Hungry-Socialist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$296

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.8%

Resolved

Trades

346

lifetime

Volume

$7.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-02 05:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 47% $-393

Sports

35% 62% +$98

Tech

10% — —

Other

9% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will spacex starship flight test 12 superheavy explode 995 876 365 284 849 486 211 172 221 678 984 722	12	$707	546	550	-4	open	—	04-07 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$270	385	385	+0	Down	+$70	05-11 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	3	$242	958	458	+500	Up	+$32	05-13 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	3	$238	198	198	+0	Up	+$38	05-10 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$229	195	195	+0	Up	+$29	05-10 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	2	$222	159	159	+0	Up	+$22	05-13 02:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$219	175	175	+0	Down	+$19	05-10 23:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$215	250	250	+0	Up	+$15	05-13 02:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$200	410	0	+410	Up	+$210	05-10 23:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$193	1,208	0	+1,208	Up	$-193	05-13 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$192	360	0	+360	Up	$-192	05-13 03:30
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	4	$185	200	0	+200	open	—	01-20 01:39
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$170	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 02:48
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$159	100	100	+0	open	—	04-25 02:48
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild	3	$137	86	86	+0	Avalanche	+$19	05-12 06:20
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	3	$116	63	182	-119	open	—	02-22 19:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$111	62	62	+0	open	—	05-31 18:54
Ducks vs. Golden Knights	2	$110	192	0	+192	Golden Knights	+$82	05-13 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$100	201	0	+201	Down	$-100	05-10 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$100	209	0	+209	Up	+$109	05-13 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	1	$100	168	0	+168	Down	$-100	05-10 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$100	169	0	+169	Down	$-100	05-13 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$100	163	0	+163	Down	$-100	05-13 03:15
Lakers vs. Rockets	8	$98	107	105	+2	open	—	04-25 02:38
nfl hou ne 2026 01 18 spread home 3pt5	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	01-18 21:26
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$68	100	0	+100	open	—	01-27 03:06
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	2	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	02-15 02:29
nfl la chi 2026 01 18 rush dandre swift 54pt5	3	$65	120	0	+120	open	—	01-18 21:33
nhl chi col 2026 02 28	2	$64	40	40	+0	open	—	03-01 01:18
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Sabres vs. Canadiens	1	$54	102	0	+102	open	—	05-06 00:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 05:21:28	fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x772854…
07-02 05:20:44	fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 team to advance	Switzerland	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x82e3c4…
07-02 05:18:20	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x52c017…
07-01 21:29:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0x94b01c…
07-01 15:34:38	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xc4b606…
07-01 15:13:02	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	United States	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0x4604e5…
06-30 19:40:35	fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1ac58a…
06-13 23:18:37	nhl car las 2026 06 14	Golden Knights	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0xdf4423…
06-10 01:30:13	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x009caf…
06-07 22:39:52	nhl las car 2026 06 11	Golden Knights	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x091012…
06-05 00:21:39	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Golden Knights	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xebb8ab…
06-05 00:21:34	nhl car las 2026 06 06	Golden Knights	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc07dbd…
06-05 00:21:10	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x3f3352…
06-03 02:57:00	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0xe9a34b…
06-03 02:56:58	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd31d43…
06-03 01:19:33	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x478ece…
06-02 00:58:01	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Golden Knights	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xee0855…
05-31 18:55:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$11	0x9ea339…
05-31 18:54:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0xcfe5bd…
05-30 00:17:09	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xef235f…
05-30 00:16:54	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x6e3dde…
05-23 00:21:28	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xf5737a…
05-23 00:21:01	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x20bec6…
05-22 01:08:35	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa969f0…
05-18 23:15:53	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xcb742c…
05-18 23:15:44	Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)	Chicago Cubs	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0c0980…
05-18 23:15:30	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x26a3f1…
05-15 01:16:57	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Ducks	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x4a68e9…
05-15 01:16:32	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb7e738…
05-14 02:52:32	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0xa554db…
05-14 00:56:24	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	36	19¢	$7	0xecada6…
05-13 03:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa78a37…
05-13 03:49:22	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xd22f34…
05-13 03:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	233	11¢	$25	0xf131f8…
05-13 03:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	233	27¢	$63	0x3503e6…
05-13 03:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	242	41¢	$100	0x777ed9…
05-13 03:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x42d8d9…
05-13 03:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	458	30¢	$137	0x403b3d…
05-13 03:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	458	22¢	$100	0xf9d347…
05-13 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	167	55¢	$92	0xd92ed5…
05-13 03:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0xd1391c…
05-13 03:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	163	61¢	$100	0xbb3723…
05-13 03:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x803d77…
05-13 02:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0x82af43…
05-13 02:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	176	14¢	$25	0x7c1af1…
05-13 02:45:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0x613171…
05-13 02:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	250	46¢	$115	0x6ca76d…
05-13 02:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x5409ff…
05-13 02:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xe64c51…
05-13 02:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x39d4bd…
05-13 02:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	36	69¢	$25	0x608252…
05-13 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xdf3136…
05-13 02:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x2cb75a…
05-13 02:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1b0a1a…
05-13 02:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xfcaf1f…
05-13 02:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	159	77¢	$122	0x9dc6dc…
05-13 02:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x98bea5…
05-13 02:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xa2a357…
05-13 01:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x21c7da…
05-13 01:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	62	31¢	$19	0x437a06…
05-13 01:45:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xb81dda…
05-13 01:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x0a8636…
05-13 01:30:06	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x3bcef3…
05-13 01:06:09	Ducks vs. Golden Knights	Golden Knights	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x505202…
05-12 06:20:02	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	SELL	64	91¢	$59	0x150850…
05-12 00:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$6	0xe6280e…
05-12 00:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2923c0…
05-11 15:11:20	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7dea8c…
05-11 12:48:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x1cb849…
05-11 00:50:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	385	44¢	$170	0xb317c7…
05-11 00:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x79cc11…
05-11 00:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	29¢	$25	0xf3eacc…
05-11 00:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xa44ec0…
05-11 00:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0x8ebf2a…
05-11 00:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x30ebfd…
05-11 00:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2ce798…
05-10 23:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	213	47¢	$100	0xddf21e…
05-10 23:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0xfae407…
05-10 23:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	168	59¢	$100	0xe21faa…
05-10 23:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	114	75¢	$85	0xd0036f…
05-10 23:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	84	62¢	$52	0x1522bf…
05-10 23:39:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x416709…
05-10 23:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	195	66¢	$129	0xba4c49…
05-10 23:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	195	51¢	$100	0x3211ec…
05-10 23:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	175	68¢	$119	0xba6d9d…
05-10 23:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	175	57¢	$100	0xad0fa1…
05-10 23:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0xc7ae26…
05-10 23:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$10	0xd8efd5…
05-10 23:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3d375b…
05-10 22:33:15	Spread: Ducks (-1.5)	Ducks	BUY	81	30¢	$24	0x1e421f…
05-10 22:31:46	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xeeef02…
05-09 21:40:09	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	71	41¢	$29	0x45893f…
05-09 01:58:28	Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)	Avalanche	BUY	35	34¢	$12	0x09f663…
05-09 01:54:48	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x31dd87…
05-09 01:51:21	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xec95df…
05-08 19:58:42	Golden Knights vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xaa7e23…
05-08 19:58:33	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xd15cce…
05-08 00:17:31	Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)	Hurricanes	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xede1b8…
05-07 12:58:45	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Sabres	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0xda4ddf…
05-07 12:58:07	Hurricanes vs. Flyers	Hurricanes	BUY	17	61¢	$10	0xfb9702…