Cautious-Bootie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.51K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.4%

Resolved

8,742

Trades

42,037

lifetime

Volume

$225.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-26 00:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 206 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 67% -$4,323

Other

2% 70% -$187

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 546 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 12:45 UTC	161	$2.7K	2,903	2,895	+8	Down	+$74	01-08 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 18:15 UTC	348	$2.2K	3,257	2,124	+1,132	Up	-$542	01-08 18:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:30 UTC	60	$1.7K	1,850	1,850	+0	Down	+$53	01-06 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 14:15 UTC	241	$1.6K	2,054	1,777	+276	Up	-$150	01-09 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 18:15 UTC	54	$1.2K	1,518	1,518	+0	Up	+$17	01-06 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 15:45 UTC	87	$912	965	943	+22	Up	-$22	01-10 15:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-10 19:00 UTC	85	$857	917	911	+6	Down	-$17	01-10 19:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 17:00 UTC	102	$840	1,158	789	+369	Down	-$190	01-09 17:11
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 20:15 UTC	22	$798	438	496	-58	Down	+$127	01-14 20:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 16:45 UTC	143	$748	833	620	+214	Up	+$57	01-08 16:52
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 04:15 UTC	20	$725	645	184	+461	Up	+$100	01-15 04:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 06:00 UTC	82	$715	739	736	+3	Up	-$9	01-19 06:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 13:15 UTC	50	$672	700	691	+9	Up	-$33	01-08 13:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:30 UTC	140	$668	1,446	372	+1,074	Up	+$49	01-09 03:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 19:45 UTC	22	$636	379	379	+1	Down	+$2	01-14 19:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 03:00 UTC	49	$630	608	608	+0	Up	+$53	01-09 03:05
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 20:15 UTC	17	$620	372	387	-15	Down	+$131	01-14 20:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 11:00 UTC	46	$614	429	428	+2	Down	-$14	01-19 11:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 03:30 UTC	25	$592	685	103	+582	Down	+$190	01-15 03:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-19 10:30 UTC	45	$588	467	447	+20	Up	+$11	01-19 10:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-25 08:00 UTC	49	$570	597	592	+5	Up	-$40	01-25 08:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-07 02:15 UTC	64	$502	1,595	0	+1,595	Up	+$728	01-07 02:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-06 17:30 UTC	44	$487	1,057	696	+361	Down	+$372	01-06 17:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:30 UTC	40	$475	360	339	+21	Down	-$15	01-29 00:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-15 04:45 UTC	39	$470	592	248	+344	Up	-$408	01-15 04:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 11:00 UTC	57	$458	398	359	+39	Up	+$4	01-09 11:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 10:00 UTC	27	$449	291	288	+2	Up	+$6	01-28 10:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 00:15 UTC	34	$447	357	343	+14	Down	-$8	01-29 00:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 13:15 UTC	48	$424	284	283	+1	Down	+$8	01-28 13:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 23:45 UTC	22	$411	315	293	+23	Down	-$5	01-28 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x8456c3…
10-26 00:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x2351e9…
10-26 00:40:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x5531eb…
10-26 00:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xe8443a…
10-26 00:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1426ad…
10-26 00:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xb8b7c1…
10-26 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf5484c…
10-26 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xee724e…
10-26 00:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x37ce5c…
10-26 00:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x08b763…
10-26 00:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc1e0d4…
10-26 00:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd64c63…
10-26 00:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	0	50¢	$0	0xc392df…
10-26 00:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xb71b4c…
10-26 00:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	46¢	$0	0x53301e…
10-26 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xce8606…
10-26 00:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xbfe819…
10-26 00:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x063fe2…
10-26 00:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xabbcf9…
10-26 00:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x444297…
10-26 00:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x4df8f2…
10-26 00:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xa36faf…
10-26 00:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1ad776…
10-25 12:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfc3e1a…
10-25 12:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x9c1c09…
10-25 12:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xc97d74…
10-25 12:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5ae4e0…
10-25 05:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xbc32f1…
10-25 05:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xa224bc…
10-25 05:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x71c4a6…
10-25 04:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4f5c01…
10-25 04:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1cd94a…
10-25 04:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xfca501…
10-25 04:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x306cb4…
10-25 04:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0x6dd701…
10-25 04:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x628a96…
10-25 04:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x37df47…
10-25 04:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xe1cd1f…
10-25 04:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe64ad0…
10-25 04:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xf0a118…
10-25 04:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x5d57bf…
10-25 04:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x7cd48e…
10-25 03:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xec6b97…
10-25 03:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0x3c278e…
10-25 03:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x51da2b…
10-25 03:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6b16e1…
10-25 03:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x12e1bc…
10-25 03:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x0ede2f…
10-25 03:00:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x151266…
10-25 03:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xb928e2…
10-25 02:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x40a4ff…
10-25 02:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x8070c6…
10-25 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x9cd879…
10-25 02:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	28¢	$2	0xf08007…
10-25 02:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x31a19f…
10-25 02:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb0406d…
10-25 02:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc924c7…
10-25 02:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xae6571…
10-25 02:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x32bbb5…
10-25 02:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0x459322…
10-25 02:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	9	36¢	$3	0xc2e2db…
10-25 02:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0xf066fe…
10-25 02:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xacd5e5…
10-25 02:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x21857e…
10-25 01:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0xe539fe…
10-25 01:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x4ea1b5…
10-25 01:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x4ef7a9…
10-25 01:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x2d9261…
10-25 01:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x5294bd…
10-25 01:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x4500b9…
10-25 01:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0x0de413…
10-25 01:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	59¢	$3	0xa8313d…
10-24 04:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0xd05675…
10-24 04:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	16	95¢	$16	0x135447…
10-24 04:23:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0xd00127…
10-24 04:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x1b626a…
10-24 04:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x8c7946…
10-24 03:58:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0x756cbf…
10-24 03:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x80489b…
10-24 03:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x615c0e…
10-24 03:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xf2cb0c…
10-24 03:23:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4a419b…
10-24 03:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x3ef2bf…
10-24 02:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x722ed9…
10-24 02:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6e9834…
10-24 02:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xad02b5…
10-24 02:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xd4728d…
10-24 02:13:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$15	0x9112e0…
10-24 02:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	96¢	$15	0x16d2ae…
10-22 19:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x95dc3e…
10-22 18:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x85de35…
10-22 18:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xf08767…
10-22 18:47:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x431db7…
10-22 18:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x146dce…
10-22 18:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xcaf84e…
10-22 18:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x5f01f8…
10-22 18:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x8d9b7c…
10-22 18:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xa9cd0a…
10-22 17:51:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xa446d7…
10-22 16:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x67263a…