Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$947

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 03-03 01:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

54% 36% -$973

Politics

36% 50% +$23

Tech

6% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt6	1	$913	939	0	+939	No	-$913	03-03 01:11
us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	8	$402	225	225	+0	Yes	+$2	02-06 20:50
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	18	$167	133	133	+0	Yes	-$3	01-24 12:30
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$125	100	100	+0	Yes	+$25	03-02 20:14
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	2	$107	61	61	+0	Trump Announce Fed	+$7	01-30 05:02
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	2	$101	52	52	+0	Yes	+$1	02-10 03:03
will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	2	$100	53	53	+0	No	$0	01-26 02:18
will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	2	$100	50	50	+0	Yes	$0	03-02 13:39
penguin listed on binance by march 31	2	$99	64	64	+0	No	-$1	01-26 12:22
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	2	$99	107	107	+0	No	-$1	01-27 01:35
us government funding lapse on january 31	2	$99	64	64	+0	Yes	-$1	01-25 14:21
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	2	$95	67	67	+0	Yes	-$5	02-02 22:13
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$92	82	82	+0	No	-$8	02-04 00:43
minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	2	$90	66	66	+0	No	-$10	01-26 03:38
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	2	$89	109	109	+0	Yes	-$11	02-04 01:12
will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	2	$56	53	53	+0	Yes	-$44	03-03 01:10
SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	02-02 21:02
will house and senate pass funding bill by january 30 2026	1	$50	53	0	+53	No	+$3	01-29 17:20
BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	1	$50	61	0	+61	Yes	+$11	02-04 16:57
will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	03-02 14:00
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	1	$50	51	0	+51	Yes	+$1	02-13 10:30
aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	01-29 21:31
will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	02-05 19:00
will trump say minnesota this week february 1	1	$50	50	0	+50	Yes	+$0	01-27 21:21
trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	2	$9	14	14	+0	No	-$1	01-25 03:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 01:11:13	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt6	Yes	BUY	939	97¢	$913	0x8d712d…
03-03 01:10:11	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	Yes	SELL	53	12¢	$6	0x3fc831…
03-02 23:30:27	will japans january 2026 unemployment rate be 2pt7	Yes	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x1dbb01…
03-02 20:14:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	75¢	$75	0x68603a…
03-02 14:00:35	will apple announce the iphone 17e by march 15	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbd4d14…
03-02 13:53:37	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x7af6d6…
03-02 13:39:03	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xe76c5d…
03-02 13:25:37	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x08fa10…
02-13 10:30:25	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the february meeting	Yes	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x702b59…
02-10 03:03:01	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	SELL	52	100¢	$51	0x2e903d…
02-09 19:06:27	gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	Yes	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xa6994b…
02-06 20:50:17	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	SELL	53	100¢	$53	0xa4ac44…
02-06 14:59:47	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xae3475…
02-05 19:00:23	will the bank of mexico announce a decrease at the february meeting	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x5e1094…
02-04 22:57:13	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	SELL	53	91¢	$48	0x952a79…
02-04 16:57:41	BLS delays another CPI release before 2027?	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x183113…
02-04 16:49:39	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd080a8…
02-04 08:16:56	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	SELL	58	88¢	$51	0x695664…
02-04 02:07:24	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x3a2f45…
02-04 02:03:14	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0x0896be…
02-04 01:12:10	U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	36¢	$39	0xedd9e3…
02-04 00:43:08	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	82	51¢	$42	0xbe5080…
02-03 19:41:06	U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xe5ef6c…
02-03 19:12:04	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x72d8d0…
02-03 18:08:48	us x iran nuclear talks resume by march 31	Yes	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x303c8d…
02-02 22:13:14	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	SELL	67	67¢	$45	0x08492a…
02-02 21:02:56	SpaceX and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbc98df…
02-02 15:00:46	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jan–Mar–Apr)?	Yes	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x5b2cb5…
01-30 05:02:14	US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	SELL	61	94¢	$57	0x0c09f4…
01-30 00:14:56	US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?	Trump Announce Fed	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x7c62cf…
01-29 21:31:00	aapl quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 29 2026 2pt67	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x44efb8…
01-29 17:20:28	will house and senate pass funding bill by january 30 2026	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xbdea9d…
01-27 21:21:01	will trump say minnesota this week february 1	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x9d5591…
01-27 01:35:59	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	107	46¢	$49	0x5d0d96…
01-26 18:16:19	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	107	47¢	$50	0xe1d698…
01-26 12:22:19	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	SELL	64	77¢	$49	0xdb14d5…
01-26 11:31:53	penguin listed on binance by march 31	No	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xa67661…
01-26 03:38:30	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	SELL	66	61¢	$40	0x4e7860…
01-26 02:18:56	will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	No	SELL	53	93¢	$50	0x48abe7…
01-26 00:07:22	will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0xe66d78…
01-26 00:07:20	minneapolis border patrol shooter charged	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x07bfe9…
01-25 14:21:32	us government funding lapse on january 31	Yes	SELL	64	76¢	$49	0xb9ea28…
01-25 14:11:06	us government funding lapse on january 31	Yes	BUY	64	78¢	$50	0xa67a5f…
01-25 03:27:42	trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	Yes	SELL	14	28¢	$4	0xbdcb6c…
01-25 03:23:50	trump deploys active duty troops to minnesota by jan 31 472	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x3d07ef…
01-24 12:30:46	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	77	62¢	$48	0x2bb78a…
01-24 12:16:48	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0x2c284e…
01-24 10:17:56	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xe48d03…
01-24 10:15:02	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xc46276…
01-24 10:05:04	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0xd08c0f…
01-24 10:02:12	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x8cd77c…
01-24 09:59:20	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x90d3a8…
01-24 09:31:38	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xd68018…
01-24 09:28:36	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x1c4719…
01-24 09:27:52	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x70a63f…
01-24 09:13:00	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x9a369a…
01-24 09:10:22	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xf8d3dc…
01-24 09:09:34	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x044434…
01-24 08:53:12	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa3979c…
01-24 08:52:50	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x8ebf49…
01-24 08:34:22	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x76de69…
01-24 06:18:22	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0x93bc2a…
01-24 06:16:38	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x94dce1…