Horrible-University — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

+$67

Hit rate

72.4%

Resolved

Trades

318

lifetime

Volume

$39.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$123

Open exposure

$85

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-14

last 10-22 09:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

93% 67% -$1,311

Tech

7% 83% +$198

Sports

0% 33% -$5

Politics

0% 0% -$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+80	$9	100¢	$80	+$71	08-31 22:45
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	+50	$4	6¢	$3	$0	08-31 22:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again?	Yes	+25	$5	6¢	$2	-$4	05-14 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	37	$6.6K	4,050	4,050	+0	Yes	+$455	10-06 11:19
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	29	$3.7K	3,941	712	+3,230	No	+$781	09-30 20:00
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?	12	$3.3K	3,652	3,434	+218	No	-$2,436	09-03 22:02
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	20	$2.9K	5,506	2,072	+3,434	No	+$897	09-30 20:05
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 4, 2026?	16	$1.8K	2,159	0	+2,159	Yes	+$340	09-02 10:59
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.8K	1,349	1,349	+0	open	—	10-22 09:21
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	4	$1.8K	1,997	1,997	+0	Yes	-$528	09-04 18:44
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	16	$1.6K	4,329	36	+4,293	Yes	-$1,561	09-02 05:59
Will there be no OpenAI Astra model release by September 30, 2026?	3	$1.4K	813	645	+168	No	-$4	09-04 01:36
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	5	$1.2K	1,457	1,457	-0	No	-$1,146	09-04 01:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 15, 2026?	1	$1.2K	1,256	0	+1,256	No	+$38	09-06 13:51
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	25	$1.2K	1,913	0	+1,913	No	+$701	09-30 20:01
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by August 31, 2026?	4	$1.2K	643	643	+0	Yes	+$86	08-31 22:55
will openais astra model be released by september 2 2026	2	$928	929	0	+929	No	+$1	09-03 01:35
next google gemini flash model 3pt8 released by september 3 2026	6	$921	1,045	0	+1,045	Yes	+$124	09-02 00:18
Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?	3	$913	1,082	0	+1,082	Yes	+$169	09-04 18:58
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 9, 2026?	6	$728	820	0	+820	Yes	+$92	09-02 00:20
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 24, 2026?	5	$728	835	0	+835	Yes	+$107	09-21 22:55
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 14 2026	4	$611	678	17	+661	No	+$54	08-08 00:20
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?	11	$505	821	0	+821	Yes	+$316	09-04 18:42
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 11, 2026?	3	$502	608	0	+608	Yes	+$106	09-01 18:39
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?	6	$398	388	388	+0	Yes	+$239	05-15 09:19
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 2, 2026?	5	$333	1,152	0	+1,152	Yes	-$333	09-01 19:24
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?	3	$283	156	156	+0	Yes	+$22	09-01 01:40
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	3	$247	259	0	+259	Yes	+$12	09-21 22:47
next google gemini flash model 3pt8 released by september 1 2026	6	$238	272	0	+272	No	+$34	09-01 01:56
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 15, 2026?	3	$218	291	0	+291	Yes	+$73	09-01 09:29
Will the next Google Gemini Flash model be released on September 3, 2026?	16	$190	1,840	0	+1,840	No	-$190	09-02 14:03
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?	1	$164	195	0	+195	Yes	+$31	09-21 10:42
Will there be no next Google Gemini Flash model release by September 15, 2026?	1	$135	136	0	+136	No	+$1	09-02 10:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 09:21:15	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,349	60¢	$806	0xb1e286…
10-13 10:12:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	649	68¢	$439	0x4b9742…
10-13 01:58:50	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0x2374f6…
10-07 17:57:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	229	10¢	$23	0x08bc41…
10-06 11:19:00	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	91¢	$122	0x265adf…
10-06 11:18:52	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	91¢	$23	0x1ae250…
10-06 11:18:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xe71180…
10-06 11:18:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xbd58ee…
10-06 11:18:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xcf9688…
10-06 11:18:43	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x561a2d…
10-03 17:56:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	188	88¢	$165	0x7bad22…
10-03 17:56:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	91	87¢	$79	0xf19a7c…
10-03 11:42:20	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	34	87¢	$30	0xb1f48a…
09-30 20:35:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	396	94¢	$372	0x2c2eb9…
09-30 20:26:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	94¢	$66	0xce048d…
09-30 20:23:20	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	35	94¢	$33	0xaee117…
09-30 20:21:44	gemini 4pt0 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	21	16¢	$3	0x0d4932…
09-30 20:15:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0xb82e24…
09-30 20:15:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	93¢	$176	0x1dd3c9…
09-30 20:05:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	505	96¢	$485	0xa131ac…
09-30 20:03:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	314	87¢	$273	0x41bc11…
09-30 20:01:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xff3ea9…
09-30 20:01:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x2fcf7f…
09-30 20:01:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x1375dd…
09-30 20:01:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x02bb3d…
09-30 20:01:30	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x00061f…
09-30 20:01:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0xa857a0…
09-30 20:01:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0x96aee3…
09-30 20:01:23	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x1b0cda…
09-30 20:01:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x0cf789…
09-30 20:01:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x02b012…
09-30 20:01:21	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xfa8fc7…
09-30 20:01:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xec5ece…
09-30 20:01:21	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd69cea…
09-30 20:00:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	70¢	$57	0xaa7127…
09-30 20:00:24	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	231	65¢	$150	0xca9100…
09-30 19:53:41	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	500	88¢	$438	0x51840b…
09-30 17:31:17	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x6f5200…
09-30 17:23:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	27	45¢	$12	0xc4f2ec…
09-30 17:23:51	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	387	45¢	$174	0xa69f1c…
09-30 16:41:39	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x72fe00…
09-30 16:39:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xe08cab…
09-30 16:39:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd0b633…
09-30 16:39:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xc06454…
09-30 16:39:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xb34208…
09-30 16:39:03	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x579533…
09-30 15:38:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to October 1, 2026?	No	BUY	126	70¢	$88	0x352246…
09-30 15:35:50	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x9f6952…
09-30 14:31:23	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	93¢	$232	0x6b9a50…
09-30 14:31:18	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	214	50¢	$107	0x6bf709…
09-30 14:13:56	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	727	91¢	$662	0xc9e0ce…
09-30 13:43:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x71e72f…
09-30 12:37:24	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	70	91¢	$64	0x4f5942…
09-30 12:08:42	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	150	60¢	$90	0xf1564e…
09-30 09:16:29	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	163	91¢	$148	0x97babe…
09-30 08:37:20	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x278e59…
09-30 08:36:53	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	93	75¢	$70	0x1081c7…
09-30 08:36:39	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	70¢	$9	0x35959b…
09-30 08:32:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	287	70¢	$201	0xccd28b…
09-30 08:29:23	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x57a03d…
09-30 07:29:24	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xaafe11…
09-30 02:38:11	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xbe0aa5…
09-30 02:37:47	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xe10b8f…
09-30 02:37:47	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	66	90¢	$59	0xc15f32…
09-30 02:37:47	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	288	90¢	$259	0x0ce242…
09-30 01:37:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	208	35¢	$73	0xd8c9e6…
09-29 22:34:38	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	138	80¢	$111	0xb6a4fe…
09-29 18:53:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,554	8¢	$117	0xcb4222…
09-29 17:34:02	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xf32f79…
09-29 17:22:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	518	10¢	$52	0x5c8516…
09-29 17:22:03	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	112	80¢	$89	0x5c8516…
09-28 21:10:24	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1,000	83¢	$830	0x169598…
09-28 17:59:39	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,434	0¢	$9	0x589bb0…
09-28 16:02:27	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0xfd7bb0…
09-28 16:00:47	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	77¢	$192	0xbb91f1…
09-28 15:06:23	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xab0b29…
09-28 15:06:21	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x03b901…
09-28 14:45:53	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0xbe49d5…
09-28 11:33:47	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xc93917…
09-28 11:33:12	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	900	77¢	$693	0xec309a…
09-28 10:53:20	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,926	78¢	$1,495	0x9e4940…
09-28 08:40:33	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	24	98¢	$23	0x183538…
09-28 08:33:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xffa24a…
09-28 08:33:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xdffd1d…
09-28 08:33:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4a2cfa…
09-28 08:33:51	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x026bd1…
09-28 03:43:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xee3ddc…
09-28 03:43:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9185c6…
09-28 03:43:57	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x758826…
09-28 03:34:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x62ce1f…
09-28 03:34:15	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	23	98¢	$22	0x0a9c99…
09-28 02:31:59	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x54f2cd…
09-28 00:10:08	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	94	98¢	$92	0x1163e3…
09-27 21:16:56	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	605	2¢	$15	0x605c80…
09-27 21:15:45	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,467	2¢	$34	0xc699f7…
09-27 16:08:11	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe6503a…
09-27 15:58:45	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x365067…
09-27 15:32:09	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	260	79¢	$204	0x1ff93e…
09-27 15:31:27	gemini 4pt0 released by october 31 2026	No	SELL	114	22¢	$26	0x2ad340…
09-24 00:53:35	will the next google gemini pro model be released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	94	92¢	$87	0xf05d5f…