Frigid-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$80

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

52.7%

Resolved

233

Trades

544

lifetime

Volume

$1.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-02-27

last 07-31 23:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

94% 46% -$97

Sports

5% 67% +$20

Crypto

1% 50% +$5

Politics

1% 0% -$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes		+121	$18	12¢	$15	-$2	07-31 23:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 56 57f	26	$166	85	85	+0	Yes	$0	03-18 23:25
highest temperature in dallas on march 6 2026 86 87f	3	$76	39	39	+0	No	+$0	03-06 11:32
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 24?	2	$46	48	48	+0	Yes	+$42	05-24 19:34
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	6	$40	372	213	+159	No	-$7	07-31 23:26
highest temperature in tel aviv on march 21 2026 20c	2	$38	35	35	+0	Yes	+$31	03-21 12:45
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	20	$35	240	21	+219	No	-$35	05-30 21:39
highest temperature in atlanta on march 15 2026 72forhigher	7	$33	25	25	+0	Yes	+$13	03-15 21:54
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$31	400	300	+100	No	+$11	07-07 17:04
highest temperature in chengdu on march 23 2026 14c	10	$29	77	30	+47	No	-$21	03-21 15:05
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	4	$28	155	33	+121	open	—	07-31 23:26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	2	$26	30	30	+0	Yes	+$23	05-21 07:58
highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 20corhigher	7	$24	53	0	+53	No	-$24	03-19 08:09
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$22	50	50	+0	Yes	+$12	07-07 19:24
highest temperature in shanghai on march 19 2026 5c	10	$20	111	12	+99	No	-$16	03-16 13:15
highest temperature in munich on march 23 2026 16corhigher	8	$20	17	3	+14	No	+$1	03-22 14:27
highest temperature in seattle on march 13 2026 36 37f	3	$18	14	14	+0	Yes	+$8	03-13 22:32
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$16	96	96	+0	No	-$3	07-03 17:58
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?	6	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$0	05-28 03:18
highest temperature in wellington on march 5 2026 22corhigher	2	$15	13	2	+12	No	+$0	03-04 06:52
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 54 55f	3	$15	10	10	+0	Yes	+$5	03-17 02:06
highest temperature in nyc on march 7 2026 48forhigher	9	$14	14	5	+10	Yes	+$3	03-09 00:51
highest temperature in seattle on march 6 2026 50 51f	4	$13	8	8	+0	Yes	+$3	03-07 00:58
highest temperature in beijing on march 24 2026 15corbelow	5	$12	64	16	+48	No	-$11	03-21 05:17
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on May 23?	7	$11	35	7	+29	No	-$2	05-23 23:19
highest temperature in atlanta on march 11 2026 78 79f	3	$10	6	6	+0	No	+$1	03-11 17:53
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 11c	3	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$0	03-18 02:11
highest temperature in atlanta on march 3 2026 62forhigher	3	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 20:56
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 31corhigher	4	$10	39	0	+39	No	-$4	03-23 13:27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 31?	4	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-30 08:39
highest temperature in wellington on march 4 2026 15c	5	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	03-03 05:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 23:26:48	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	67	5¢	$4	0x002a93…
07-31 23:26:27	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x4a7ee8…
07-31 12:44:39	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x765a71…
07-31 12:43:00	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x69c658…
07-19 09:54:18	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x254bc3…
07-19 09:54:06	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	SELL	213	8¢	$17	0x74dab2…
07-15 20:36:02	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	78	6¢	$5	0x3c4d4e…
07-13 23:32:34	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x718516…
07-13 23:25:47	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xec13aa…
07-13 23:25:11	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	72	7¢	$5	0x74d990…
07-07 23:41:16	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x09496b…
07-07 19:24:22	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x801ace…
07-07 17:07:10	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xa80301…
07-07 17:04:35	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	300	7¢	$21	0xdb64e5…
07-03 18:01:32	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	Yes	BUY	334	2¢	$6	0x7b89e7…
07-03 17:58:20	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	96	7¢	$7	0x56cdb1…
06-12 22:59:16	Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	96	10¢	$9	0x10fa89…
06-12 22:52:16	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x3df92a…
06-12 06:38:19	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x012354…
06-10 03:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xf6a7d7…
06-10 03:54:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x57b601…
06-10 02:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$2	0x47d32e…
06-10 00:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x712d68…
06-10 00:22:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x611102…
06-10 00:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 10?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x20c6eb…
06-09 23:33:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 10?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x2aa31e…
06-06 00:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	34	1¢	$0	0x9d32b7…
06-05 07:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x54b073…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xc7b5a3…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xab746c…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x67c634…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x2e01e7…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x2c68aa…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x2c29b8…
06-05 07:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x246d57…
06-05 07:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x2f0815…
06-05 07:03:37	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	34	5¢	$2	0x93fec2…
06-05 03:13:15	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0xa650df…
06-05 03:12:06	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x102286…
06-04 21:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x63a280…
06-04 19:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?	No	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0xafb7a6…
06-04 18:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x153b81…
06-04 18:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	28	6¢	$2	0xd3b8e4…
06-04 18:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xf9b9ac…
06-04 18:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	24	7¢	$2	0x6d9e99…
06-04 18:15:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1dced2…
06-04 18:10:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd99880…
06-04 17:50:57	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	21	8¢	$2	0xb06c49…
06-04 17:43:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x955ce8…
06-04 17:43:09	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 5?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x305d9f…
06-04 17:31:07	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x49a22d…
06-04 17:20:03	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0xee9d9d…
06-04 12:53:18	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x2c4bf9…
06-04 06:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$1	0xb12f4f…
06-04 04:15:18	bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0x67117b…
06-04 03:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xeee5dd…
06-04 03:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb32182…
06-04 00:29:33	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x7c16c8…
06-04 00:08:55	bitcoin above 64k on june 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x04e10e…
06-03 20:53:24	bitcoin above 68k on june 7 2026	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x098eab…
06-03 05:15:46	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 3?	No	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0x6df8f5…
06-03 05:02:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	82	2¢	$1	0xa66570…
06-03 03:45:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x1eafed…
06-03 00:44:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 3?	No	SELL	2	87¢	$1	0x2f4deb…
06-02 22:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 3?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$1	0x27a085…
06-02 22:23:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x303218…
06-02 21:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xe98c2f…
06-02 04:26:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?	No	BUY	9	17¢	$1	0xe34485…
06-02 01:23:58	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x056b33…
06-02 00:45:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x1ee1e7…
06-01 19:53:06	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	148	1¢	$1	0x35b937…
06-01 14:59:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x2d57eb…
05-31 12:17:41	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 2?	Yes	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0xe0f573…
05-31 12:11:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	25	6¢	$1	0x654e40…
05-31 12:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$1	0xb686ed…
05-31 11:42:27	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0x177876…
05-31 09:06:07	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x980e81…
05-31 09:04:46	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 1?	No	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x97a46c…
05-31 09:04:06	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x7ac746…
05-31 05:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 31?	Yes	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0x957a9f…
05-31 05:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on May 31?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xf0e655…
05-31 01:48:56	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0x466531…
05-31 01:17:26	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on May 30?	Yes	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x53b160…
05-30 21:39:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0x7ffd44…
05-30 18:52:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa0b64c…
05-30 18:52:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 1?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xb4473a…
05-30 16:44:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x91a99d…
05-30 14:37:29	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x25dd93…
05-30 14:37:15	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xcc1812…
05-30 14:37:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xa62c13…
05-30 14:35:42	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc0a8a9…
05-30 14:32:05	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb4912c…
05-30 14:32:00	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xd5dc40…
05-30 14:31:44	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xe7cbdd…
05-30 14:31:18	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xfdc1f3…
05-30 14:31:01	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x41840f…
05-30 14:30:31	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa11858…
05-30 14:29:02	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x8820fd…
05-30 14:28:34	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xba70f7…
05-30 14:27:24	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 1?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x77f377…