Ordinary-Tendency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.3%

Resolved

694

Trades

21,171

lifetime

Volume

$2.69M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$127

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 178 days

Categories

Sports

63% 54% -$5,645

Other

37% 82% -$23,136

Crypto

0% 56% -$264

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$69

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba cha dal 2026 01 29	50	$90.5K	45,500	45,500	+0	Hornets	+$409	01-30 04:54
cbb sanclr uk 2026 03 20	78	$89.6K	50,000	49,956	+44	Kentucky Wildcats	-$3,406	03-20 18:31
nba sas den 2026 04 04	25	$80.2K	40,336	40,336	+0	Nuggets	+$363	04-04 22:57
nfl ind hou 2026 01 04	25	$75.7K	38,157	38,157	+0	Texans	+$408	01-05 00:04
nba den nyk 2026 02 04	79	$73.8K	48,321	48,321	+0	Knicks	-$21,614	02-05 03:00
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	100	$58.8K	45,186	21,000	+24,186	Lucknow Super Giants	+$2,750	05-07 18:54
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	41	$54.9K	38,047	38,045	+2	Seahawks	-$787	02-09 02:58
nba chi ind 2026 01 28	1	$44.5K	45,000	0	+45,000	Pacers	+$450	01-29 02:26
nba det gsw 2026 01 30	3	$44.5K	45,000	0	+45,000	Pistons	+$450	01-31 05:50
nba dal den 2026 03 25	34	$43.5K	23,434	23,428	+6	Nuggets	+$518	03-26 03:59
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?	38	$41.9K	23,000	23,000	+0	Yes	+$3,680	05-30 18:02
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	15	$41.6K	42,147	0	+42,147	Broncos	+$506	01-18 01:12
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	10	$41.4K	42,000	0	+42,000	Gaethje	+$613	01-25 05:31
nfl buf jax 2026 01 11	34	$40.0K	40,400	0	+40,400	Bills	+$404	01-11 21:04
nfl bal pit 2026 01 04	26	$37.6K	38,021	21	+38,000	Steelers	+$381	01-05 04:35
nba dal hou 2026 01 31	1	$37.3K	39,240	0	+39,240	Rockets	+$1,962	02-01 03:45
nba lal orl 2026 03 21	12	$37.2K	19,301	19,250	+51	Lakers	+$915	03-22 01:29
cfb mia ohiost 2025 12 31	19	$35.4K	36,500	0	+36,500	Miami	+$1,095	01-01 03:43
nba tor den 2026 03 20	52	$34.5K	20,000	19,801	+199	Nuggets	+$1,347	03-21 03:22
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	35	$34.1K	34,416	0	+34,416	49ers	+$344	01-12 00:45
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals	63	$30.4K	33,940	1,440	+32,500	Delhi Capitals	-$6,830	05-11 17:53
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	14	$30.1K	17,289	17,289	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$1,803	05-09 17:16
cfb miss ga 2026 01 01	11	$29.7K	29,955	0	+29,955	Ole Miss	+$300	01-02 04:55
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	26	$28.3K	28,608	0	+28,608	No	-$28,322	06-26 03:59
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	14	$27.0K	27,334	0	+27,334	Seahawks	+$318	01-26 02:42
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	75	$26.7K	27,000	0	+27,000	Yes	+$270	05-30 19:03
nba ind okc 2026 01 23	4	$21.6K	22,201	0	+22,201	Pacers	+$613	01-24 03:33
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Mumbai Indians	95	$20.9K	22,374	0	+22,374	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$690	05-10 18:11
cbb vand nebr 2026 03 21	5	$20.1K	12,000	11,940	+60	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+$380	03-22 03:13
cbb stjohn duke 2026 03 27	33	$19.6K	13,700	13,651	+49	Duke Blue Devils	+$531	03-28 01:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 22:00:10	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	269	73¢	$196	0xc79d22…
10-29 17:22:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner	Karmine Corp	BUY	304	74¢	$225	0x526e3f…
10-27 20:57:44	Spread: Islanders (-1.5)	Predators	BUY	252	72¢	$181	0xc31fbb…
10-27 18:42:15	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	281	74¢	$208	0xf0c733…
10-27 09:26:29	Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	233	72¢	$167	0x3fa050…
10-27 07:01:03	Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	259	74¢	$192	0xed7900…
10-26 07:11:20	Counter-Strike: G2 vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	G2	BUY	233	75¢	$175	0x4c0dc2…
10-26 07:00:17	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	313	73¢	$229	0xc979ec…
10-26 07:00:17	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x9764af…
10-25 15:25:44	Spread: Raiders (-3.5)	Rams	BUY	195	75¢	$146	0xbbbf08…
10-25 12:11:03	Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)	Chiefs	BUY	226	74¢	$167	0x216e78…
10-25 07:01:03	Spread: Lions (-10.5)	Packers	BUY	256	75¢	$192	0x505797…
10-25 07:01:03	Spread: Ravens (-3.5)	Bengals	BUY	353	71¢	$251	0x325753…
10-25 07:01:03	Spread: Falcons (-3.5)	49ers	BUY	305	72¢	$220	0x283e79…
10-24 07:26:36	Como 1907 vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	399	72¢	$287	0x10aa5b…
10-22 11:25:51	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	261	75¢	$196	0x3cd8ba…
10-22 07:01:03	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-22?	No	BUY	352	73¢	$257	0xd1c7f4…
10-22 07:01:03	Almaty Open: Tomas Machac vs Karen Khachanov	Karen Khachanov	BUY	316	71¢	$225	0x837418…
10-21 07:04:05	Will Levante UD win on 2026-09-16?	No	BUY	323	74¢	$239	0x1590ce…
10-21 07:02:03	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	385	71¢	$274	0x328c15…
10-20 07:01:02	Hurricanes vs. Canucks	Hurricanes	BUY	355	74¢	$262	0x087ed4…
10-20 00:41:02	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Emerson Jones	Ann Li	BUY	348	72¢	$251	0xf1e2df…
10-19 07:01:03	Japan Women's Open: Paula Badosa vs Antonia Ruzic	Paula Badosa	BUY	388	74¢	$287	0x120a2e…
10-16 03:31:19	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x0f3e7f…
10-16 03:29:55	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xd03da4…
10-16 03:22:46	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	SELL	900	46¢	$414	0x41d537…
10-16 03:18:04	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	300	43¢	$129	0xe222ab…
10-16 03:12:58	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0x314c06…
10-16 03:12:39	Seahawks vs. Broncos	Broncos	BUY	300	78¢	$234	0x6949bc…
10-10 01:44:20	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	SELL	63	81¢	$51	0x99bced…
10-10 01:43:37	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x8cb6e3…
10-10 01:40:28	Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty	Atlanta Dream	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x2f62c0…
10-05 03:32:14	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	SELL	189	86¢	$162	0xe2e121…
10-05 03:32:11	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	SELL	160	86¢	$138	0x73f540…
10-05 03:32:11	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x1ee653…
10-05 03:30:43	Lions vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	350	70¢	$245	0xa148e6…
10-04 15:48:55	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	SELL	300	87¢	$261	0x93daad…
10-04 14:19:44	Colts vs. Commanders	Colts	BUY	300	62¢	$186	0xf29e60…
10-02 03:09:15	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	SELL	500	81¢	$405	0x0a406a…
10-02 02:56:47	Steelers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x4c4920…
09-27 23:31:20	Ravens vs. Cowboys	Ravens	SELL	250	68¢	$170	0xccb3d5…
09-27 23:27:26	Ravens vs. Cowboys	Ravens	BUY	250	67¢	$168	0x1c3ba9…
09-27 20:23:02	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x8c177f…
09-27 20:22:56	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	31	85¢	$27	0x21675e…
09-27 20:22:56	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	62	85¢	$53	0x155bb2…
09-27 20:21:26	Panthers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	150	85¢	$128	0xf527f8…
09-27 20:21:26	Panthers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xb4a788…
09-27 20:21:26	Panthers vs. Browns	Browns	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x9550c1…
09-27 20:13:45	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	43	85¢	$36	0xa7fd29…
09-27 20:13:44	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0xa489a9…
09-27 20:09:24	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Colts	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x2545c4…
09-27 20:07:48	nfl hou ind 2026 09 27	Colts	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x20024d…
09-27 19:59:02	nfl cin pit 2026 09 27	Steelers	BUY	250	65¢	$162	0x08fe9f…
09-27 19:49:00	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Seahawks	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x067529…
09-27 19:20:24	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Commanders	BUY	250	64¢	$160	0x8e53ea…
09-27 18:12:44	nfl sea was 2026 09 27	Seahawks	BUY	250	58¢	$145	0x9f19a8…
09-21 03:35:25	Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x40f080…
09-21 02:59:23	Colts vs. Chiefs	Chiefs	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x917789…
09-20 19:55:44	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	SELL	100	64¢	$64	0x82c471…
09-20 19:50:25	Eagles vs. Titans	Eagles	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x3cf179…
08-02 01:03:54	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0x21a32a…
08-02 01:02:51	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	82	43¢	$35	0x0a61d0…
08-02 01:02:50	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	338	44¢	$149	0xef5d59…
08-02 01:02:05	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0xb09418…
08-02 01:02:02	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	686	24¢	$165	0x809d64…
08-02 01:02:02	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	169	24¢	$41	0x1767f6…
08-02 01:00:48	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	62	95¢	$59	0x02604e…
08-02 01:00:47	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x40feff…
08-02 01:00:45	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x1165f2…
08-02 01:00:41	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	91¢	$43	0x627199…
08-02 01:00:41	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	76	91¢	$69	0x1e5455…
08-02 01:00:29	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0xc4c1dd…
08-02 01:00:29	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	17	91¢	$16	0x4c4808…
08-02 01:00:14	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	169	91¢	$154	0x1316e1…
08-02 01:00:02	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xe7cd78…
08-02 01:00:00	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xc199e8…
08-02 01:00:00	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x4cd124…
08-02 00:59:45	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	730	91¢	$664	0x2cb975…
08-02 00:59:42	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xfb2be9…
08-02 00:59:42	Will Querétaro FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	176	91¢	$160	0x6afb19…
08-01 23:26:15	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	SELL	525	8¢	$42	0x1887da…
08-01 23:12:18	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	73	30¢	$22	0xe79b03…
08-01 23:12:18	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	44	36¢	$16	0x3e827d…
08-01 23:12:17	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xeac43a…
08-01 23:12:17	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	75	32¢	$24	0x269b67…
08-01 23:12:17	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-01?	Yes	BUY	16	34¢	$6	0x1f4fd6…
07-28 01:36:15	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0x631e94…
07-28 01:36:03	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x9e2d80…
07-28 01:35:06	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	25	14¢	$4	0xfbb662…
07-28 01:35:03	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xf0a74f…
07-28 01:35:03	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x413877…
07-28 01:35:03	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x0277ad…
07-28 01:34:57	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0xd3b2cf…
07-28 01:34:55	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	30	23¢	$7	0xab42c8…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0xe636c5…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	21	31¢	$7	0xc78f26…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	13	36¢	$5	0x7ca973…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	31¢	$3	0x5260c0…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	67	36¢	$24	0x1143c3…
07-28 01:34:54	mlb phi mia 2026 07 27	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0x02feb4…