420	0	+1,420	Up	-$50	03-16 19:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 19:30 UTC	285	$481	1,405	0	+1,405	Up	-$306	03-12 19:35
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 12:45 UTC	211	$457	916	0	+916	Up	-$14	03-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 18:45 UTC	93	$456	447	229	+218	Down	+$4	03-16 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 17:15 UTC	181	$452	904	0	+904	Up	-$79	03-14 17:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 20:00 UTC	102	$398	471	292	+179	Up	+$31	03-13 20:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 18:00 UTC	113	$392	485	355	+130	Up	+$6	03-13 18:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:00 UTC	191	$392	971	0	+971	Up	-$12	03-16 14:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 17:45 UTC	186	$391	960	0	+960	Down	-$26	03-14 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	91	$370	426	150	+276	Up	+$72	04-29 20:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:15 UTC	195	$370	1,033	0	+1,033	Up	+$6	03-14 16:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 13:15 UTC	174	$362	1,037	0	+1,037	Down	-$35	03-16 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 22:15 UTC	175	$356	872	0	+872	Up	-$33	03-14 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 15:45 UTC	185	$349	932	0	+932	Up	-$13	03-14 15:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 12:15 UTC	179	$346	767	0	+767	Up	+$53	03-16 12:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 15:45 UTC	127	$344	612	104	+508	Down	-$1	03-13 15:53
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 18:45 UTC	161	$342	819	0	+819	Up	+$21	03-14 18:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 21:45 UTC	96	$342	452	226	+225	Down	+$17	03-12 21:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 18:15 UTC	172	$336	829	0	+829	Up	+$25	03-14 18:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 18:30 UTC	106	$333	492	237	+255	Up	+$16	03-13 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-14 16:45 UTC	169	$330	859	0	+859	Up	+$70	03-14 16:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 22:30 UTC	173	$326	770	0	+770	Down	+$136	03-10 22:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 11:45 UTC	157	$322	937	0	+937	Down	+$21	03-11 11:56
bitcoin up or down january 24 1pm et	74	$319	526	119	+407	Down	+$8	01-24 18:33
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 19:30 UTC	113	$302	515	89	+426	Up	-$7	03-13 19:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 12:00 UTC	155	$295	704	0	+704	Down	+$3	03-11 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0xcb3631…
10-26 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x556552…
10-26 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5922c7…
10-26 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xca61fd…
10-26 17:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x4e23b7…
10-26 17:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x25842e…
10-26 17:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4e0c04…
10-26 15:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8a599f…
10-26 15:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xac0f29…
10-26 14:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x469ae1…
10-26 14:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc41205…
10-26 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x68421a…
10-26 14:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x259815…
10-26 14:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xf90fb7…
10-26 12:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$3	0x8303bc…
10-26 12:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9915c6…
10-26 11:55:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x92aa2a…
10-26 11:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x43fa28…
10-26 11:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc3ee00…
10-26 11:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x8d271e…
10-26 11:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xf8f30a…
10-26 11:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xba0ff4…
10-26 11:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xf8a769…
10-26 11:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa6337f…
10-26 11:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9db5be…
10-26 11:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x41dce1…
10-26 11:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x23bfd1…
10-26 11:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9c2dd0…
10-26 10:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x9cdc75…
10-26 10:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xa8e79d…
10-26 10:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd78d73…
10-26 10:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xfb61e9…
10-26 10:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x80e5a0…
10-26 10:31:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8f93d8…
10-26 10:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x122fb4…
10-26 10:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe805e0…
10-26 10:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9f2bef…
10-26 10:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x60144f…
10-26 10:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf969e6…
10-26 10:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2863dd…
10-26 09:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4acf36…
10-26 09:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xcdcd16…
10-26 09:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb85eb2…
10-26 09:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x2530dc…
10-26 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xbaff8e…
10-26 09:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa08acb…
10-26 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x96766b…
10-26 09:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x74940a…
10-26 09:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd7e753…
10-26 09:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x69aeff…
10-26 09:10:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-26 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x765330…
10-26 09:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc99b9a…
10-26 08:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x00be38…
10-26 08:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7d4ee3…
10-26 08:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x26126d…
10-26 08:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xa19e38…
10-26 08:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbe63a9…
10-26 08:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x220e59…
10-26 08:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x9eb5a3…
10-26 08:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x1b68d9…
10-26 08:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x10c3bc…
10-26 08:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1f00be…
10-26 08:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x523d94…
10-26 08:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x3875ad…
10-26 07:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xaf1254…
10-26 07:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x957dbe…
10-26 07:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x022b21…
10-26 07:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc33fcc…
10-26 07:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xda3afb…
10-26 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x56ff27…
10-26 07:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe0ec93…
10-26 07:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x38a15b…
10-26 07:10:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0e0974…
10-26 07:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf8ae66…
10-26 07:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xe0a41f…
10-26 07:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x01008c…
10-26 06:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x40a8a1…
10-25 22:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x9d5e68…
10-25 21:55:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa61765…
10-25 21:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x916eb7…
10-25 21:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcb2d1f…
10-25 21:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0xaab189…
10-25 21:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7ca823…
10-25 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xa5d83a…
10-25 16:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2f8bdc…
10-25 13:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6f5212…
10-25 13:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x06ceec…
10-25 13:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x218d4c…
10-25 13:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe91f00…
10-25 13:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4f23ec…
10-25 13:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x0ee95a…
10-25 13:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xcb2860…
10-25 13:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdd4cd0…
10-25 13:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8dc442…
10-25 12:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0bf8a…
10-25 12:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x8fe22b…
10-25 12:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa947c2…
10-25 12:42:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe881f1…
10-25 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xbb2a63…
10-25 12:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x89b080…