Profitable-Breakdown — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

424

lifetime

Volume

$3.71K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 05-18 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 63% +$14

Other

21% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 169 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	54	$281	324	324	+0	open	—	05-18 14:25
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	5	$192	310	299	+11	open	—	04-23 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	23	$174	226	170	+56	open	—	04-28 09:34
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$145	431	413	+18	open	—	04-24 13:36
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$123	365	351	+15	open	—	04-24 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	7	$101	159	134	+25	Down	+$8	05-07 02:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$99	70	70	+0	open	—	04-23 05:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	14	$96	98	94	+3	open	—	04-28 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$91	425	407	+18	open	—	04-25 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$87	130	130	+0	Down	$-13	05-07 11:52
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$82	361	346	+16	open	—	04-25 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$78	56	56	+0	Up	+$8	05-07 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	6	$71	86	20	+66	Down	+$17	05-07 02:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$61	33	33	+0	open	—	04-23 06:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$60	43	43	+0	open	—	04-23 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$60	79	0	+79	Down	$-3	05-07 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$59	68	68	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$58	78	0	+78	open	—	05-18 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$55	70	0	+70	Down	+$1	05-07 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	5	$54	84	84	+0	Down	$-16	05-07 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	4	$52	40	40	+0	open	—	05-18 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$51	26	26	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	10	$48	95	49	+45	Up	$-2	05-07 12:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	4	$46	67	20	+47	Down	+$23	05-07 02:15
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?	2	$43	48	48	+0	open	—	04-23 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	6	$42	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 01:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	4	$42	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 01:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$42	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	5	$42	40	40	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	10	$42	40	40	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 15:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	25	90¢	$23	0x9675be…
05-18 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xd43311…
05-18 15:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xa83ed5…
05-18 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x7f869f…
05-18 15:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xefb3c5…
05-18 15:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xcb433f…
05-18 15:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xb34221…
05-18 15:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x86bda6…
05-18 14:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x1c70f1…
05-18 14:45:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x6a9b5c…
05-18 14:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	42¢	$8	0x6c7ef1…
05-18 14:25:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	38¢	$9	0x5cf4ce…
05-18 14:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x0a6eb7…
05-18 14:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x04fedb…
05-18 14:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x9a442b…
05-18 14:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x3cdfce…
05-18 14:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x79cbf2…
05-18 14:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	26	41¢	$11	0xabb104…
05-18 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xb6fd01…
05-18 14:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xb24a6c…
05-18 14:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x426231…
05-18 14:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x8e4232…
05-18 14:23:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdfd74a…
05-18 14:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x48e2d6…
05-18 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x763a04…
05-18 14:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	34	55¢	$19	0x5010b2…
05-18 14:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	83	43¢	$36	0x569925…
05-18 14:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xf2dc0f…
05-18 14:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xa0c9bd…
05-18 14:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x6b16fe…
05-18 14:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x7ecb71…
05-18 14:22:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x29f8b9…
05-18 14:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x192db7…
05-18 14:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4cdd2a…
05-18 14:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x424eb7…
05-18 14:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x1ca70c…
05-18 14:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xdb9cbd…
05-18 14:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9965aa…
05-18 14:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb91572…
05-18 14:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x846735…
05-18 14:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xfac67d…
05-18 14:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x91e4b0…
05-18 14:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x3663ce…
05-18 14:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb9952d…
05-18 14:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xac0539…
05-18 14:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x8d7718…
05-18 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	132	43¢	$57	0x414ba8…
05-18 14:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x909b4f…
05-18 14:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x36061b…
05-18 14:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x30ae63…
05-18 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x48df1e…
05-18 14:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x986130…
05-18 14:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x79b463…
05-18 14:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x03df66…
05-18 14:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x28db68…
05-18 14:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7022df…
05-18 14:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xfe19c9…
05-18 14:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8dd053…
05-18 14:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xb28fd3…
05-18 14:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xe6ca90…
05-18 14:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf72481…
05-18 14:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7beea0…
05-18 14:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xff5253…
05-18 14:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x83e254…
05-18 14:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	14¢	$3	0xca5d99…
05-18 14:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x836196…
05-18 09:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x59d499…
05-18 09:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	5¢	$0	0xb433c5…
05-18 09:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x04c9ee…
05-18 09:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xd47f4a…
05-18 09:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe7b6a1…
05-18 08:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0xe5ef66…
05-18 08:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	34¢	$8	0x504ac7…
05-07 12:18:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x833fb9…
05-07 12:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xac1b76…
05-07 12:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	51	56¢	$29	0x5d144e…
05-07 12:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x4f9725…
05-07 12:13:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xe61f26…
05-07 12:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5c88e8…
05-07 12:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xba7881…
05-07 12:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x0afccb…
05-07 12:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x879d1a…
05-07 12:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbab43d…
05-07 12:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0x7bc2e3…
05-07 12:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xc333ec…
05-07 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x74650c…
05-07 12:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x48f77e…
05-07 12:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0x6319fe…
05-07 12:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x094ae5…
05-07 12:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x1f7141…
05-07 11:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	36	89¢	$32	0x024608…
05-07 11:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x8c78a9…
05-07 11:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x955b78…
05-07 11:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x4b4584…
05-07 11:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x24ef57…
05-07 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$5	0x44b3e6…
05-07 11:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x28ab02…
05-07 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	89	15¢	$13	0xb1a892…
05-07 11:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x87a4f5…
05-07 11:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0xd32983…