Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$153

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.52K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$116

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 10-25 04:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

35% 76% -$419

Politics

31% 71% -$398

Sports

26% 83% +$663

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No		+12	$12	100¢	$12	+$0	10-25 04:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	3	$504	0	1,704	-1,704	Yes	-$347	02-26 11:06
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	1	$487	500	0	+500	No	+$13	02-11 07:13
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	1	$464	500	0	+500	No	+$36	02-11 07:12
another us government shutdown by february 14	1	$370	500	0	+500	No	-$370	02-11 07:16
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$342	500	0	+500	Yes	+$158	01-31 20:59
nba atl ind 2026 01 31	1	$294	600	0	+600	Pacers	+$306	01-31 21:04
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	1	$232	400	0	+400	Volkanovski	+$168	01-31 21:01
nba was cle 2026 02 11	1	$182	200	0	+200	Cavaliers	+$18	02-11 07:18
nba atl cha 2026 02 11	1	$106	160	0	+160	Hornets	+$54	02-11 07:19
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-25 14:36
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	02-25 14:35
will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:35
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:29
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-28 19:38
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:30
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:36
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-28 19:36
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	02-25 14:34
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	3	$88	201	201	+0	Yes	-$86	05-02 06:02
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	1	$84	100	0	+100	No	+$16	01-25 07:02
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$80	200	0	+200	Yes	-$80	02-25 08:00
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$41	100	0	+100	No	-$41	01-25 07:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	03-28 19:40
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	02-26 11:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	10-25 04:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	09-18 04:54
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	08-14 21:00
new stranger things episode released by july 31	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	07-11 07:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 04:26:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x443b30…
09-18 04:54:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x8e1242…
08-14 21:00:09	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x814c14…
07-11 07:40:53	new stranger things episode released by july 31	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xdb8296…
06-08 22:58:49	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x700d3c…
05-02 06:03:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x018621…
05-02 06:02:36	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	SELL	201	0¢	$1	0x9f0d5d…
04-11 19:45:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x429487…
03-28 19:40:12	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x7f9522…
03-28 19:38:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x375130…
03-28 19:37:48	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa82701…
03-28 19:36:42	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x47cd79…
03-28 19:36:14	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xde14be…
03-28 19:35:38	will sp 500 spx hit 7500 high in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x348505…
03-28 19:33:48	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc13ead…
03-28 19:33:28	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x16ed68…
03-28 19:32:40	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4fc0bc…
03-28 19:30:32	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8d1b2e…
03-28 19:29:04	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc8e451…
02-26 11:09:26	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3e63f4…
02-26 11:06:42	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	Yes	SELL	852	4¢	$36	0x33b956…
02-25 14:36:10	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7329f6…
02-25 14:35:40	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe26b41…
02-25 14:34:58	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x37aaa0…
02-25 08:09:06	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	72	44¢	$32	0x5534b8…
02-25 08:04:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	129	43¢	$56	0x55c069…
02-25 08:00:10	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0x22cfbd…
02-25 07:25:30	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	No	SELL	552	55¢	$304	0x1ba639…
02-25 07:25:10	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 120 139	No	SELL	300	55¢	$165	0xd0b5a8…
02-11 07:19:37	nba atl cha 2026 02 11	Hornets	BUY	160	66¢	$106	0x2fa97c…
02-11 07:18:37	nba was cle 2026 02 11	Cavaliers	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0x46eb76…
02-11 07:16:07	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	500	74¢	$370	0x3f9295…
02-11 07:13:45	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	500	97¢	$487	0xca08cd…
02-11 07:12:47	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	500	93¢	$464	0x4ff6cf…
01-31 21:04:06	nba atl ind 2026 01 31	Pacers	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0x77c955…
01-31 21:01:20	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Volkanovski	BUY	400	58¢	$232	0x556e4c…
01-31 20:59:58	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	500	68¢	$342	0xaddb2a…
01-25 07:04:14	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xe9f444…
01-25 07:02:12	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x7b3e55…