Realized P&L
+$4
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
50.9%
Resolved
12
Trades
24
lifetime
Volume
$415
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 02-25 07:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Crypto
55%
40%
$0
Other
31%
100%
+$4
Politics
13%
100%
+$0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-25).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | 6 | $120 | 54 | 67 | -13 | No | $0 | 02-25 07:39 |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 3 | $56 | 29 | 29 | +0 | No | +$0 | 02-15 03:00 |
| will ethereum dip to 800 in february 2026 | 2 | $44 | 22 | 22 | +0 | No | $0 | 02-19 14:00 |
| will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026 | 2 | $40 | 20 | 20 | +0 | No | $0 | 02-24 13:04 |
| Zama auction clearing price above $0.10? | 2 | $33 | 33 | 0 | +33 | No | +$0 | 01-26 05:10 |
| US strike on Cuba by January 31? | 2 | $31 | 32 | 0 | +32 | No | +$1 | 01-11 11:57 |
| us strike on colombia by march 31 | 2 | $21 | 11 | 11 | +0 | No | +$0 | 02-24 02:42 |
| will china gdp growth in q4 2025 be less than 2pt5 | 1 | $19 | 19 | 0 | +19 | No | +$0 | 01-11 16:11 |
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 1 | $16 | 16 | 0 | +16 | No | +$0 | 01-21 14:51 |
| another critical cloudflare incident by january 31 | 1 | $15 | 17 | 0 | +17 | No | +$2 | 01-12 07:05 |
| us strike on colombia by january 31 | 1 | $11 | 11 | 0 | +11 | No | +$0 | 01-12 04:25 |
| will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026 | 1 | $10 | 10 | 0 | +10 | No | +$0 | 01-11 08:52 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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