Sweaty-Beneficiary — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.4%

Resolved

Trades

394

lifetime

Volume

$392

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 07-30 02:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

35% 0% $-0

Other

33% 100% +$0

Crypto

21% 50% +$0

Tech

7% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	8	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	07-23 02:47
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 02:44
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	07-08 02:21
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-27 01:50
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 02:36
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-28 02:29
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-28 02:47
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	4	$4	2	2	+0	Yes	$-0	05-12 02:25
will chatgpt be 1 free app in the us apple app store on january 30	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-24 09:05
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-20 07:05
will iran strike iraq in march	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-07 03:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-01 02:09
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	06-21 02:55
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 01:17
will openai have the best ai model for math on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-23 01:46
P2P FDV above $5M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-02 01:56
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 06:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-28 02:46
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$2	1	1	-0	open	—	07-11 02:23
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 01:59
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 02:40
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-30 02:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-25 02:19
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-24 02:44
spx opens up or down on february 18 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-18 09:26
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-08 01:05
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 01:35
will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 01:38
Over $2M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-29 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 02:22:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd32bc…
07-30 02:04:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x84189a…
07-28 03:05:52	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe8ff6e…
07-28 02:52:10	will bitcoin reach 70k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b3dba…
07-28 02:29:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x704aea…
07-28 02:15:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f1a62…
07-27 02:16:12	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xb42644…
07-27 02:03:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2aebf9…
07-27 01:56:07	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc721ac…
07-27 01:49:03	iran military action against a gulf state on july 26 20260708212322951	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa18c60…
07-25 03:12:25	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x641fd1…
07-25 03:01:55	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9cef53…
07-25 02:58:37	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc107de…
07-25 02:31:15	will gpt 6 be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9a6e0…
07-24 02:58:31	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xa27f46…
07-24 02:48:34	will cxmts closing ipo market cap be above 1pt5t cny 20260722211138919	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x71b517…
07-24 02:44:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x64ba0d…
07-24 02:32:45	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xda274a…
07-23 02:47:22	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x27a938…
07-23 02:20:48	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0e6192…
07-23 02:15:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x418dd2…
07-23 02:03:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5719a4…
07-22 02:10:55	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x76a938…
07-22 01:57:57	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x4fd256…
07-21 02:18:19	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4b37f3…
07-21 02:07:12	will xrp reach 1pt4 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7fb71b…
07-20 03:59:09	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xb9c4b7…
07-20 03:47:18	will russia enter serhiivka by july 31	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4d6736…
07-20 03:31:04	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xede7a1…
07-20 03:17:19	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x80aa52…
07-18 02:53:40	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x5e6e57…
07-18 02:25:45	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5d2ae3…
07-17 02:29:22	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xb6bbe9…
07-17 02:20:40	will trump accuse north korea of election interference by july 16 20260714013930795	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa10227…
07-17 02:16:12	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1ef87e…
07-17 01:55:42	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 20 2026 20260714195149522	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xabf74a…
07-16 01:59:17	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x4d3ef5…
07-16 01:50:07	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbf4d6a…
07-16 01:46:14	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x1a27df…
07-16 01:35:02	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x28c10b…
07-15 02:13:46	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xa58afd…
07-15 02:08:35	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xee95ed…
07-14 02:52:05	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x600973…
07-14 02:39:25	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x068b42…
07-13 03:04:52	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7f99d5…
07-13 02:55:19	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0a6103…
07-13 02:50:34	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x00923e…
07-13 02:28:26	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952740	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd360e6…
07-11 02:23:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbf8d7b…
07-11 02:03:53	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9f76c8…
07-11 02:00:34	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xc35e98…
07-11 01:55:02	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x7c6294…
07-10 02:48:53	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xea8153…
07-10 02:28:52	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x784a0d…
07-09 02:21:43	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x7c4156…
07-09 02:10:11	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb27fe3…
07-09 02:04:34	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3b5832…
07-09 01:54:04	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd3ad9d…
07-08 02:21:56	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xea7aa1…
07-08 02:11:26	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9a477e…
07-07 02:44:20	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd299b8…
07-07 02:24:28	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x433912…
07-06 01:52:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x8242b4…
07-06 01:37:53	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xef2489…
07-04 01:50:01	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xba727e…
07-04 01:44:25	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xfcd8d6…
07-03 06:15:43	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xdf0437…
07-03 04:58:26	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x841998…
07-02 02:17:23	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	SELL	1	67¢	$1	0x747b08…
07-02 02:14:41	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by july 31	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x9af001…
07-02 02:11:13	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x966c53…
07-02 01:55:50	will taylor swift get married in manhattan 20260605211638230	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x450312…
07-01 01:43:44	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x7ba72b…
07-01 01:32:16	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x918486…
06-30 02:19:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x8a7374…
06-30 02:10:23	will bitcoin dip to 55k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5ead8c…
06-30 02:05:50	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4129a8…
06-30 01:50:55	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc16cb0…
06-29 03:19:38	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3084e4…
06-29 03:18:25	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x105d08…
06-29 03:04:08	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7c7a1b…
06-29 02:54:19	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x92e64e…
06-27 01:55:08	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x07f444…
06-27 01:44:50	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x19b37b…
06-27 01:40:22	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xdb7331…
06-27 01:33:25	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0d3bb0…
06-26 02:44:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd51b96…
06-26 02:31:17	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x253ac7…
06-25 03:13:19	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x1f105c…
06-25 03:12:28	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4c7e6f…
06-25 03:02:34	Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x865a15…
06-25 02:57:01	will cambria launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa875ab…
06-24 02:50:26	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe4ba4a…
06-24 02:35:56	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc0d483…
06-23 01:58:43	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd8c249…
06-23 01:55:49	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4908a4…
06-23 01:43:50	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c7829…
06-23 01:37:22	Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x0260af…
06-22 02:25:59	will the us lift direct iran ofac sanctions by june 19 2026	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3b7785…
06-22 02:24:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x287e0b…