Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$6.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 03-25 01:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 21 days

Categories

Other

51% 72% -$93

Politics

30% 73% +$54

Crypto

16% 69% +$114

Sports

3% 0% -$84

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	18	$631	369	399	-30	Yes	+$26	02-26 21:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	14	$555	46,849	46,849	+0	No	-$47	02-27 22:53
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$325	31,751	31,751	+0	No	-$35	02-27 18:59
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	3	$285	175	175	+0	No	+$5	03-03 16:42
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	4	$283	166	166	+0	No	+$3	03-05 01:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$230	4,566	4,566	+0	No	+$11	03-03 06:21
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	5	$211	149	74	+74	No	+$6	03-01 17:59
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	5	$164	98	98	+0	Yes	-$1	02-22 19:45
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	5	$161	167	113	+53	Yes	+$20	02-27 03:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$155	68	94	-26	Yes	-$1	02-24 04:39
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$145	90	90	+0	Yes	+$5	03-04 16:45
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	7	$137	87	87	+0	No	+$7	02-23 21:55
will there be 1820 inches of snow in nyc this weekend	3	$134	97	97	+0	Yes	+$4	02-23 16:05
will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	6	$123	103	103	+0	Yes	-$7	02-23 19:00
state of the union bingo card 3	3	$115	91	91	+0	No	-$15	02-23 23:48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$108	15,448	15,448	+0	No	-$77	03-25 01:47
aapl close above 260 on february 20 2026	5	$107	57	57	+0	Yes	+$7	02-20 19:14
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$105	11,694	11,694	+0	No	-$12	03-01 17:09
nvda close above 185 on february 20 2026	4	$102	53	53	+0	Yes	+$2	02-20 19:05
will company b be accused of insider trading	3	$100	90	46	+45	No	+$14	02-24 23:20
will meta dip to 620 in february	3	$98	68	68	+0	No	-$2	02-21 01:05
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$94	6,275	6,275	+0	No	-$6	03-04 17:09
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$88	2,452	2,452	+0	No	+$5	02-20 16:17
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$71	1,135	1,135	+0	No	+$1	02-23 18:00
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	2	$65	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	02-25 18:28
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$65	39	39	+0	Yes	$0	02-22 20:28
spx up or down on february 19 2026	2	$64	39	39	+0	Down	+$14	02-19 20:42
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	1	$55	63	0	+63	Yes	+$8	02-27 15:32
bitcoin up or down on february 27	2	$50	60	0	+60	Down	+$10	02-27 16:05
highest temperature in wellington on february 23 2026 22corhigher	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	02-22 22:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-25 01:47:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	15,448	0¢	$15	0xa56e33…
03-05 01:41:53	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	SELL	157	86¢	$135	0x43abfe…
03-04 22:58:35	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0xbe64da…
03-04 22:31:09	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	BUY	84	83¢	$70	0xfb6a51…
03-04 21:39:33	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	No	BUY	81	86¢	$70	0x04ce20…
03-04 17:09:35	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	6,275	1¢	$44	0xfeb783…
03-04 16:45:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	90	84¢	$75	0xaba5bb…
03-04 16:14:05	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6,275	1¢	$50	0x022358…
03-04 15:26:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0x3b50c5…
03-03 19:40:47	highest temperature in ankara on march 4 2026 10corhigher	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xb61136…
03-03 16:42:31	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	175	83¢	$145	0x4318c9…
03-03 16:00:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	87	81¢	$70	0xb29997…
03-03 14:53:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	88	80¢	$70	0xdfb898…
03-03 14:00:21	xrp above 1pt4 on march 3	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xbf742b…
03-03 13:48:37	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	4,024	1¢	$24	0x0202fe…
03-03 13:47:33	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	11,425	1¢	$69	0x2eccb5…
03-03 06:21:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4,532	2¢	$88	0x64d067…
03-01 17:59:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0x60f4b3…
03-01 17:59:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x3a2553…
03-01 17:59:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x25f4d1…
03-01 17:09:29	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	11,694	0¢	$47	0x769476…
03-01 16:50:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0xbbda20…
03-01 16:49:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	74	94¢	$70	0xd9fd12…
03-01 16:14:59	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	11,694	0¢	$58	0xf05fdb…
02-28 18:10:41	will donald trump say bubble on truth social this week	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x5cb94a…
02-28 15:20:27	bitcoin up or down february 28 10am et	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6b7cff…
02-28 14:00:41	will noah wyle win best actor in a drama series at the 2026 sag awards	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xabe340…
02-27 23:20:33	bitcoin up or down february 27 6pm et	Up	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0x565ff4…
02-27 22:53:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	17,018	0¢	$68	0xba0c72…
02-27 22:20:43	bitcoin up or down february 27 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x93c87c…
02-27 21:42:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	17,018	0¢	$85	0x9925dc…
02-27 19:20:53	bitcoin up or down february 27 2pm et	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x444865…
02-27 18:59:29	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	14,000	0¢	$56	0x80802b…
02-27 18:21:11	bitcoin up or down february 27 1pm et	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x7f484f…
02-27 17:25:23	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14,000	0¢	$70	0x8cbabf…
02-27 17:20:41	bitcoin up or down february 27 12pm et	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xd9b585…
02-27 16:20:29	bitcoin up or down february 27 11am et	Down	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x324c2a…
02-27 16:05:55	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xbc6653…
02-27 15:32:31	elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	Yes	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x6d8c91…
02-27 15:20:31	bitcoin up or down february 27 10am et	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x6833de…
02-27 14:00:53	will meta close between 670 and 680 week february 27 2026	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbf9cf4…
02-27 14:00:35	bitcoin up or down on february 27	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xfe8fb2…
02-27 13:26:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,532	2¢	$77	0x40aca8…
02-27 03:00:24	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	53¢	$32	0xbce435…
02-26 23:30:48	will trumps approval rating be less than 40pt5 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8e1585…
02-26 22:20:40	bitcoin up or down february 26 5pm et	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x905fab…
02-26 22:01:26	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	54¢	$32	0x23a286…
02-26 21:41:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	73	91¢	$66	0x61c09b…
02-26 21:20:34	bitcoin up or down february 26 4pm et	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x903261…
02-26 20:20:42	bitcoin up or down february 26 3pm et	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa27335…
02-26 19:51:52	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	6,817	0¢	$34	0xb69e12…
02-26 19:20:50	bitcoin up or down february 26 2pm et	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xab4a39…
02-26 18:42:10	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	37	89¢	$32	0x9564bd…
02-26 18:20:26	bitcoin up or down february 26 1pm et	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xccd55f…
02-26 17:27:38	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6,817	1¢	$41	0xd1e2f7…
02-26 16:44:14	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	37	89¢	$32	0xabb8ee…
02-26 16:20:42	bitcoin up or down february 26 11am et	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x933ec8…
02-26 14:20:54	bitcoin up or down february 26 9am et	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x6f8147…
02-26 14:01:04	tsla close above 430 on february 26 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x10114b…
02-25 22:20:50	bitcoin up or down february 25 5pm et	Down	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x5965a2…
02-25 20:21:02	bitcoin up or down february 25 3pm et	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x66654b…
02-25 18:29:44	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x8207f8…
02-25 18:28:34	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0x80d343…
02-25 18:07:46	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	36	90¢	$32	0xdf1dc7…
02-25 17:55:00	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	5,006	1¢	$30	0x2561f2…
02-25 17:20:38	bitcoin up or down february 25 12pm et	Up	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x2067d2…
02-25 16:32:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	5,006	1¢	$35	0x8d5343…
02-25 16:21:02	bitcoin up or down february 25 11am et	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0xfd6fef…
02-25 14:56:02	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	10,791	0¢	$54	0x232d2b…
02-25 13:25:30	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x62dc03…
02-25 13:23:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x8c23b1…
02-25 12:55:34	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	7,187	1¢	$43	0x47b01a…
02-25 00:00:34	highest temperature in toronto on february 25 2026 3c	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2f8fea…
02-24 23:20:00	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	46	76¢	$35	0xeebada…
02-24 22:53:38	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	45	73¢	$32	0x4b16f7…
02-24 21:23:56	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	46	71¢	$32	0xea218c…
02-24 21:22:22	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xfe0bf9…
02-24 20:20:32	bitcoin up or down february 24 3pm et	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc193c9…
02-24 19:20:54	bitcoin up or down february 24 2pm et	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xa2d43a…
02-24 18:27:44	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	4,129	1¢	$25	0x307547…
02-24 17:20:58	bitcoin up or down february 24 12pm et	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe1b06d…
02-24 16:20:50	bitcoin up or down february 24 11am et	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x506162…
02-24 16:19:52	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	4,129	1¢	$29	0x55bec5…
02-24 16:02:36	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0xb7f2d0…
02-24 12:54:44	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3,604	1¢	$25	0x201abd…
02-24 05:42:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x5a2980…
02-24 04:39:54	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	34	96¢	$32	0x1e6694…
02-23 23:50:24	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	34	96¢	$32	0x667e73…
02-23 23:48:32	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	41	80¢	$32	0xcdd35c…
02-23 23:48:26	state of the union bingo card 3	Yes	SELL	91	55¢	$50	0x362ee1…
02-23 23:43:04	state of the union bingo card 3	Yes	BUY	46	70¢	$32	0x8cabf4…
02-23 21:55:04	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x345344…
02-23 21:52:46	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	SELL	86	83¢	$72	0x4a62b9…
02-23 19:12:38	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x34cbda…
02-23 19:11:24	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	11	72¢	$8	0xd24efe…
02-23 19:10:08	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xdcb084…
02-23 19:09:30	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xb45e17…
02-23 19:02:12	state of the union bingo card 3	Yes	BUY	45	73¢	$32	0xa2efe9…
02-23 19:00:26	will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	Yes	BUY	42	78¢	$32	0xedad93…
02-23 19:00:16	will the 2026 state of the union address last 100 minutes or longer	No	SELL	91	57¢	$52	0x359588…