Advanced-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$802

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

18,456

Trades

47,407

lifetime

Volume

$176.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

1 position

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-09 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 151 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$809

Other

0% 83% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1623 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up		+15	$11	98¢	$15	+$4	11-09 12:20

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:05 UTC	41	$1.5K	1,391	1,391	+0	Down	-$52	06-16 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:55 UTC	7	$1.5K	2,160	2,160	+0	Down	-$70	06-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.4K	1,322	1,322	+0	Down	+$183	06-15 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:25 UTC	10	$1.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$130	06-16 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,205	968	+236	Up	+$133	06-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$918	706	706	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:35 UTC	3	$878	518	516	+2	Up	+$84	06-16 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:15 UTC	4	$862	731	731	+0	Down	+$70	06-15 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	3	$838	587	587	+0	Up	+$244	06-16 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:00 UTC	5	$819	1,451	1,451	+0	Down	+$23	06-16 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	9	$748	824	624	+200	Down	-$50	06-15 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$731	723	723	+0	Down	-$61	06-15 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:50 UTC	8	$636	841	837	+4	Down	+$38	06-16 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$563	533	335	+198	Up	-$35	06-15 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$528	1,295	1,295	+0	Down	-$264	06-15 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:55 UTC	4	$502	400	400	+0	Up	+$104	06-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:05 UTC	4	$494	619	174	+445	Up	-$108	06-16 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	2	$472	360	360	+0	Up	+$76	06-15 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:15 UTC	19	$461	600	540	+60	Down	-$26	06-28 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:50 UTC	16	$447	494	494	+0	Down	+$45	06-16 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$447	409	409	+0	Up	+$43	06-15 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	14	$440	664	664	+0	Up	+$43	06-16 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:45 UTC	2	$422	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	-$370	06-16 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:50 UTC	4	$417	309	309	+0	Down	+$101	06-20 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$410	436	155	+281	Down	-$6	06-15 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	2	$407	225	225	+0	Up	+$11	06-15 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:55 UTC	13	$401	320	300	+20	Down	-$56	07-08 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:15 UTC	5	$401	444	442	+2	Up	+$3	06-16 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$396	712	0	+712	Up	+$316	06-15 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 12:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x2755bf…
11-09 12:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x1068f4…
11-09 12:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x867987…
11-09 12:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6e228a…
11-09 12:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xf4c220…
11-09 12:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xae4729…
11-09 12:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9df0bb…
11-09 12:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb3dfb4…
11-09 12:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0b77f4…
11-09 12:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd20a33…
11-09 11:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x58f09c…
11-09 11:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xa48bdf…
11-09 11:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x81b192…
11-09 11:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x0fec6f…
11-09 11:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x362819…
11-09 11:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x473245…
11-09 11:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x392af7…
11-09 11:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x616aab…
11-09 11:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xd3b588…
11-09 11:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8541e4…
11-09 11:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x149306…
11-09 11:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd270a3…
11-09 11:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf19361…
11-09 11:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x2e4e8d…
11-09 11:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x232f3a…
11-09 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xc8808a…
11-09 11:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x1e6712…
11-09 11:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xf34517…
11-09 11:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x3664ed…
11-09 11:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb64818…
11-09 11:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x98703f…
11-09 11:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x787693…
11-09 11:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x50f39f…
11-09 11:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x8c02b5…
11-09 11:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x40596e…
11-09 11:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x6f883b…
11-09 11:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf42a53…
11-09 11:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4acbbe…
11-09 10:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9407b7…
11-09 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x37eafc…
11-09 10:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x31d5b2…
11-09 10:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x28344e…
11-09 10:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x145eca…
11-09 10:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf62bd7…
11-09 10:22:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x85cb0a…
11-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4d6d84…
11-09 10:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x1d68e6…
11-09 10:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x56aec7…
11-09 10:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$0	0x77d601…
11-09 10:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb8a9d0…
11-09 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6eb8f3…
11-09 10:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x5f2986…
11-09 10:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe86ec1…
11-09 10:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$0	0x1ceee5…
11-09 10:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x760b51…
11-09 09:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1d392e…
11-09 09:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x28bf56…
11-09 09:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xbf9344…
11-09 09:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xd5105b…
11-09 09:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb9660f…
11-09 09:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9160dc…
11-09 09:40:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6dd5a6…
11-09 09:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa525f6…
11-09 09:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x4f68ea…
11-09 09:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x3743ca…
11-09 09:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd26082…
11-09 09:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x753cde…
11-09 09:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xeb2f1d…
11-09 09:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3cfce3…
11-09 09:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x2760ec…
11-09 09:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xa75980…
11-09 09:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x79d697…
11-09 09:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6c8eee…
11-09 09:21:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x89daf7…
11-09 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x8441cc…
11-09 09:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xe79a85…
11-09 09:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:20 UTC	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x66b7fd…
11-09 09:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x9e5952…
11-09 09:16:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x700bfd…
11-09 09:10:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-09 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd16ee…
11-09 09:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xdfe66f…
11-09 09:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x0cd558…
11-09 09:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8f6348…
11-09 08:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x280c75…
11-09 08:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x778ca5…
11-09 08:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x9280ad…
11-09 08:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x75bc75…
11-09 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd20223…
11-09 08:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x023efa…
11-09 08:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1cfadf…
11-09 08:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x3ab388…
11-09 08:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x4e2d9d…
11-09 08:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x86c03e…
11-09 08:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x00340e…
11-09 08:31:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x14705e…
11-09 08:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9fa826…
11-09 08:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf85e32…
11-09 08:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xa64eaf…
11-09 08:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x004f80…
11-09 08:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa50f8e…