Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

3,523

Trades

5,682

lifetime

Volume

$24.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-28

last 10-27 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 84% -$47

Other

2% 69% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes		+78	$3	2¢	$2	-$1	10-23 15:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 12:00 UTC	21	$41	0	80	-80	Down	+$1	08-03 12:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-02 18:00 UTC	12	$30	0	60	-60	Up	$0	08-02 18:13
bitcoin up or down august 2 2026 12pm et	14	$29	0	60	-60	Up	-$1	08-02 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 12:10 UTC	6	$29	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	08-14 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:55 UTC	4	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	08-14 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:15 UTC	4	$28	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	08-14 13:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:35 UTC	4	$25	15	15	+0	Down	-$2	08-14 13:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 16:45 UTC	11	$25	0	50	-50	Up	+$0	08-04 16:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	9	$23	5	35	-30	Up	+$0	08-08 13:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-03 13:00 UTC	11	$22	0	45	-45	Up	-$3	08-03 13:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 14:25 UTC	3	$22	30	0	+30	Up	-$2	09-25 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$22	30	0	+30	Up	-$2	09-25 10:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:05 UTC	4	$20	15	10	+5	Up	+$2	08-13 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	08-14 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	08-13 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-08 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 10:25 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	08-14 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-08 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 16:50 UTC	3	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	08-13 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-07 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	10-08 06:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-14 13:45 UTC	4	$19	15	5	+10	Down	+$0	08-14 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	10-08 06:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 11:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x51e8ac…
10-27 11:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x62d77b…
10-27 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x88e6bd…
10-27 10:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x3b1df4…
10-27 10:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2febe2…
10-27 09:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x208bb0…
10-27 09:32:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x9c3c14…
10-27 08:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x3f4818…
10-27 07:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0ef52a…
10-27 07:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x2d512f…
10-27 07:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7f57f7…
10-26 16:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xd98b4c…
10-26 15:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe5d62d…
10-26 15:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xae724a…
10-26 14:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xddc1be…
10-26 13:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0f5598…
10-26 13:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xcfc831…
10-26 12:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1d2c67…
10-26 08:22:03	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc06e8b…
10-26 07:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf3ebd2…
10-26 06:18:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x22b33f…
10-26 00:15:11	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x91d5d5…
10-26 00:11:45	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xf9eeeb…
10-25 21:50:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x259f66…
10-25 18:17:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x08f365…
10-25 15:26:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x28b89f…
10-25 12:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 25?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x686962…
10-23 15:08:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in October?	Yes	BUY	78	3¢	$3	0x8cfb2c…
10-23 13:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb7243b…
10-23 13:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9b1930…
10-23 13:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1f1fc1…
10-23 13:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x58c032…
10-23 13:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1528c8…
10-23 12:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe393ee…
10-23 12:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe318b6…
10-23 12:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x1a88dc…
10-23 11:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xbae333…
10-23 11:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x973656…
10-23 11:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x40fb20…
10-23 11:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x685687…
10-23 11:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xf39f4b…
10-23 11:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xeaff4b…
10-23 11:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4e2e6a…
10-23 10:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x89a289…
10-23 09:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x78e5f6…
10-23 09:43:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x685e9a…
10-23 09:28:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-23 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x67ff92…
10-23 08:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4e0aaf…
10-23 06:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xcbace1…
10-23 06:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x3bd831…
10-23 05:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xfd7955…
10-23 04:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xb0d947…
10-23 03:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x060991…
10-23 02:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x012d3a…
10-23 02:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x120741…
10-23 02:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x41e230…
10-23 02:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x82e415…
10-23 01:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xab59a5…
10-23 00:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xebf49a…
10-23 00:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x3fc0f3…
10-23 00:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x04a8fc…
10-23 00:22:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x462912…
10-23 00:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x218435…
10-23 00:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x2e2e7e…
10-22 23:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6dca80…
10-22 23:08:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x7e86e6…
10-22 23:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x0347b5…
10-22 22:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x51bb91…
10-22 22:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xeb82ca…
10-22 22:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xcea24f…
10-22 21:42:48	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9cae8b…
10-22 21:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x502c8e…
10-22 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x488796…
10-22 20:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xbd060f…
10-22 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x017d1b…
10-22 19:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xff8dee…
10-22 18:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x09adca…
10-22 18:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xab4f66…
10-22 18:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x88e887…
10-22 18:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x84f403…
10-22 17:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xa88a99…
10-22 17:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd91ab9…
10-22 17:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd42971…
10-22 16:52:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x6d57f5…
10-22 15:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x04b725…
10-22 15:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8667be…
10-22 15:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x559fb8…
10-22 15:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb73e41…
10-22 14:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xbbc7e9…
10-22 14:03:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x373ab7…
10-22 14:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 22?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x349297…
10-22 13:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc6ee53…
10-22 13:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x859d39…
10-22 13:36:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x8201e7…
10-22 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xaf4e0e…
10-22 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x5d170d…
10-22 13:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xeb2c80…
10-22 12:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x42eaab…
10-22 12:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x046ae7…
10-22 12:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x4aa808…