Variable-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

465

Trades

3,447

lifetime

Volume

$6.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 06-28 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-151

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 743 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	16	$42	70	+70	Down	+$3	05-04 22:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	16	$35	75	+75	open	—	05-01 05:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	15	$30	54	+54	Up	$-5	05-04 23:12
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	16	$29	74	+74	Down	$-2	05-04 22:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	15	$29	60	+60	Down	+$1	05-07 03:56
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	19	$29	62	+62	open	—	05-03 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	13	$28	60	+60	Down	$-8	05-04 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	13	$28	55	+55	open	—	05-01 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	12	$27	55	+55	open	—	05-01 04:28
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	12	$27	50	+50	open	—	05-01 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	15	$27	61	+61	open	—	05-03 01:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	12	$25	50	+50	Down	+$0	05-04 23:07
Solana Up or Down - May 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	14	$25	55	+55	open	—	05-01 06:14
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	11	$24	50	+50	Down	+$1	05-07 03:51
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	13	$24	55	+55	Down	$-4	05-04 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	13	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-01 07:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	10	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-01 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	11	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-01 01:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	10	$24	50	+50	open	—	05-02 23:59
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	10	$22	45	+45	open	—	05-01 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	11	$21	50	+50	open	—	05-01 01:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	9	$21	45	+45	open	—	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	10	$20	50	+50	open	—	05-03 01:49
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	9	$20	42	+42	open	—	05-01 02:58
sol updown 15m 1776607200	2	$20	20	+20	open	—	04-19 14:12
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	8	$19	40	+40	open	—	05-02 23:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	10	$19	40	+40	Down	+$1	05-05 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	9	$19	40	+40	open	—	05-01 08:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	9	$19	40	+40	Down	+$1	05-07 20:17
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	13	$19	40	+40	open	—	05-02 23:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 07:45:59	btc updown 5m 1782891900	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xbb9b84…
07-01 07:45:59	btc updown 5m 1782891900	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x50071d…
07-01 07:45:13	btc updown 5m 1782891900	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1ef2aa…
06-28 10:28:08	btc updown 5m 1782642300	Up	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xdd2e0a…
06-28 10:27:55	btc updown 5m 1782642300	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xee500b…
06-27 09:46:41	eth updown 5m 1782553500	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xd6efbe…
06-27 09:46:37	eth updown 5m 1782553500	Up	BUY	1	64¢	$0	0x94c66d…
06-27 09:46:37	eth updown 5m 1782553500	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x1e2ed0…
06-23 10:07:41	sol updown 15m 1782208800	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe64743…
06-23 10:06:59	sol updown 15m 1782208800	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x977191…
05-29 21:02:56	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xddcab6…
05-29 21:01:53	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xf054d1…
05-15 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x9283af…
05-15 10:15:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x65b16e…
05-15 10:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x082b10…
05-15 10:10:52	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x29924c…
05-15 10:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa9f8b0…
05-15 10:10:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x795e7d…
05-15 10:09:27	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbcba66…
05-15 10:09:27	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3fa575…
05-15 10:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3f68ac…
05-15 10:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x3673f3…
05-15 10:08:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0xea2542…
05-15 10:08:57	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xb60af8…
05-15 09:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xa4ae68…
05-15 09:51:15	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x8451a1…
05-15 09:45:44	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14f4c1…
05-15 09:45:35	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xd9f947…
05-15 09:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7fffa8…
05-15 09:45:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x67c968…
05-15 09:45:25	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x66ca69…
05-15 09:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2353f5…
05-15 09:39:43	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xeb4563…
05-15 09:39:33	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xcec006…
05-15 09:39:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb19ce0…
05-15 09:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xc72f06…
05-15 09:38:49	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xea4fe4…
05-15 09:38:32	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x2140b7…
05-15 09:38:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd17490…
05-15 09:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3b2471…
05-15 09:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x61aca1…
05-15 09:36:08	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x14a992…
05-15 09:36:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd7c9f7…
05-15 09:36:05	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x76d398…
05-15 09:36:03	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x1be233…
05-15 09:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xab9805…
05-15 09:33:32	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xab3fd9…
05-15 09:33:06	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xcd389c…
05-15 09:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x445099…
05-15 09:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x296b9a…
05-15 09:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x2a2446…
05-15 09:31:46	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0669b1…
05-15 09:31:42	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdbccec…
05-15 09:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x474b3a…
05-15 09:31:33	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x264c3a…
05-15 09:31:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x21c1f2…
05-15 09:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbe54ab…
05-15 09:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x87e622…
05-15 09:00:58	XRP Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9073d2…
05-15 09:00:58	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1dfa2c…
05-15 09:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe388eb…
05-15 09:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x772992…
05-15 09:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x65e2f7…
05-15 09:00:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5af1c0…
05-15 09:00:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x2ad53e…
05-15 08:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xae7069…
05-15 08:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x5aa9bb…
05-11 18:17:32	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x1bcedd…
05-11 18:15:39	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xe595dd…
05-11 16:57:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xf77a3b…
05-11 16:57:16	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x45a78a…
05-11 16:56:57	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb27fca…
05-11 16:56:52	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa3405f…
05-11 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xeff583…
05-11 16:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1c1f1a…
05-10 17:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xba49b2…
05-10 17:28:31	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfeb125…
05-10 17:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfd828e…
05-10 09:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xeec332…
05-10 09:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x86b0db…
05-10 09:53:28	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x87c9a4…
05-10 09:50:47	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x93d367…
05-10 09:49:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x009f4b…
05-10 09:49:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xe1648d…
05-10 09:49:26	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xceac46…
05-10 09:49:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3c29b0…
05-10 09:49:18	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0x39f870…
05-10 09:49:09	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x3e0b3f…
05-10 09:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x3f9bd3…
05-10 09:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0x257015…
05-10 09:42:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x4d5b40…
05-10 09:42:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x025375…
05-10 09:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x262936…
05-10 09:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x411789…
05-10 09:41:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x622b43…
05-10 09:41:36	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x8ca320…
05-10 09:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc993e7…
05-10 09:14:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0xb61bf9…
05-10 09:14:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x78448c…
05-10 08:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa229bb…