Knobby-Ultimatum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

889

lifetime

Volume

$4.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-16 05:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-11

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775626200	2	$65	59	56	+4	open	—	04-08 05:35
btc updown 5m 1775707800	3	$55	75	40	+35	open	—	04-09 04:13
btc updown 5m 1775712000	4	$47	41	39	+1	open	—	04-09 05:24
btc updown 5m 1776741300	5	$44	74	39	+35	open	—	04-21 03:19
btc updown 5m 1775703000	4	$43	34	33	+1	open	—	04-09 02:54
btc updown 5m 1775626800	2	$42	37	35	+2	open	—	04-08 05:45
btc updown 5m 1776118800	4	$42	49	47	+3	open	—	04-13 22:26
btc updown 5m 1775718300	3	$39	29	28	+1	open	—	04-09 07:09
btc updown 5m 1775630700	2	$39	30	29	+1	open	—	04-08 06:50
btc updown 5m 1776118500	4	$37	34	32	+1	open	—	04-13 22:17
btc updown 5m 1776741000	4	$37	36	35	+1	open	—	04-21 03:12
btc updown 5m 1775706300	2	$36	39	37	+2	open	—	04-09 03:48
btc updown 5m 1776467100	4	$35	36	34	+2	open	—	04-17 23:08
btc updown 5m 1776123000	4	$34	27	26	+1	open	—	04-13 23:34
btc updown 5m 1776742800	3	$33	32	20	+12	open	—	04-21 03:42
btc updown 5m 1776739200	6	$32	30	29	+1	open	—	04-21 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$32	31	31	+0	open	—	05-16 05:14
btc updown 5m 1775611200	2	$32	33	31	+2	open	—	04-08 01:25
btc updown 5m 1775702100	4	$31	37	36	+2	open	—	04-09 02:39
btc updown 5m 1775709900	3	$29	32	22	+10	open	—	04-09 04:49
btc updown 5m 1775711100	2	$29	26	25	+1	open	—	04-09 05:08
btc updown 5m 1775708100	2	$29	27	26	+1	open	—	04-09 04:19
btc updown 5m 1776741600	3	$28	37	35	+2	open	—	04-21 03:23
btc updown 5m 1776467400	4	$28	26	25	+1	open	—	04-17 23:14
btc updown 5m 1776744000	4	$27	24	23	+1	open	—	04-21 04:04
btc updown 5m 1775718000	4	$27	38	36	+2	open	—	04-09 07:04
btc updown 5m 1776815700	2	$27	22	21	+1	open	—	04-21 23:57
btc updown 5m 1776815400	6	$27	25	24	+1	open	—	04-21 23:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$26	25	25	+0	open	—	05-16 05:06
btc updown 5m 1775750100	3	$26	35	19	+16	open	—	04-09 15:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 05:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7cb1df…
05-16 05:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x782417…
05-16 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x8a9bc1…
05-16 05:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x78e127…
05-16 05:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x684136…
05-16 05:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0x3cb84b…
05-16 05:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x54f429…
05-16 05:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0x41a33f…
05-16 05:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfbe0a…
05-16 05:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed7068…
05-16 05:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc16556…
05-16 05:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	24	5¢	$1	0xb9b793…
05-16 05:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x87fdd0…
05-16 05:14:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	40¢	$3	0x6e2333…
05-16 05:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7ae629…
05-16 05:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	22	81¢	$18	0xb07c4d…
05-16 05:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x3bb737…
05-16 05:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	25	67¢	$17	0x2f65e9…
05-16 05:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1c1bc0…
05-16 05:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	8¢	$1	0xd80edb…
05-16 05:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc54766…
05-16 05:03:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x418cb7…
05-16 05:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8e18ad…
05-16 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xafeb5b…
05-16 04:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xdb9b4a…
05-16 04:49:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x412de5…
05-16 04:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x66bfdf…
05-16 04:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	87¢	$11	0xb95bdc…
05-16 04:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x6efa5c…
05-16 04:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xeabe33…
05-16 04:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xe8e0f6…
05-16 04:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe0f411…
05-16 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x005e6b…
05-16 04:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa51f09…
05-16 04:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0xafc1a9…
05-16 04:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbe691c…
05-16 04:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x02c735…
05-15 05:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x7241ca…
05-15 05:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xda545b…
05-09 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x836644…
05-09 01:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xdc1152…
05-09 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x471868…
05-09 01:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9df7b6…
05-08 11:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x4e2413…
05-08 11:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x19b97d…
05-08 10:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	11	62¢	$7	0x1fbbb8…
05-08 10:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5d475a…
05-08 02:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xbe08c7…
05-08 02:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbec906…
05-07 00:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf4ba2e…
05-06 23:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2593c1…
05-06 23:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f69a6…
05-06 23:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x107692…
05-06 23:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0x02af5d…
05-06 23:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0xad0062…
05-06 23:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xbebda9…
05-06 23:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x00bdc1…
05-06 23:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xca4a57…
05-06 22:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xcd0f27…
05-06 22:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xedf1f0…
05-06 22:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x8775ee…
05-06 22:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7da0c2…
05-06 22:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x70d215…
05-06 22:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x888c46…
05-06 22:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x50686f…
05-06 22:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe00c4b…
05-06 22:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	63¢	$7	0xbcb4ad…
05-06 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x68632c…
05-01 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x7d1308…
05-01 10:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe24a8c…
05-01 10:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x356dbc…
05-01 10:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x625ef2…
05-01 05:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xf661c3…
05-01 05:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x2d584d…
05-01 05:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x15de43…
05-01 05:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x108d39…
05-01 05:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x50359e…
05-01 05:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x804be8…
05-01 05:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x61d108…
05-01 05:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xe5ab59…
04-29 20:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x63d09e…
04-29 20:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcdf1e9…
04-29 20:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xcbfff4…
04-29 20:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x1becb9…
04-29 20:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x66c5f9…
04-29 19:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x96bcc1…
04-29 19:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x57b37f…
04-29 19:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	63¢	$2	0x0dcb1b…
04-29 19:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x132038…
04-29 19:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xe9a631…
04-29 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xde8e8d…
04-29 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0x852c54…
04-29 18:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8d0065…
04-29 18:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe93a92…
04-29 18:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7db469…
04-29 18:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xe1051d…
04-29 18:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x1eb789…
04-29 18:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8b7905…
04-29 18:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xf6981a…
04-29 18:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8bc00c…