Bogus-Recess — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

23 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$95

$95 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 78% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 23:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Up	$-5	05-05 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	+$0	05-04 22:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 21:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	$-4	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Down	+$1	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	$-3	05-04 22:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Down	+$2	05-04 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$3	5	+5	Up	$-3	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 22:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 00:44:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe8c295…
05-05 00:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb868fc…
05-05 00:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x0ec31f…
05-05 00:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe593b3…
05-05 00:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xb51d6c…
05-04 23:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xca1c92…
05-04 23:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4dc5dc…
05-04 23:54:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb0c481…
05-04 23:19:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4b9c33…
05-04 23:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd6a409…
05-04 23:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xfa46e4…
05-04 23:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xbd047e…
05-04 22:59:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xb00fe1…
05-04 22:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5286da…
05-04 22:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc82feb…
05-04 22:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd98b11…
05-04 22:29:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf91a13…
05-04 22:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4018d4…
05-04 22:24:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd47c5f…
05-04 22:14:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb4347d…
05-04 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x18850b…
05-04 21:54:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xeb133f…
05-04 21:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x43da62…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	15	$1.49K	34	05-05 00:44
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	14	$1.59K	34	05-05 00:39
Thirsty-Adjustment 0x2f32…ada6	14	$716	114	05-05 00:44
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	8	$998	195	05-04 23:20
Adored-Dory-Producer 0x04a1…3527	8	$920	32	05-05 00:29
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	8	$682	42	05-05 00:25
General-School 0x01ca…200d	7	$3.44K	22	05-05 00:29
Long-Term-Siege 0xc5d5…6caa	7	$1.96K	23	05-05 00:29