Ragged-Hardboard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.25K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,008

lifetime

Volume

$950.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$943

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-28 13:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

97% 74% -$3,230

Crypto

3% 50% -$14

Politics

0% 17% -$2

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-28).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 640 659	92	$131.7K	66,855	64,973	+1,883	No	+$2	01-06 02:50
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 580plus	129	$121.3K	71,806	49,654	+22,152	No	+$54	01-02 13:20
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 740plus	325	$120.3K	60,660	59,760	+900	No	+$15	01-05 06:42
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 620 639	9	$82.9K	44,160	38,804	+5,356	No	+$10	01-06 14:16
elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	3	$58.7K	29,363	29,363	+0	No	+$0	01-13 07:10
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	154	$57.5K	28,773	28,738	+35	No	+$1	01-06 09:51
elon musk of tweets january 2026 920 959	3	$41.8K	20,902	20,902	+0	No	+$0	01-13 07:10
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$23.7K	3,768	19,936	-16,168	No	-$12	01-01 05:58
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 60 79	14	$21.1K	11,076	10,000	+1,076	No	+$1	01-06 14:22
elon musk of tweets january 2026 20 39	15	$20.5K	14,558	5,916	+8,642	No	+$9	01-04 12:12
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 260 279	15	$20.3K	10,137	10,137	+0	No	+$0	01-09 02:52
elon musk of tweets january 2026 720 759	2	$19.1K	9,540	9,540	+0	No	+$0	01-09 03:54
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	11	$18.6K	9,331	9,331	-0	No	+$19	01-06 16:46
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	32	$18.1K	10,168	10,168	+0	No	-$1,914	01-08 18:30
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 560 579	6	$16.9K	8,501	8,460	+41	No	+$46	01-02 13:42
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 160 179	2	$16.2K	8,123	8,123	+0	No	+$0	01-08 04:23
elon musk of tweets january 2026 280 299	3	$16.0K	15,983	0	+15,983	No	+$16	01-04 18:33
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	2	$12.9K	6,436	6,436	+0	No	+$0	01-08 04:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 320 339	4	$11.1K	5,583	5,583	+0	No	+$6	01-06 13:33
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	46	$10.0K	5,037	5,037	+0	No	+$27	01-12 07:19
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 540 559	4	$10.0K	5,044	5,044	+0	No	+$19	01-02 09:32
elon musk of tweets january 2026 120 139	3	$9.5K	4,735	4,735	+0	No	+$0	01-04 10:53
nflx above 40 on january 2 2026	1	$7.8K	7,816	0	+7,816	Yes	+$8	01-01 06:51
elon musk of tweets january 2026 1040 1079	3	$7.7K	3,831	3,831	+0	No	+$0	01-13 07:10
nflx above 30 on january 2 2026	1	$7.6K	7,656	0	+7,656	Yes	+$8	01-01 06:51
elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 0 39	21	$7.1K	3,538	3,538	+0	No	+$0	01-10 10:54
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 720 739	27	$6.9K	3,491	3,467	+23	No	+$8	01-04 15:55
elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	2	$6.6K	3,312	3,312	+0	No	+$6	01-13 07:11
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 480 499	2	$6.4K	6,399	0	+6,399	No	+$12	01-08 18:31
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 0 19	2	$5.2K	5,175	0	+5,175	No	+$5	01-06 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 13:18:14	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in May?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa96ae8…
04-03 12:58:49	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8ec0a6…
04-03 12:58:29	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8c895b…
03-16 23:19:15	wbc ita ven 2026 03 16	Italy	BUY	554	37¢	$205	0x0a1e6a…
03-16 01:29:25	wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	Dominican Rep.	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xc91835…
03-16 01:25:05	wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	Dominican Rep.	BUY	295	34¢	$100	0xd33d5d…
03-16 01:22:37	Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x2e1280…
03-16 01:15:47	wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	Dominican Rep.	BUY	330	30¢	$100	0xe3f3a1…
03-16 00:58:21	wbc dor usa 2026 03 15	Dominican Rep.	BUY	1,851	60¢	$1,111	0x57d0bb…
03-16 00:57:41	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,112	100¢	$1,111	0xba9b1d…
03-02 12:21:21	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,112	100¢	$1,106	0x317310…
03-02 12:20:13	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd29114…
02-27 14:07:11	elon musk of tweets march 2026 0 19	No	BUY	1,104	100¢	$1,103	0x29ce6b…
02-27 14:06:37	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0xeae65e…
02-27 14:06:05	Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x85b0a9…
02-10 03:51:35	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	574	100¢	$572	0xdb83ff…
02-03 04:02:58	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	568	100¢	$568	0x8ca685…
01-26 23:45:07	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 500 519	No	BUY	555	100¢	$555	0x8d1e3f…
01-24 21:30:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	101	13¢	$13	0xaca4af…
01-23 00:17:54	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 560 579	No	BUY	542	100¢	$541	0xa61255…
01-13 07:11:09	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	No	SELL	3,312	100¢	$3,309	0x2f5d91…
01-13 07:10:45	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1040 1079	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x996206…
01-13 07:10:37	elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	No	SELL	363	100¢	$362	0x060a7b…
01-13 07:10:31	elon musk of tweets january 2026 920 959	No	SELL	902	100¢	$901	0xc907d5…
01-13 07:10:25	elon musk of tweets january 2026 880 919	No	SELL	1,191	100¢	$1,189	0xa6b6aa…
01-13 01:24:47	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1040 1079	No	SELL	3,800	100¢	$3,796	0x908c60…
01-13 01:24:33	elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	No	SELL	29,000	100¢	$28,971	0x6bf99b…
01-13 01:24:25	elon musk of tweets january 2026 920 959	No	SELL	20,000	100¢	$19,980	0x2b99ff…
01-13 01:21:39	elon musk of tweets january 12 january 14 0 39	No	BUY	3,312	100¢	$3,302	0xf2af82…
01-12 08:29:50	elon musk of tweets january 2026 1040 1079	No	BUY	3,831	100¢	$3,827	0x1d17ae…
01-12 07:19:54	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x52fadf…
01-12 07:18:36	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb00100…
01-12 07:18:36	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5a48fb…
01-12 07:18:36	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x376f4e…
01-12 07:18:34	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xed2587…
01-12 07:17:48	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe8dcdd…
01-12 07:17:48	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xe35f5d…
01-12 07:17:44	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfd5217…
01-12 07:16:48	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0xb39e1f…
01-12 07:12:52	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x8871e6…
01-12 07:12:52	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1890cd…
01-12 07:12:08	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x858e58…
01-12 07:10:50	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6dc338…
01-12 07:10:10	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc636dc…
01-12 07:09:58	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xfcb562…
01-12 07:07:46	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x2a1194…
01-12 07:07:06	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x63009a…
01-12 07:07:04	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcdebba…
01-12 07:06:44	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3db53e…
01-12 07:05:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfad8d3…
01-12 07:05:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x9f1aad…
01-12 07:05:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5d9a3d…
01-12 07:05:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x46c82a…
01-12 07:05:12	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x1e015b…
01-12 07:05:10	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xebdf72…
01-12 07:05:10	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xce65d5…
01-12 06:57:40	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	105	100¢	$104	0x133153…
01-12 06:56:10	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x65dd98…
01-12 06:53:54	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x5767a3…
01-12 06:47:10	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xa5fe4a…
01-12 06:37:48	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	190	100¢	$190	0x555ce4…
01-12 06:36:52	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x6e8db9…
01-12 06:36:52	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x037a2d…
01-12 06:05:22	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	159	100¢	$159	0xe5ef75…
01-12 06:05:22	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4fc726…
01-12 06:05:20	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	65	100¢	$64	0x00d803…
01-12 05:57:52	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xc57f83…
01-12 05:54:44	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x468b98…
01-12 05:54:44	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1ec39c…
01-12 05:54:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xd0b8f3…
01-12 05:54:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	83	100¢	$83	0x895c06…
01-12 05:54:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x87ac90…
01-12 05:54:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x5e5977…
01-12 05:54:42	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x53f895…
01-12 05:52:46	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	SELL	3,066	100¢	$3,060	0x64ccef…
01-11 18:38:16	elon musk of tweets january 10 january 12 240plus	No	BUY	5,037	99¢	$5,000	0x6f0fb6…
01-11 02:46:44	elon musk of tweets january 2026 960 999	No	BUY	29,363	100¢	$29,333	0x29375b…
01-11 02:46:34	elon musk of tweets january 2026 880 919	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0xc76594…
01-10 11:41:52	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x292f04…
01-10 11:41:32	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa28425…
01-10 11:41:12	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd799b7…
01-10 11:40:50	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xc57707…
01-10 11:40:26	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xf84542…
01-10 11:40:06	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x0dbe32…
01-10 11:39:46	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa17c08…
01-10 11:39:24	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x5a535b…
01-10 11:39:04	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xa2130c…
01-10 11:38:46	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xaa2683…
01-10 11:38:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x3c3234…
01-10 11:38:10	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x06d6f8…
01-10 11:38:02	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x5aefac…
01-10 11:37:44	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x2ee6a2…
01-10 11:37:24	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xd64e0e…
01-10 11:37:04	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xad825e…
01-10 11:36:46	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x68b8cd…
01-10 11:36:34	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0xe5fa4b…
01-10 11:36:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd46466…
01-10 11:36:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb1fdd2…
01-10 11:36:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x001997…
01-10 11:36:20	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 240plus	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x372c63…