Arctic-Interloper — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

252

Trades

804

lifetime

Volume

$804

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-17 09:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 81% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 134 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	5	$5	500	+500	Down	$-5	05-07 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	5	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$4	260	+260	Up	$-4	05-09 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$4	400	+400	Up	$-4	05-10 01:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$4	142	+142	Down	$-4	05-10 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$4	174	+174	Down	$-4	05-10 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$4	212	+212	Up	$-4	05-09 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$4	110	+110	Down	$-4	05-10 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$4	7	+7	Down	$-4	05-09 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	4	$4	31	+31	Down	$-4	05-10 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$4	10	+10	Up	+$6	05-08 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	4	$4	118	+118	open	—	05-15 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$4	11	+11	Up	$-4	05-08 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$4	14	+14	Up	$-4	05-08 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$4	24	+24	Down	+$20	05-10 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	4	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-09 03:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$4	16	+16	Up	$-4	05-09 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-08 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	4	$4	11	+11	Up	$-4	05-11 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-16 00:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Down	+$0	05-08 23:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$4	12	+12	Up	$-4	05-13 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 04:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$4	24	+24	Up	+$20	05-10 01:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	4	$4	7	+7	Up	+$3	05-09 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	4	$4	6	+6	open	—	05-16 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	4	$4	4	+4	open	—	05-14 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$4	6	+6	Down	+$2	05-10 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$4	8	+8	Down	+$4	05-08 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	4	$4	6	+6	Up	+$2	05-08 06:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 09:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63695c…
05-17 09:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x384f77…
05-17 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5fbe5b…
05-17 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x08b382…
05-17 09:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x63481a…
05-17 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd50615…
05-17 09:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0b53c8…
05-17 09:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xca8091…
05-17 08:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcb6deb…
05-17 08:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x905a7e…
05-17 08:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xc97977…
05-17 08:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x3a2027…
05-17 08:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x438244…
05-17 08:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x14495c…
05-17 07:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe23719…
05-17 07:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbdf528…
05-17 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1c49b…
05-17 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xd60bea…
05-17 06:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xad1ad5…
05-17 04:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x167076…
05-17 04:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x771f2d…
05-17 04:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7d8d22…
05-17 04:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcbd367…
05-17 03:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd54096…
05-17 03:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7243c5…
05-17 02:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1b7b56…
05-17 02:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8d0865…
05-17 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x58873c…
05-17 02:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x25cd8b…
05-17 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x594a44…
05-17 01:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34232a…
05-17 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd48f78…
05-17 01:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x12040e…
05-17 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x60030c…
05-17 00:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6cd217…
05-17 00:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x06015d…
05-17 00:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x876f39…
05-17 00:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x15b340…
05-17 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd82556…
05-17 00:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x683282…
05-16 23:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x53c695…
05-16 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfb0c75…
05-16 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc89573…
05-16 23:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x498037…
05-16 23:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x259fdf…
05-16 23:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa6586b…
05-16 23:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1b9720…
05-16 22:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaf0656…
05-16 22:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e2d25…
05-16 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf8f8ba…
05-16 22:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd77ba3…
05-16 22:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc6369e…
05-16 22:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84117c…
05-16 21:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x87a660…
05-16 21:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe20ffc…
05-16 21:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x33ea80…
05-16 21:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x9be133…
05-16 21:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3e6da3…
05-16 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xc57679…
05-16 21:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x65bff2…
05-16 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7f5500…
05-16 20:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x737f51…
05-16 20:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc2ca3f…
05-16 20:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xab61fc…
05-16 20:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x3407d9…
05-16 19:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaee383…
05-16 19:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6e2f6b…
05-16 19:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xdcbf95…
05-16 19:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x335204…
05-16 19:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x229e02…
05-16 19:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5b5b07…
05-16 19:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xa00b37…
05-16 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xde219d…
05-16 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa8a268…
05-16 19:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3bfdd3…
05-16 19:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe69b76…
05-16 18:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x983cef…
05-16 18:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8c77a3…
05-16 17:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8e2d6e…
05-16 17:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x79fe15…
05-16 17:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xff1453…
05-16 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb43fd…
05-16 17:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc0a126…
05-16 17:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xdde7ca…
05-16 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7efc41…
05-16 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb73cd…
05-16 17:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x188969…
05-16 16:35:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xdbbac2…
05-16 16:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x67324c…
05-16 15:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8eb787…
05-16 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x76f393…
05-16 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x542390…
05-16 13:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x323690…
05-16 13:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27d8a9…
05-16 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x8c9816…
05-16 12:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x5955e9…
05-16 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa8e495…
05-16 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x8f7b41…
05-16 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x88b284…
05-16 12:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x7cb7c5…