Frozen-Curtain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-24 08:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 92% -$1

Other

26% 92% +$0

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 6	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	01-05 10:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	05-06 06:55
ethereum above 1500 on march 3	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-02 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	05-15 11:20
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	04-30 11:12
bitcoin above 86k on january 3	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	01-03 03:27
ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	06-05 11:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	05-25 12:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	05-21 08:46
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	05-09 12:28
bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	06-09 13:01
bitcoin above 58k on march 6	1	$91	91	+91	Yes	+$0	03-05 07:48
ethereum above 2300 on february 14	1	$91	91	+91	No	+$0	02-14 07:47
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-17 09:49
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:57
highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 11c	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-12 06:42
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-01 07:33
bitcoin above 76k on march 28	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-27 11:36
bitcoin above 64k on march 16	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-15 03:19
will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-19 09:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-15 08:05
will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-31 07:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 11	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-11 11:55
will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 20	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-19 12:49
ethereum above 1800 on april 6	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	04-06 03:43
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-18 09:51
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 200 219	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	03-20 12:52
will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 10	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	01-09 11:35
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	03-24 08:06
will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	1	$90	90	+90	Yes	+$0	02-03 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 08:05:00	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in September?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb9df6c…
09-24 08:01:03	dota2 xtreme nem 2026 09 24	Xtreme Gaming	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x675792…
08-06 09:22:41	will wti dip to 30 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x87df84…
08-06 09:22:14	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xb0d4d0…
07-29 11:44:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4e6db9…
06-09 13:01:31	bitcoin above 66k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xff87a6…
06-05 11:53:54	ethereum above 1900 on june 5 2026	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa25eb2…
05-25 12:24:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x492997…
05-21 08:46:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x63ac1f…
05-15 11:20:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x4690d4…
05-09 12:28:25	Will Donald Trump visit China on May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x7e4894…
05-06 06:55:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x503ca8…
04-30 11:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb01449…
04-19 09:22:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc609eb…
04-16 08:57:46	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xad6bca…
04-12 06:42:13	highest temperature in london on april 12 2026 11c	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x9b42bc…
04-06 03:43:17	ethereum above 1800 on april 6	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4daa39…
04-01 07:33:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x7578a4…
03-27 11:36:19	bitcoin above 76k on march 28	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb07ed6…
03-24 08:06:31	bitcoin above 66k on march 24	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xd78c4e…
03-20 12:52:17	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 200 219	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x55370f…
03-18 09:51:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 160 179	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5d2400…
03-15 03:19:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 16	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x3fee10…
03-11 11:55:57	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 11	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xb05033…
03-09 08:52:51	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 280 299	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0xb60d5b…
03-09 08:52:25	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	No	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x02761e…
03-05 07:48:17	bitcoin above 58k on march 6	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xbb45ea…
03-02 09:00:29	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xb08844…
02-14 07:47:15	ethereum above 2300 on february 14	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xf1e537…
02-03 07:49:42	will the ecb announce no change at the february 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe03e8a…
01-31 07:51:14	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xeed70b…
01-27 09:20:03	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 27	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xde11be…
01-19 12:49:38	will the price of ethereum be between 2700 2800 on january 20	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x129d89…
01-17 09:49:46	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 400 419	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x830839…
01-15 08:05:06	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 15	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x67f144…
01-09 11:35:12	will the price of ethereum be less than 2700 on january 10	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x68d9f9…
01-09 11:34:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 9	Yes	BUY	900	0¢	$2	0x9a7ced…
01-05 10:52:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on january 6	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0x1f0262…
01-03 03:27:31	bitcoin above 86k on january 3	Yes	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xa195bb…