Advanced-Bonfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$863

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

18,305

Trades

46,918

lifetime

Volume

$174.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-08 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% -$870

Other

0% 83% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 1623 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:05 UTC	41	$1.5K	1,391	1,391	+0	Down	-$52	06-16 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:55 UTC	7	$1.5K	2,160	2,160	+0	Down	-$70	06-16 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$1.4K	1,322	1,322	+0	Down	+$183	06-15 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:25 UTC	10	$1.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	Up	+$130	06-16 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,053	1,053	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,205	968	+236	Up	+$133	06-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$918	706	706	+0	Up	+$118	06-15 19:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:35 UTC	3	$878	518	516	+2	Up	+$84	06-16 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:15 UTC	4	$862	731	731	+0	Down	+$70	06-15 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	3	$838	587	587	+0	Up	+$244	06-16 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 09:00 UTC	5	$819	1,451	1,451	+0	Down	+$23	06-16 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	9	$748	824	624	+200	Down	-$50	06-15 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$731	723	723	+0	Down	-$61	06-15 19:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:50 UTC	8	$636	841	837	+4	Down	+$38	06-16 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	5	$563	533	335	+198	Up	-$35	06-15 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	3	$528	1,295	1,295	+0	Down	-$264	06-15 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:55 UTC	4	$502	400	400	+0	Up	+$104	06-16 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:05 UTC	4	$494	619	174	+445	Up	-$108	06-16 20:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:00 UTC	2	$472	360	360	+0	Up	+$76	06-15 19:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:15 UTC	19	$461	600	540	+60	Down	-$26	06-28 19:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:50 UTC	16	$447	494	494	+0	Down	+$45	06-16 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$447	409	409	+0	Up	+$43	06-15 19:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	14	$440	664	664	+0	Up	+$43	06-16 13:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 08:45 UTC	2	$422	1,264	1,264	+0	Up	-$370	06-16 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 21:50 UTC	4	$417	309	309	+0	Down	+$101	06-20 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$410	436	155	+281	Down	-$6	06-15 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 19:20 UTC	2	$407	225	225	+0	Up	+$11	06-15 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 00:55 UTC	13	$401	320	300	+20	Down	-$56	07-08 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:15 UTC	5	$401	444	442	+2	Up	+$3	06-16 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$396	712	0	+712	Up	+$316	06-15 20:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6501ff…
11-08 21:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x6457f0…
11-08 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x549f56…
11-08 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x912b89…
11-08 17:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb1fbf7…
11-08 17:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x817550…
11-08 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xc53dec…
11-08 17:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x01c4fb…
11-08 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0cd476…
11-08 16:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9f5501…
11-08 16:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x59ecdb…
11-08 12:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x5e3d14…
11-08 12:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x0a2e53…
11-08 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc0317d…
11-08 11:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcd37c1…
11-08 11:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3f9675…
11-08 10:47:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd4152b…
11-08 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdec9fc…
11-08 10:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6d0806…
11-08 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe355d9…
11-08 10:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x240c6d…
11-08 10:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe4e4f1…
11-08 10:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xdad9ee…
11-08 09:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd75946…
11-08 09:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x27101d…
11-08 09:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xa21eae…
11-08 09:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf1b1a2…
11-08 09:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x04e42b…
11-08 08:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xc61e66…
11-08 08:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x07a659…
11-08 07:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c4219…
11-08 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6b972e…
11-08 07:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xccdade…
11-08 06:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x258350…
11-08 06:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x0c1e64…
11-08 05:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9512ec…
11-08 05:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3db9c4…
11-08 05:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x82b6ad…
11-08 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x658004…
11-08 03:47:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x226662…
11-08 03:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x6bc2b2…
11-08 03:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a4957…
11-08 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x7dcefb…
11-08 02:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91d689…
11-08 02:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb9a0dd…
11-08 02:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb8dcab…
11-08 02:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd8ecac…
11-08 02:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xcf1549…
11-08 02:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7610c8…
11-08 02:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xdbc675…
11-08 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xb5b18b…
11-08 01:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1afbaa…
11-08 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc8b0a6…
11-08 01:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf03bb3…
11-08 00:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7d981b…
11-08 00:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf5c6ff…
11-08 00:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xbb5127…
11-08 00:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb10fbc…
11-07 23:23:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec6d94…
11-07 23:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xab5d9a…
11-07 23:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x5941e4…
11-07 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x12db18…
11-07 22:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1261ac…
11-07 22:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x01f597…
11-07 22:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4d3b17…
11-07 22:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b94fd…
11-07 22:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8f3cc8…
11-07 22:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x376e2b…
11-07 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9adacb…
11-07 21:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0xd1bc2d…
11-07 21:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3ff11e…
11-07 21:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x33fd5c…
11-07 21:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x668bb6…
11-07 21:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x9dc70c…
11-07 21:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5e9f1f…
11-07 21:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe0e695…
11-07 21:26:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x93c22f…
11-07 21:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbda230…
11-07 21:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x31d3f2…
11-07 21:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa0bca6…
11-07 20:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x27d700…
11-07 20:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x4359a8…
11-07 20:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd61cbd…
11-07 20:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdf08bb…
11-07 19:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8397ee…
11-07 19:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc7ec93…
11-07 19:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x76eef6…
11-07 19:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2c88cd…
11-07 18:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x57545a…
11-07 18:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd5b31c…
11-07 18:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1f9ce9…
11-07 17:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc1fe8a…
11-07 16:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x26ce75…
11-07 16:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x19b0f9…
11-07 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x27cac4…
11-07 16:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x884dc5…
11-07 16:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x635a17…
11-07 16:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x25bdc4…
11-07 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x356f76…
11-07 16:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x14eb96…