Advanced-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$795

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

18,648

Trades

47,875

lifetime

Volume

$177.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-10 06:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 152 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$802

Other

0% 83% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1623 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:05 UTC	41	$1.5K	1,391	1,391	+0	Down	-$52	06-16 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:55 UTC	7	$1.5K	2,160	2,160	+0	Down	-$70	06-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.4K	1,322	1,322	+0	Down	+$183	06-15 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:25 UTC	10	$1.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$130	06-16 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,205	968	+236	Up	+$133	06-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$918	706	706	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:35 UTC	3	$878	518	516	+2	Up	+$84	06-16 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:15 UTC	4	$862	731	731	+0	Down	+$70	06-15 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	3	$838	587	587	+0	Up	+$244	06-16 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:00 UTC	5	$819	1,451	1,451	+0	Down	+$23	06-16 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	9	$748	824	624	+200	Down	-$50	06-15 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$731	723	723	+0	Down	-$61	06-15 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:50 UTC	8	$636	841	837	+4	Down	+$38	06-16 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$563	533	335	+198	Up	-$35	06-15 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$528	1,295	1,295	+0	Down	-$264	06-15 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:55 UTC	4	$502	400	400	+0	Up	+$104	06-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:05 UTC	4	$494	619	174	+445	Up	-$108	06-16 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	2	$472	360	360	+0	Up	+$76	06-15 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:15 UTC	19	$461	600	540	+60	Down	-$26	06-28 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:50 UTC	16	$447	494	494	+0	Down	+$45	06-16 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$447	409	409	+0	Up	+$43	06-15 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	14	$440	664	664	+0	Up	+$43	06-16 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:45 UTC	2	$422	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	-$370	06-16 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:50 UTC	4	$417	309	309	+0	Down	+$101	06-20 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$410	436	155	+281	Down	-$6	06-15 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	2	$407	225	225	+0	Up	+$11	06-15 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:55 UTC	13	$401	320	300	+20	Down	-$56	07-08 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:15 UTC	5	$401	444	442	+2	Up	+$3	06-16 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$396	712	0	+712	Up	+$316	06-15 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-10 07:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xeccc16…
11-10 07:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x102ce8…
11-10 07:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x33bcd4…
11-10 07:45:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5a543d…
11-10 07:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xa81d4b…
11-10 07:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x60d2c6…
11-10 07:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd42ee1…
11-10 07:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x0aa9db…
11-10 07:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2eda0f…
11-10 07:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x1c4140…
11-10 07:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf323c4…
11-10 07:16:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x828e97…
11-10 07:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9e5bc0…
11-10 07:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x474fde…
11-10 06:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6084b8…
11-10 06:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8566b7…
11-10 06:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x058746…
11-10 06:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x1a20cf…
11-10 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4df5b2…
11-10 06:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4d5919…
11-10 06:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x52a0ca…
11-10 06:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xd9daf3…
11-10 06:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0xc13520…
11-10 06:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x0a5be8…
11-10 06:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb35991…
11-10 06:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x985c90…
11-10 06:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xfc6f7b…
11-10 06:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x97e57e…
11-10 06:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa4ff10…
11-10 06:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6e8bfb…
11-10 06:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x62854f…
11-10 06:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x160e73…
11-10 05:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x82da31…
11-10 05:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x89f498…
11-10 05:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5c0e89…
11-10 05:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x4b5123…
11-10 05:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xe4df10…
11-10 05:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x3b8e5d…
11-10 05:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xdfaa9e…
11-10 05:17:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x3a2f40…
11-10 05:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x7767da…
11-10 05:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xafc41b…
11-10 05:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xcdfa0e…
11-10 05:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb5a6f8…
11-10 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x7bda44…
11-10 05:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x6b59e8…
11-10 04:57:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xc7b898…
11-10 04:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x78b002…
11-10 04:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x1a8c3f…
11-10 04:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0fb1bc…
11-10 04:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x46c0c0…
11-10 04:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5f3b5c…
11-10 04:36:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x3810f9…
11-10 04:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xde19d0…
11-10 04:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x8d3474…
11-10 04:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9dcd03…
11-10 04:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x5d4cf6…
11-10 04:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x185513…
11-10 04:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x02a114…
11-10 04:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x25166b…
11-10 04:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x896a83…
11-10 04:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x620564…
11-10 04:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x25867c…
11-10 03:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0xc4cb22…
11-10 03:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa4bd99…
11-10 03:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x55f5d1…
11-10 03:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb74f45…
11-10 03:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x722bf5…
11-10 03:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xdea840…
11-10 03:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x615159…
11-10 03:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x79fba6…
11-10 03:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x02c072…
11-10 03:32:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc243b9…
11-10 03:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xba5bb6…
11-10 03:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc378eb…
11-10 03:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x248839…
11-10 03:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x111494…
11-10 03:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xe70371…
11-10 03:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x4a31a1…
11-10 03:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x017be6…
11-10 03:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7a5f26…
11-10 02:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x9830bb…
11-10 02:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8d2255…
11-10 02:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa57600…
11-10 02:47:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x0700d5…
11-10 02:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbb132b…
11-10 02:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa3670c…
11-10 02:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5c22ae…
11-10 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xfd5faf…
11-10 02:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x87956d…
11-10 02:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xeaf6e3…
11-10 02:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x692925…
11-10 02:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xe8e34d…
11-10 02:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x087bc4…
11-10 02:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x4c8872…
11-10 02:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x609b11…
11-10 02:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x4af0ab…
11-10 02:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xdd939b…
11-10 02:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x95f6b8…
11-10 02:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd1aad7…