Bumpy-Kebab — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$843

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

368

Trades

2,013

lifetime

Volume

$28.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 16:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 177 days

Categories

Other

94% 28% +$1,178

Politics

4% 50% -$357

Tech

1% 33% +$132

Crypto

1% 73% -$13

Sports

0% 0% -$97

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	29	$2.3K	3,910	3,910	+0	Yes	+$1,294	05-22 13:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	10	$1.3K	1,896	1,896	+0	Yes	+$1,134	07-31 13:46
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 360 379	22	$1.3K	8,947	8,947	+0	No	+$993	01-27 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	13	$897	1,700	1,689	+11	No	+$631	05-04 11:55
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	37	$882	5,769	4,019	+1,750	No	+$561	08-25 14:38
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	10	$640	1,366	1,258	+108	Yes	+$609	04-24 15:37
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	6	$627	1,393	997	+396	No	-$88	02-05 03:23
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 220 239	29	$619	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$571	02-08 18:18
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	15	$589	4,002	0	+4,002	No	-$589	05-19 21:30
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	5	$511	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$91	01-27 14:42
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$502	570	0	+570	No	+$68	02-18 22:07
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 380 399	3	$465	650	650	+0	Yes	+$265	01-27 12:48
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$456	1,200	0	+1,200	Yes	+$744	05-18 16:33
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	4	$441	600	0	+600	Yes	-$441	02-28 00:02
will powell say sorry or pardon during march press conference 745 799	8	$400	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	-$10	03-18 18:16
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	19	$388	4,007	0	+4,007	No	-$388	08-22 13:43
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	25	$382	2,681	1,627	+1,054	No	-$310	05-19 00:38
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026?	8	$379	633	633	+0	No	+$254	06-29 05:32
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	5	$378	504	504	+0	Yes	+$318	03-30 21:45
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	61	$368	6,260	2,020	+4,240	No	-$206	05-18 20:42
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	11	$356	2,042	2,042	+0	No	+$36	05-04 11:55
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 340 359	17	$318	400	400	+0	No	+$288	03-20 13:51
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 260 279	3	$305	797	797	+0	No	+$173	03-19 03:53
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	4	$303	367	367	-0	Yes	+$264	01-06 16:58
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 240 259	28	$301	2,451	2,396	+55	No	-$65	04-24 11:22
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	30	$271	1,534	1,034	+500	No	-$40	10-27 14:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	3	$208	217	217	+0	Yes	+$182	10-06 13:46
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?	4	$197	768	0	+768	Yes	-$197	09-23 12:02
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	7	$193	228	200	+28	Yes	+$155	10-20 15:33
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	6	$192	543	0	+543	No	+$351	07-23 08:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 16:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x7d3370…
10-27 14:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x0239bf…
10-27 14:29:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x5eab0c…
10-27 14:29:09	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9feb00…
10-27 14:29:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	10¢	$12	0x804cce…
10-27 14:28:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x2ae27f…
10-27 14:28:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd2890b…
10-27 14:28:03	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x852f44…
10-27 14:27:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x016058…
10-27 14:27:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x90e9b9…
10-27 14:26:39	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	193	10¢	$19	0xf2d965…
10-27 14:25:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xf42e9c…
10-27 14:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x51ee36…
10-27 14:24:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x7bac4f…
10-27 14:24:42	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xd86b2a…
10-27 14:24:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x544b1a…
10-27 14:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	10¢	$3	0x70cb03…
10-27 14:22:30	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0xfca6fb…
10-27 14:22:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	10¢	$8	0x5e1786…
10-27 09:49:32	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xddf5c8…
10-27 06:53:44	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xaf8469…
10-26 16:04:44	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,034	11¢	$115	0x242c01…
10-25 03:26:50	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	13¢	$7	0x34c84f…
10-25 03:25:45	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0xefd66f…
10-25 03:11:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	13¢	$2	0x7b7922…
10-25 03:08:06	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x4bc8a4…
10-25 03:08:05	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xaf41eb…
10-25 02:31:11	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	146	13¢	$19	0x45ca47…
10-25 02:16:50	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	15¢	$17	0x0aa494…
10-24 14:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	843	1¢	$8	0xd2e0b5…
10-24 14:38:29	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	1¢	$2	0x5c2931…
10-24 14:13:06	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x2f411e…
10-22 20:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x442374…
10-22 20:38:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x3b2294…
10-22 20:33:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa1646b…
10-22 20:30:14	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x0d1ea0…
10-21 17:58:33	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	234	7¢	$16	0xc020bf…
10-20 16:40:06	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xd44db1…
10-20 16:39:50	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	5¢	$11	0xf8e17f…
10-20 16:07:29	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	10¢	$15	0x012d07…
10-20 15:41:59	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc5f852…
10-20 15:41:32	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x2e7a61…
10-20 15:41:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	9¢	$3	0xe3a222…
10-20 15:41:08	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5a0147…
10-20 15:33:08	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	151	80¢	$121	0xab64ad…
10-20 15:32:47	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	80¢	$39	0x013aad…
10-19 17:37:23	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x370efe…
10-19 17:37:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x50d422…
10-19 17:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	15¢	$9	0x76b2db…
10-19 17:36:24	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	15¢	$6	0x75c0c1…
10-19 17:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	14¢	$11	0x83c673…
10-16 14:49:46	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	5¢	$8	0x0b9c7d…
10-16 14:49:42	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x58a819…
10-16 04:29:18	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	2¢	$2	0x6c4e76…
10-16 02:03:30	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	113	5¢	$6	0xb45c89…
10-16 02:03:06	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	12¢	$17	0x73df26…
10-16 02:02:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	11¢	$13	0x784ee3…
10-16 02:02:04	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	123	10¢	$12	0xe43f91…
10-16 02:01:33	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	10¢	$32	0x8c4a4f…
10-15 22:12:21	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	8¢	$11	0x4c5cd3…
10-15 22:10:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	44¢	$40	0x443232…
10-15 22:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	510	4¢	$19	0x739648…
10-15 21:58:02	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	657	8¢	$53	0x5ea29d…
10-15 21:54:44	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xd965b9…
10-15 21:54:36	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xfcae95…
10-15 21:51:08	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x14fb6d…
10-15 03:13:43	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0x716fca…
10-14 16:51:04	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	257	10¢	$26	0x7f924e…
10-13 21:53:12	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xea5d79…
10-13 14:44:46	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x468a0b…
10-12 14:33:06	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$3	0x8db08b…
10-12 14:32:51	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	265	2¢	$4	0x5aa8d0…
10-12 14:31:54	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x665ed1…
10-12 14:30:59	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	224	2¢	$3	0xd40d2e…
10-12 02:26:02	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	244	10¢	$23	0xf29ec0…
10-12 02:25:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x0f355e…
10-08 05:03:11	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	2¢	$2	0xe4cf1c…
10-08 05:01:53	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x058592…
10-06 18:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	2¢	$6	0xe3cd53…
10-06 18:17:30	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	2¢	$5	0x7dcac1…
10-06 18:17:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	412	11¢	$44	0xd1655a…
10-06 16:49:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0xa21f4a…
10-06 13:46:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	90¢	$137	0xae327a…
10-06 13:33:40	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	65	90¢	$58	0x5a7f6d…
10-04 16:07:56	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	6¢	$13	0xa2b5f2…
10-03 16:18:15	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	18¢	$15	0xc5217f…
10-03 03:52:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$13	0x07254f…
10-02 20:32:11	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xe85e58…
10-02 08:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	326	1¢	$3	0x9aabba…
10-02 08:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	474	1¢	$5	0x7ec288…
10-02 08:42:45	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5c10b9…
10-02 08:39:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xbc0c54…
10-02 08:39:21	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x31992d…
10-02 08:39:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x53f3ee…
10-02 08:39:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8ed177…
10-02 08:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	2¢	$4	0xf7360d…
10-02 08:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	2¢	$3	0x9ff1ba…
10-02 08:38:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xd40480…
09-29 16:08:42	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0xb3baf5…
09-29 14:19:27	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$2	0xf342d9…