Loose-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

12.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-21 22:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

53% 9% -$9

Politics

38% 0% -$6

Sports

9% 50% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	1	$3	4	+4	open	—	10-13 18:42
Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?	1	$2	2,500	+2,500	Yes	-$2	05-15 20:06
Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	1	$2	54	+54	No	-$2	05-13 20:48
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	1	$2	15	+15	open	—	10-13 18:42
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	1	$2	2,000	+2,000	No	-$2	10-19 20:04
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	1	$2	50	+50	No	-$2	07-20 03:28
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$4	05-14 10:25
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15 win by submission	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	08-15 15:27
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	1	$1	35	+35	No	-$1	10-21 22:07
Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	Yes	-$1	05-22 23:20
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	-$1	10-21 22:12
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	1	$1	279	+279	No	-$1	10-21 22:07
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	05-23 14:45
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	8	+8	Yes	+$7	07-04 14:51
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	-$1	10-21 22:07
Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	1	$1	21	+21	No	-$1	05-22 23:19
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?	1	$1	1,000	+1,000	No	-$1	10-21 22:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	6	+6	No	-$1	06-16 15:47
Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	1	$1	9	+9	No	-$1	05-23 14:51
Will Bernie say "Stakeholder" in Maine?	1	$1	8	+8	No	-$1	05-22 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-21 22:12:11	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get less than 40 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x62b56c…
10-21 22:07:51	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 120 and 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc70a85…
10-21 22:07:44	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 100 and 120 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8ecbfc…
10-21 22:07:38	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 80 and 100 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	279	0¢	$1	0xd79bdf…
10-21 22:07:17	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xfd9b40…
10-19 20:04:59	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get at least 140 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0xa3fb70…
10-13 18:42:25	Will Zoran Janković win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x7cb4df…
10-13 18:42:06	Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1b3a31…
08-15 15:27:21	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15 win by submission	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x5b853f…
07-20 03:28:22	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6bde56…
07-04 14:51:43	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x21fa0b…
06-16 15:47:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xec5b33…
05-23 14:51:23	Will Trump say "Mosquito" in May?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0cf96c…
05-23 14:45:09	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd3039e…
05-22 23:20:39	Will Trump say "Stupid person" this week?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x0e7af4…
05-22 23:19:41	Will Trump say "Mamdani" this week?	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xc7b6de…
05-22 23:18:42	Will Bernie say "Stakeholder" in Maine?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xdfc47f…
05-15 20:06:57	Will 21 Savage be featured on Drake's new album?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$2	0x091c4d…
05-14 10:25:14	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x8a1123…
05-13 20:48:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xcdd1a6…